if you like washington....

[pepin46]

you might as well parlay it with the over. no way you can fit a cover under 41 in this spot. well not very likely, anyway.

i think gb will cover (gb and under), but still placed a small wager on the wash/over, just because.

fyi: midway thru the mj contest yesterday, wash was running 10-2, while at the hilton they were just slightly ahead of gb.


pep

 

[ironlock]

Pep-
Gotta disagree. The corelation here is Washington and the Under. Usually dogs coerelate with the under and favs to the over, when the point spread is double digits.

I dont think you will disagree with the idea that the only way washington covers is if they hold Green bay to low points by playing tough D. Washingtons weakness is the offense, so it is likely that they do not score many...probably 14 or less. The only way they cover now is with UNDER COMING in.

Just a contrarian view.

 

[yyz]

Ironlock makes more sense, here, but what about a GB to the under?

21-0
23-0
24-0
27-0
28-0

you get the picture.....

 

[ironlock]

YYZ-
Thats why I like the under better than washington Green bay is definately NOT correlated with the OVER.

Good luck tonight buddy.

 

[yyz]

I forgot 37-0!!!!!!!!!!

 

[scrubbo]

nice call on the dough-NUT yyz

 

[pepin46]

i started writing this last night and it just remained in limbo.

no way a home team favored by 10 points is bound to get in a low scoring affair. while i cannot make a study of all these, it is more than logical that if washington had come out smoking, the explosive home team would follow thru with their own scoring, thus making a wahington and under an almost impossible feat.

yet, the possibilities of a 10 point favorite at home dominating are very real, usually will yield an under.

notice this doesn't apply to low lines, say less than 7 or so.

as it turned out, washington's mistakes almost pushed the game over.

this is a similar situation to the buff/indy game, although indy did manage to cover. buff early scoring pushed the game way, way over. i advised similar to those who liked buffalo in another thread.

this is one of the easiest way of getting together a nice 4 parlay, but only when the situation is right.


pep