As many of you know, part of my capping consists of watching line moves but I also pay attention to wise guy moves and in particular, those where they will hit one side, then come back and pound the other side. The reason they do this is simple. . . there's a line that is a point or so off from what their numbers say is a solid pick, so they hit the other side to get the number up to their satisfaction, then simply pound the right side after getting an extra point or so.
I've watched this in the past and they hardly ever lose these kinds of plays where they hit one side, then pound the other. Some times, they have actually middled which must absolutely kill the Vegas books they play.
Anyways, they are very rare from what I've seen, but we do have one today: Wisconsin Milwaukee +12.5 (after the hit).
Wise guys first hit Georgia laying 13 to send the line to 14. Then hit the Wisconsin Milwaukee side twice as hard to send it back to 12.5.
My suggestion is to wait close to game time which is less than two hours away to see if the public hits Georgia a little, then buy the points needed to get the line at +14 since it is possible yet sick that the wise guys may actually get the middle.
GL all!
I've watched this in the past and they hardly ever lose these kinds of plays where they hit one side, then pound the other. Some times, they have actually middled which must absolutely kill the Vegas books they play.
Anyways, they are very rare from what I've seen, but we do have one today: Wisconsin Milwaukee +12.5 (after the hit).
Wise guys first hit Georgia laying 13 to send the line to 14. Then hit the Wisconsin Milwaukee side twice as hard to send it back to 12.5.
My suggestion is to wait close to game time which is less than two hours away to see if the public hits Georgia a little, then buy the points needed to get the line at +14 since it is possible yet sick that the wise guys may actually get the middle.
GL all!
