HYUNDAI TOURNAMENT OF CHAMPIONS

[Another Steve]

Outrights
ODDS TO WIN HYUNDAI TOURNAMENT OF CHAMPIONS CHRIS KIRK +1615
ODDS TO WIN HYUNDAI TOURNAMENT OF CHAMPIONS KEVIN STADLER +11250
ODDS TO WIN HYUNDAI TOURNAMENT OF CHAMPIONS GEOFF OGILVY +3550

 

[cole]

Ogilvy +3685

 

[sharky17]

ROUND 1

MATT JONES (-115) over BEN CRANE

 

[Tommyjay]

Reed to win 22-1 5d

72 holes
Streelman over T. Clark +100

 

[Nole]

Hideki Matsuyama +1400

:0008

 

[sharky17]

TOURNMENT

KEVIN STREELMAN (-106) over BRENDAN TODD

 

[Stanley]

Round 1 plays (2pts):

Charley Hoffman to beat Robert Streb -115 @ 5Dimes
A winner last time out and with two previous appearances on this course, I'd give Hoffman the edge over Streb who is making his course debut this week. Only one player has won on their course debut in the last 10 years, so experience here does appear to matter.

Hunter Mahan to beat Billy Horschel -105 @ 5Dimes [also available @ SkyBet and Bet365]
Ignoring the two unofficial PGA Tour events at the end of last season, Horschel's form was rather indifferent after the Tour Championship - he finished 2014 with finishes of mc-37th-73rd - and that shows the nature of his play, which makes him a player to side with in outrights and oppose in matchups. Mahan is much more consistent and has a top-5 finish on this course already.

Chris Kirk to beat Jimmy Walker -111 @ Bet365
Walker started last season in the better form, but Kirk finished it. Even in the unofficial PGA Tour events at the end of last year, Walker finished well down the field. Kirk has played well on this course in his two previous visits and was the first round leader last year; Walker was ahead of only two players after rd1 last year. It is another small play on a player in better form and with more course experience.

[unofficial rd1 system play: Villegas tb Hadley -114]

 

[Tommyjay]

Additional 72 hole choice

Bae over Noh -105

An even match up on paper, I think Bae has more experience and composure, plus he needs to do well to keep the Korean draft board off his back. I also like Noh against most golfers most weeks.

 

[Tommyjay]

Stanley---I forgot to mention this on the recap thread, so I'll say it now. Thank you for all you do, for this forum. Above and beyond the call of duty, if you don't mind a military clich?. Without a doubt, you are the best golf capper in the world. That's a great thing to accomplish.

 

[lostinamerica]

Outrights:

Kevin Streelman(33/1) e.w.
- - Contrasting the circumstances of his appearances last year and this year is pretty much in the nature of the types of angles I like to find and play.

Geoff Ogilvy(33/1) e.w.
- - I'm really not stoked about expecting much, but at this price I couldn't leave him off my team.

Tim Clark(40/1) e.w.
- - Really?

Ben Martin(50/1) e.w.
- -

GL

 

[Nole]

N. Taylor +145 over Z. Johnson

H. Matsuyama -145 over B. Harman

C. Kirk Even over M. Kuchar


GL


:0008

 

[sharky17]

ROUND 2

RUSSELL HENLEY (-119) over SM BAE

 

[sharky17]

ROUND 3

RUSSELL HENLEY (-106) over SM BAE

 

[Stanley]

Round 3 play (2pts):

Kevin Streelman to beat Billy Horschel +100 @ Bet365
Two players back in 24th place and seven shots off the pace, but this is a good opportunity to oppose Horschel again. The last five times that he has started rd3 outside the top-20, he has shot 72-75-73-72-79 in rd3 and finished lower down the leaderboard and further off the pace every time; for Streelman, his last five rd3 scores in this position have been 69-65-76-63-71 which shows that he is much more capable of getting back into contention from this position. That period includes a 2nd place finish in the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open when he was 30th and six off the pace after 36 holes, plus he has won twice from this position in the last two years: the 2013 Tampa Bay Championship when he was 31st and seven off the pace after 36 holes and the 2014 Travelers Championship when 39th and eight off the pace after 36 holes. Horschel is much more likely get back into contention from this position: in 90 previous times that he has been outside the top-20 after 36 holes, his best finish is 7th (2011 Frys.com Open).

 

[sharky17]

ROUND 4

HENLEY (-103) over TODD

 

[Stanley]

Hideki Matsuyama to beat Jimmy Walker -106 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
By the stats, Walker is 1-for-1 when leading after rd3 on the PGA Tour, but the nature of that win was far from convincing that he will play well under pressure today. He started the final round of the 2014 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am with a six-shot lead ... that lead was still five shots at the turn, but hit a poor chip on the 12th, three-putted on both the 13th and 17th and with two putts to win from 25 feet on the last hole, he ran his first putt five feet past the hole. By the stats, Matsuyama is 0-for-1 from this position - he shot 71 to drop from 1st to 10th in the 2014 Crowne Plaza Invitational - but he is 4-for-4 on the Japan Tour since June 2013 so he does have experience of closing out a win. With Matsuyama leading Walker in both greens in regulation and 'strokes gained - tee to green', his game appears to be in better shape and that will be important in today's pressure conditions.

 

[Nole]

Hideki Matsuyama +1400

:0008

Nice yank!


:facepalm:


Damn!

 

[boomer1]

Putnam to win 10-1

Rd 4

**Putnam -130 cejka
* Reed -100 kuch

Gl