Irish Open

Stanley

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Outright plays (1.5 units):

Darren Clarke to win 10/1 e.w. @ Bet365 and Victor Chandler
Disappointing week for the well-fancied Irishman, but he has admitted afterwards that "some unknown reason Royal St. George?s never fitted my eye and I did not feel comfortable having to hit some of the shots that I had to." He had been working with Butch Harmon and was hitting the ball extremely well on the driving range, but could not take it out onto a course on which he lacked confidence. It should be a very different story at a Portmarnock course he knows very well. In his 2002 year review column for the Irish Independent he highlighted this importance of this event for him: "Few things in golf outside the Majors would give me more satisfaction than to claim the top prize there." Not many other players in the top-20 in the World Rankings would play in a Challenge Tour event (Northern Ireland Masters in September) to support golf in his home country. He has the motivation and the game to win this event at a cantor.

Peter Lonard to win 28/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler
Not the same motivations for Lonard, but he should also fancy his chances after a strong showing last week. He did eventually finish 59th, but had a nightmare final round and motivation was certainly missing after a poor start. He had been as high as 3rd on the leaderboard on Saturday. To his links credentials, he can add a 5th place at Ballybunion in the 2000 Irish Open and an 8th place finish in 1998 at Druids Glen and has been in great form. This looks a big price against this fairly weak field with some notable players bound to suffer from being in the final groups on Sunday.

Luke Donald to win 50/1 e.w. @ Bet365, Victor Chandler, Paddy Power and BlueSq
Donald didn't make it to the weekend let alone the final groups, but having been paired with Tiger Woods and Sergio Garcia for the first two rounds, it would have been a very difficult task anyway. He has no professional experience of links golf other than the British Open in the last four years, but he has shown himself to be an extremely able player in the United States and should certainly be able to compete against this field. Would be at far lower odds on a tight parkland course, but 50/1 is still too high.
 

crookycymru

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Gary Evans to beat Pierre Fulke at 9/10 with Stan James

Easy to side with a player who seems to love playing at this time of the year. With top ten finishes in his last three events, including another prestigious showing in the Open, he is bound to hold a edge over the Swede this week.
Granted Fulke was impressive at Sandwich last week, but his form is hardly consistent this season. Any decent display he has shown this term, has been followed by a missed cut, and given that he has missed cuts in all his four previous attempts at the Irish Open, it will be hard for him to finish ahead of the in form Englishman this week.

Greg Owen to beat Adam Mednick at 9/10 with Stan James

Opposing a player who has missed more cuts than I have had cooked dinners this year. In his seventeen starts on tour, Mednick has failed to make the third day on thirteen occasions. Last weeks 34th place in The Open was by far the best performance of the season, but it is hard to trust that he will be bolstered by that form.
There is little doubt that Owen is the better player. This would be a huge bet, had it not been for Owens recent form, in which he has missed three of the last four cuts. However, any sign of his early season form will be more than enough, and with a 10-4 head to head advantage over the last fourteen tournaments, it is worth risking a little of the hard earned on him this week.
 

bettingmad

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Mednick has missed a lot of cuts this year but won the 2002 West of Galway in Ireland (admittedly it was a poor field for a European Tour event) but 34th in the British Open on another links course was very good.... Owen has 2/3 missed cuts and the same in the Irish.... be careful I'm not convinced about this one!
 

crookycymru

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BM,

I thought this over a lot last night, and those were the only reasons I have not made this a bigger unit bet. By Sunday you may well turn out to be right, but as a match bet, I feel I am siding with the better player. If I played this match up every week throughout the season, I dont think I would be too much out of pocket, so at least I think it is worth a bet again this week.

It may be that the good finish by Mednick in The Open might add more pressure on him, where as he had to put everything into his game to churn out that finish last week. It is hard to judge how he will go into this Irish Open mentally, but thanks for your input, because any input is helpful to any bet.

;)
 

Clive

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Crooky

Can I ask you, do you know if there is a new compiler at Hills..they have been getting filled in this week with some strange quotes?

Begay 33 from 66
Kaye 25 from 40
Park 20 from 33
Mason 40 from 50
Pettersen 66 from 100
Zoeller 20 from 28

and they're just the ones I 've paid attention to...

Any ideas?
 

Stanley

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Matchup plays (1.5 units):

Luke Donald to beat Greg Owen -137 @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Will add another play on Donald against the out-of-sorts Owen. Since winning the British Masters in June, Owen has missed three cuts of four and finished 61st on the other occasion. His record in this event is not too impressive either: he missed the cut at Druids Glen in 1999 and Fota Island in 2001 and finished 45th at Ballybunion in 2000. Donald may never have played in Ireland and have limited links experience, but he is a far better player.

