Round 3 plays (2pts):
Webb Simpson to beat Michael Thompson -144 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
Rather a mismatch even though both are in 5th place after 36 holes: Simpson had a 11-4-1 h2h2 record against Thompson in 2013. Thompson hasn't recorded a top-20 finish since the Memorial Tournament in June; Simpson hasn't missed a cut over that period and has finished 4th, 1st, 7th and 5th in his last four starts.
Ryan Moore to beat Kevin Streelman -125 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
Easy to oppose Streelman on 'Moving Day': their h2h record in r3 was 10-2-0 in 2013. It is also difficult to see how Streelman can improve on his current 7th place position when poor ball-striking has so far resulted in him ranking outside the top-20 (of 30) in greens in regulation so far.
Bill Haas to beat Russell Henley -140 @ 5Dimes [available generally]
Two players back in 20th place, but Haas has played much better than his score: he ranks 10th in driving distance, 3rd in driving accuracy and 3rd in greens in regulation so far this week. I can only see him improving from this position and extending his dominance of this matchup to ten wins in their last twelve common events.
Dustin Johnson to beat Zach Johnson -125 @ 5Dimes and Stan James [available generally]
Opposing Zach Johnson who is just 1-for-6 when leading after 36 holes and that win was back in 2004. DJ is the defending champion and in the three previous times that he has been 2nd after 36 holes on the PGA Tour, he has shot 67-66-65 in rd3 to be the sole leader after rd3 in all occasions.
Chris Kirk to beat Harris English +105 @ Bet365
I'll take these odds on a player who won last time out and finished 7th on his course debut two years ago. He also ranks 4th in greens in regulation so is playing well from tee-to-green and should improve his current 13th place position.