I hope that this helps

[frisky]

I have been doing some research on totals from 2003 until today in 2008.
Here is what I found out. In an average year all 30 teams will have streaks of 4 straight overs or 4 straight unders at least 270 times a year total.
If you bet against the streak of 4 overs or 4 unders you can be very successful. For example if the Cubs have 4 unders n a row then you would start betting on the
OVER. T he key though would be not to bet on the over more than 4 times before you hit the over. Anything after 4 times will get very expensive with progressive betting.
The most important thing that I found out was that there are certain teams that are golden and there are certain teams that will bury you.
The best teams that I found over the last five years are as follows

Houston
51 opportunities on a 4 game over or under streak
zero = the number of times betting against the streak after 4 games that the bet went to 5 games before you were a winner. 29 times Houston hit on the first bet after game 4.

Seattle
56 opportunities on a 4 game over or under streak
once = the number of times betting against the streak after 4 games that the bet went to 5 games before you were a winner. 30 times Seattle hit on the first bet after game 4

Cubs
53 opportunities on a 4 game over or under streak
twice = the number of times betting against the streak after 4 games that the bet went to 5 games before you were a winner. 31 times the Cubs hit on the first bet after game 4.


Really Bad teams in system NOT to bet on

Florida
Boston
Oakland
White Sox
Dodgers
Blue Jays
LA Angels
Arizona
Texas
TB Rays
Detroit
Atlanta
Padres
Minn


Below are the 16 teams that are SAFE to bet on based on their history during the last 5 years

NYY, Balt, Clev, KC, Seattle, Phily, Milw, Cinn, Pitt, Houst, SF, Colo, NYM, Wash, STL, Cubs


I know that there are a lot of systems out there so lets call this one THE 16 Team System

So in summary, just wait until one of these 16 Teams has 4 unders or 4 overs in a row. When that happens start playing against them for up to 4 games progressivly with the intent of winning one unit.
If a team pushes this does not stop the streak
Home or away doesn't matter either

So this system is currently 75-3 this year with the above 16 teams. The only 3 losses went 5 games twice and 7 games once.

Tonights plays would be on
Balt under
KC over




I hope that this helps you all. Keep an eye out for these teams and these streaks. they happen about 10 times per year per team. Best to all. Frisky

 

[LordofBalls]

frisky....

1st.... I appreciate the fact you did the research!!

2nd... just to clarify...

are you saying that...
wait until a team has at least 4 overs or 4 unders in a row (doesnt matter home or away right?)

and then...
start betting them to go the other way on the total...
so if a team had 4 overs in a row... then start betting them to go under...
is that correct?

I know theres only been thrice this season so far that a home tm has had 6 totals the same in a row...
and when they returned hm aftr a road trip heres the results...
-Kc had 6 unders... left on rd trip, returned home, 1st gm went over...
-Wsox had 6 overs in a row at home... 1st gm bk after road trip tied... then next gm went under
-Dodgers just had 6 unders in a row last wk... currently on road trip... next home gm pending

I hope Im not confusing the issue... I want to make sure I understand what youre saying...

Thanks again for all your efforts!!

I hope it bears us money-fruit!!

LoB

 

[frisky]

Yes Lord of balls you have it right. It does not matter if it is home or away. Four seems to be the right number. A push doesn't count as anything you just ignore it. You have to be careful though because some teams have terrible records once they hit 4 games but there are maybe 6 to 10 safe teams to stay on.

Really Bad teams in system not to bet on

Florida
Boston
Oakland
White Sox
Dodgers
Blue Jays
LA Angels
Arizona
Texas
TB Rays
Detroit
Atlanta
Padres
Minn

All other teams are pretty safe. Stay in touch

 

[frisky]

Back to the original posting on this topic. What I meant to say was if a team like the Cubs has 4 unders in a row then you start betting on the OVER. based on history of the last 5 years and if you don't bet on the teams posted in above post then you should hit your progressive bet within 4 bets or less.

Cubs
under
under
under
under
Start betting the over in the 5th game.

Or
Cubs
over
over
over
over
Start betting the under in the 5th game

 

[Godzilla 1]

frisky

:0corn

Very good data...this how betting should be done...DATA

Good Luck...I will follow.

Z

 

[LordofBalls]

frisky....

thanks for responding... just wanted to make sure...

i do have another Q...

when u list these tms and say theyre bad to bet on, can u say why?
is it because they often had streaks of 7 or 8 gms that went the same way on the totals?
I know from experience its not good chasing a bet #4 on a regular basis... bad for the psyche...

