Round 4 plays (4pts):
Gary Woodland to beat James Hahn -146 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
Hard to ignore a 5-0-1 h2h record in 2014 or 18-6-2 since the start of last season in Woodland's favour. Also in his favour is Hahn's inexperience in this position - they are both 3rd after 54 holes. Only twice previously has Hahn started the final round of a PGA Tour event inside the top-10: in the 2013 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am, he shot 70 when leading and finished 5th shots back in 3rd place; in the 2013 Canadian Open, he shot 77 in rd4 to drop to 40th. Woodland is experienced in this position and warrants short odds.
Matt Kuchar to beat Marc Leishman -163 @ Bet365
Another matchup with a dominant h2h record - Kuchar leads his opponent 13-3-0 since last year's Crowne Plaza Invitational and in his recent run of form, he has finished ahead of Leishman in all five common events. The odds are short, but, just on the edge of contention, this looks a very good place in which to back such a consistent player.
Gary Woodland to beat Louis Oosthuizen -125 @ Stan James
On the European Tour, Oosthuizen has won his last five events when he was the leader at the start of the final round, but he is 0-for-3 on the PGA Tour / WGC. Paired with a player who has never held the 54-hole lead on the PGA Tour, this could be a difficult day for the final pairing, so I'll side with Woodland again.
[unofficial rd4 system plays: Woodland tb DeLaet -116; Kuchar tb Kaymer -126]
