International Soccer Picks: Week of Feb 6th

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

...am up +15.00 units this season in soccer since Sept 2005.

gonna re-start the record since i can't access my YTD record from an other website.

this week:

France - Ligue 1 Soccer - Sat 2/11
(my bread and butter league)

1) Girondins Bordeaux / Rennes UNDER 2 -119
( 2 units)

2) Strasbourg / AC Ajaccio UNDER 2 -136
( 2 units)

3) AC Ajaccio +0.5 -112 ( 1 unit)
stasbourg one of the worst home teams in the french league...Ajaccio very good defensive team on the road...and should be able to atleast tie this game.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

France - Ligue 1 Soccer - Sun 2/12

4) lille / psg UNDER 2 -120 ( 2 units)
_____________________________

France ligue 1 notoriously known for their defensive soccer, and there are usually 3-4 teams that go under the 2.5 total HUGE. this is why pinnacle is lowering the totals to 2...which doesn't give us a large margin or error. But if you hit the top 3 under teams, there should be a profitable return.

 

[flapjack]

I agree. An insane ammount of unders. I was making a killing off the unders early in the season, but I got pretty burnt in recent weeks as I've seen many more overs.

After a few weeks off I went back into the fray this week with that Ajjacio - Strasbourg under. I've got one book that still keeps the 2 1/2 O/U, and another that does the 2. Seems like as soon as I switched over to taking these games on the U 2 instead of 2 1/2 I started to get killed, so I'm going back to U 2 1/2 -200. Rennes has been one of about 3 teams I stay away from on the unders in that league.

 

[InSpades]

Every France Ligue 1 game had at least two goals. Is this some sort of trend?

IS

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

Every France Ligue 1 game had at least two goals. Is this some sort of trend?

IS

yes, it's historically known that the french league is getting more and more defensive over the last 3 years....sportsbooks are lowering the totals to insane number....I've seen some of these games at 1.5 - 2 goals PER game.

dno't know what happened in hat strabourg game, but according to the database, it shouldn't have gone over 2 goals....oh well that's why they call it gambling....

but it's better to be up than to be down. It's best to hit the france unders early on in the season from sept - December...and after the first month, you can figure out who the top 3 under teams are gonna be and then just hit em hard....it's been like this for the last 3 seasons...looks like the Bordeaux under will be lasting another 2 months before the season is over.....and being in 2nd place, they still have something to play for, which should bolster their defensive play.

gl to all.

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

...am up +15.00 units this season in soccer since Sept 2005.

gonna re-start the record since i can't access my YTD record from an other website.

this week:

France - Ligue 1 Soccer - Sat 2/11
(my bread and butter league)

1) Girondins Bordeaux / Rennes UNDER 2 -119
( 2 units)

2) Strasbourg / AC Ajaccio UNDER 2 -136
( 2 units)

3) AC Ajaccio +0.5 -112 ( 1 unit)
stasbourg one of the worst home teams in the french league...Ajaccio very good defensive team on the road...and should be able to atleast tie this game.

Bordeaux 2 - 0 Rennes = push

Strasbourg 2 - 2 Ajaccio = loss
three goals in the 2nd half....geez

ajaccio side +0.5 = winner

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

hmmmm just found this one:

FC Barcelona pk +110 ( 1 unit)

gl to all.