Are you going to be posting these plays as they come up everytime?
if not then if you could please list the 10 or 15 tms you found to be the safest/best to bet on using this system itd be appreciated!!

this would allow us to follow for ourselves....

Thanks again for your hard work

LoB :SIB

 

[frisky]

LoB
Being that I'm on the West coast it is hard4 me t0 ge8 ready 2 pr3pare f0r east 11 coas1 game9. I will be glad to give you the numbers that i found about each team. follow the numbers here and I'll hear from you. frisky

 

[gsp]

Frisky, it's not only totals, most major league streaks end at 4. I don't know why this is but I've played it for years and I don't chase, it either wins or loses. I do the same with ump crews and win more than I lose. The ump that starts the streak, ends the streak. Good luck

 

[frisky]

Thank you gsp. I'll keep an Eye on those systems also. Frisky

 

[LordofBalls]

LoB
Being that I'm on the West coast it is hard4 me t0 ge8 ready 2 pr3pare f0r east 11 coas1 game9. I will be glad to give you the numbers that i found about each team. follow the numbers here and I'll hear from you. frisky

frisky....

mssg rec'd.... i think so anyway.... talk soon!

 

[Theboundbook]

Blum's error has cost LAD 2 runs already.....

 

[ces]

One of the first things I do each day is go to MJ's
handicap help area and click on Totals site. Then I
look at o/u streaks and determine if I want to go opposite.

 

[frisky]

You are right ces. as a matter of fact the number 4 durning a streak is very important.
Over the last five years there have been 1,408 streaks of either 4 overs or 4 unders in a row. If you went the opposite way on game five you would have hit your first bet 692 times right out of the box. Best wishes. Frisky

 

[frisky]

Colorado had 4 overs in a row going into last nights game, Colorado is one of 16 teams that it would be safe to play this system on, The final score was 4-3. That would be a winner.

Here are the 16 teams that it is safe to play this system on

NYY, Balt, Clev, KC, Seattle, Phily, Milw, Cinn, Pitt, Houst, SF, Colo, NYM, Wash, STL, Cubs

This system is 73-3 this year with these teams. Of the 3 losses 2 went to 5 games before winning and one went to 7 games

 

[c20916]

So based on this theory today you would play

White Sox over - current 4 game under streak
Seattle Over - current 4 game under streak

Oakland and SD have 6 and 5 game under streaks. Oak is playing Seattle so the over is the play there, but would you play the SD over as well?

 

[gsp]

I'm not saying this to impress anyone but for 8 years I've been making this play. Most streaks in baseball end at 4 then 7 and 8. I don't chase but will bet game 5 everytime. Been a consistant money maker for years. Works with the help very well also.

 

[frisky]

No c20916 the white Sox are not one of the 16 teams that are on the safe list to play on.Check post above to see list of good teams to play on.

Go through the above posts again and that will help you. Seattle is the only team out of the teams that you mentioned that are on the good list. Frisky

 

[frisky]

Seattle had played five unders in a row so last night would have been a play on the over in the Seattle game. Final was 6-4 so the over won.
The system is now 74-3 this year.

 

[LordofBalls]

Frisky...

congrats on Sea win last nite... it was a system play for me anyway but i did play for some extra $$... :00hour

Ariz now has 5 unders in a row...
but they are not one of the "good" teams you had listed the other day...

KC has 4 Overs in a row...
they ARE one of the "good" teams on your list...

Im curious as to what differentiates the "good" tms vs the "bad" teams on the list?
in a nutshell maybe?

Your posting of these potential plays is not mandatory or required i know lol...

not everyone has the time or computer available to post on a regular basis...
i happen to have both lol and not alot of other demands on my time in the mornings...

if not, i understand... either way... best of luck!

LoB
:SIB

 

[frisky]

LoB
It is all about consistency
As I go back over the past 5 years there is a certain pattern that I see when I look at the numbers. For example if I look at an Arizona or a Texas I can see That every year they will go six, seven or eight games where they will hit a streak of unders or overs. I see this with all of the teams that I call the bad teams. On the other hand when I look at the numbers of the 16 teams that I call the good teams in the past 5 years I don't see continuos years of bad streaks. You might see one or two streaks of 5 or six overs or unders but that is one or two streaks in 5 years. I don't know why this is (maybe it has something to do with the ballparks they play in) but all I can do is look at the numbers and react. So give it a try. Feel free to follow it and post it. Best wishes . Frisky