Jarrod Moseley to beat Mark Foster -125 @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Looking for a letdown from Foster after his excellent British Open. He had missed his three previous cuts after returning from an operation to remove an in-growing hair in his back, but having never reached the weekend in any of his previous four Tour events in Ireland, there could be another reason for a poor weekend from the Englishman. Moseley was 3rd in this event in 1999 at Druids Glen and showed his abilities at links golf when finishing 1st in the Open qualifier at Princes last week. He may have missed the cut in the Championship proper, but should atone this week.

Peter Lonard to beat Paul McGinley -135 @ Carib(UK) and Aces
Lonard will certainly want to atone for his poor final round and is the subject of two further plays this week. Opposing McGinley is easy. He did finish 28th last week, but his best finish in his last ten starts has been 20th and that form will not get him back into the Ryder Cup team. Nor is his record in Ireland particularly impressive and while he was around when this event was originally played at Portmarnock, he missed the cut in 1989 and finished 55th in 1990. Can't see much improvement this week.

Peter Lonard to beat Ian Poulter -111 @ William Hill and Ladbrokes
Poulter is not a links player. He has won in Italy, Morocco and Wales on inland, parkland courses. He is far too attacking for this type of course and made the cut on the mark last week. Although he is a good player to have for outrights, this looks like being one of those 'other' weeks for Poulter. Five Dimes are much closer to the mark with Lonard at -135 in this matchup.
 

Stanley

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Adding (1.5 units):

Peter Fowler to beat Andrew Oldcorn -110 @ BetInternet
Opposing a player who finished 28th last week, but it was his 2nd best finish of the year in 11 starts. He never played well at Portmarnock from 1986 to 1990 and his overall record on link courses is not particularly impressive. Fowler played well in the Open qualifier at Cinque Ports and finished ahead of Oldcorn in the Championship proper, as he has done in five of their seven common events this year.

No 1st round plays.
 

crookycymru

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Just noticed the two players I am opposing in my match ups, are the two players, the Sporting Life tip up as winners this week.

Guess one of us will be happy!! :shrug:

Anybody got any ideas what kind of record the Sporting Life golf tipster has this season??
 

lostinamerica

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Between Green Bay and Iowa City
Andrew Coltart(50/1) for 0.50* e.w. @ Bet365
Gary Evans(33/1) for 0.50* e.w. @ Bet365
Darren Clarke(10/1) for 0.50* e.w. @ Bet365

PARLAY Bjorn(+1100) w/ Perry(+600) w/ Watson(+350) for 0.20* @ 377/1 @ Bet365

Roe(+100) over Green (Tournament) for 1* @ Olympic

Bjorn(+138) over Harrington/Campbell (Thursday) for 1* @ Bet365

GL
 

crookycymru

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:p

Would like to say what a class act I think Thomas Bjorn is! I saw his interview today, and he was honest, frank, and then went out and played a superb round of golf!!

What a man!! :thefinger
 

Stanley

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2nd round update: 2-1-0; +5.25 units

Olazabal/Donald WON by 1
O'Malley/Roe WON by 5
Harrington/Lonard LOST by 8

Mid-point update:

Donald/Owen Trails by 3
Moseley/Foster WON by 8
Lonard/McGinley Leads by 1
Lonard/Poulter Leads by 2
Fowler/Oldcorn WON by 6

Clarke 41st
Lonard 6th
Donald 22nd

Got lucky with Donald dropping three shots in the last two holes to fluke the win in the top 18-hole play of the day. Surprised Olly didn't do better - he had finished 4th, 2nd, 6th and 1st on his four previous visits to Portmarnock. It did harm Donald's chances with the outrights, but Lonard is handily placed. Apart from a problem with losing golf balls en route to a quadruple bogey at the 8th hole on Thursday, Lonard has been extremely impressive so far and should have a good weekend.

3rd round plays (1.5 units unless stated):

Peter O'Malley to beat Luke Donald -107 @ Five Dimes
Marten Lafeber to beat Nick Dougherty -115 @ Five Dimes [3 units]
Greg Turner to beat Christian Cavaer -120 @ Five Dimes
 

Trampled Underfoot

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Adding........

Lonard 10-1 1/5 1234 (SportingBet)

Wish I could have found 1/4 1-4 at a good book but i'll take these odds. Hopefully he can avoid that mess from day 1. :D
 
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