Round 3 plays (2pts):
Ricardo Santos to beat Robert Rock +110 @ Paddy Power [also available @ Stan James]
Opposing Rock who holds a share of the lead after 36 holes. He has been in this position three times previously and has yet to win, so I'll take these odds on Santos (who is 3rd) to beat him. Since the Abu Dhabi Golf Championship in January, Rock has finished a tournament ahead of Santos just once in nine common events.
Jose Maria Olazabal to beat Oscar Floren -107 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
Two more players in 3rd place. This is the fifth time that Floren has started the weekend in the top-5 on the European Tour: he has finished 52nd, 5th, 36th, 63rd - with the exception of the weak Sicilian Open in 2011, he has always struggled to convert these chances when on the main Tour and I think that it will happen again. Given the weather forecast, Olazabal should have enough guile and experience to stay in contention a little longer.