Is this a good middle opportunity???

[BrandonC21]

One book has Mich @ -3.5, the other has Michigan @ -4.5..... I've never took a shot at a middle before, but I might here..

Opinions?

 

[FED]

no,

that means mich has to win by exactly 4 for you to win both, and if you dont you loose 10% to the juice box.


not worth it

 

[Blue Jay]

agree with FED.....

 

[dawgball]

To say it in another way, you will be taking Michigan to win by exactly 4 at 20-1.

It's not the worst wager I've ever seen, but it probably is not wortht the risk. Usually you want at least another half point to risk a middle.

GL

 

[JOSHNAUDI]

A good middle opportunity last week was the Tech v SMU game. Tech opened at 16.5 point favorites and closed as 22 point favorites. If you had been on Tech from the get go then taken Smu at +22 you would have given yourself a chance to middle if Tech had one by 17 to 21. This play was a loser last week but did provide a good middle opportunity.

 

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Mich by exactly 4 will hit about 3% of the time. Don't do it, mang.

 

[mack the knife]

If you have reduced vig, the conventional wisdom doesn't hold--you have to re-work the math....i.e, if you get no juice on one side, and -105 on the other.....but now it is harder to find these type of odds than last year....and I assume you are paying full juice...

MTK

 

[BrandonC21]

Thanks for the info fellas.. I'll lay off.. Now you can see why I dont mess with middles..

 

[gardenweasel]

stats don`t give the whole picture

stats don`t give the whole picture

this will be a defensive struggle....3 or 4 points are excellent multiples for a possible middle.......i`ve got it going at 13.5-15 on maryland-fla st...i`ve hit 2 already this year...and when you hit both ways,believe me,it covers one helluva lot of juice....3-4.5 would be irresistable in a tough game like this...