IX...........Monday

IX_Bender

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NY @ Washington


On paper, its pretty simple. Giants have the better offense (7th over 9th) defense (8th over 17th) and vastly better special teams. Therefore, its not hard to understand that the Gmen are favorities here on the road against a team that theyve already beaten.


Its always a good idea in these divisional games to go back and take a look at the previous game to help handicap the upcoming one. RGIII's introduction to divisional play was a 27-23 loss at New York (7-4) on Oct. 21. He completed 20 of 28 passes for 258 yards and two scores and also ran nine times for 89 yards.

"It's a game we felt we should have won," Griffin said. "And we didn't win it, they got the win in their column and we got the loss."

Manning took advantage of the Redskins' secondary in the first meeting between these teams in New Jersey, passing for 337 yards in a 27-23 victory where he hit Victor Cruz with the game winning touchdown in the final moments.

So, lots of Washington running with Morris and RGIII, and lots of NY passing, with Cruz having the key GW catch late in the 4th.



Giants' quarterback Eli Manning had been in a three-game funk before the demolition of the Packers, but the bye must have done him some good as he had his best game in about a month in prime time Sunday, passing for 249 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions. He was still not as sharp as he was earlier in the year however as he completed only 16 of his 30 passes, but at least he is now trending in the right direction.


Don't expect the game plan to change much for the Giants, especially since the Redskins have one of the weakest secondaries in the game and have only generated 20 sacks on the season so far (26th). The Giants will also be working rookie running back David Wilson into the mix this week following the season-ending injury to Andre Brown. So a heavy workload for Ahmad Bradshaw and Wilson against a stiff Redskins run defense (89 ypg - 3rd) just wouldn't make a whole lot of sense. Especailly considering the injury issues already with Bradshaw and the fumbling issues with Wilson.

Finally recovering from his injuries, Hakeem Nicks is coming off his most productive game since Week 2. He?s still not the Nicks we?ve come to know, but he?ll be at least a mild handful for Josh Wilson and Cedric Griffin outside. He is clearly the #1 WR on the field when he can stay on it (injury prone). Nicks has simply lit it up the past few weeks. He racked up 27 targets in the last two weeks and that includes 13 against the Pack when Eli only put up 30 attempts due to the fact that they were winning by double digits the entire 2h.

Cruz had less than half the targets , 6, than Nicks, and everyone else had half the targets of Cruz. IF that doesnt scream #1 WR, then nothing can.

Im expecting Eli and the Giants to come out throwing, and he will have time against this pass rush. The Skins have no pass rush right now with their two best pass rushers Brian Orakpo and Adam Carriker both on Injured Reserve, and they put no pressure on Manning in the first meeting while recording only one sack. There is no reason to believe that Manning will have any less time to find wide open receivers in this game, especially after the New York offensive line looked so great last week while allowing only one sack vs. a Green Bay pass rush.

Manning now had a good chance to return to his vintage form as he will be throwing against a Washington pass defense that is ranked 31st out of 32 NFL teams at a dreadful 301.4 yards per game, ahead of only the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Guess what Eli and Nicks did against TB?
How about 10 catches for 199 yards? Ouch.
If Nicks had 5 for 77 against the Pack in lst weeks blowout, what do you think hes gonna do tonight?


The Redskins have a very inept pass rush. It?s highly unlikely that they?ll be able to penetrate against one of the most cohesive pass-blocking offensive lines in the league. Even if they do, Eli Manning, when he?s on his game, is too good at making throws in the face of pressure for it to matter. I like the over in catches and yardage across the board here.

Total pass receiving yards Hakeem Nicks OVER 79 1/2 yards

NY/WAS-PASS RECEPTIONS MADE BY HAKEEM NICKS

OVER 5 PASS RECEPTIONS



Against a Washington defense allowing 301 passing yards per game, a night not marred by weather should be loaded with opportunities for Eli Manning and the Giants? offense.
 

IE

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Giants on Offense: The Redskins? defense always seems to give the Giants more problems than they do other teams. The Redskins are currently ranked 28th in the NFL in terms of yards allowed (390.5 per game) and 25th in points allowed (25.9 per game). And they are a terrible 31st in the NFL against the pass (301.4 yards per game). But they are a remarkable 3rd in the NFL in run defense (89.2 yards per game). Why that figure is so impressive is, that on paper, their defensive personnel doesn?t seem overly intimidating in the front seven, especially with the early-season losses of DE Adam Carriker and LB Brian Orakpo. But Washington?s 3-4 defense had been getting the job done up front against the run.

The man in the middle on the defensive line is our old friend Barry Cofield. He?s been a big asset for Washington and he gave OC David Baas problems in the first game. (Keep in mind the oft-injured Baas is hurting again, this time with a shoulder injury). Inside linebackers London Fletcher (88 tackles) and Perry Riley (85 tackles) are the top two tacklers on the defense ? just the way you draw it up in a 3-4 defense. With Orakpo out, OLB Ryan Kerrigan is their best pass rusher (6.5 sacks) and a physical presence against the run.

While Washington is not one of the NFL?s best pass-rushing teams (20 sacks), they do a great job of creating turnovers. They have 14 interceptions and have returned three of those for touchdowns. They have also forced nine fumbles, recovering seven for two additional touchdowns.

The Redskins? secondary is not as strong, but for some reason QB Eli Manning never seems to have his best games against Washington. CB DeAngelo Hall is a feast-or-famine-type of player. He leads the Redskins in interceptions and has a history of picking off Eli. But he also is vulnerable to double moves and getting beat deep. The other starting corner is Josh Wilson. The safeties ? Reed Doughty and Madieu Williams ? are not very strong against the pass.

Ball security is imperative. And Manning needs to elevate his game against the team and a defense not known for playing the pass very well. In the last three Giants-Redskins games, Eli has completed 60 percent of his passes, but he has only thrown one touchdown against six interceptions. If Eli plays like that again, the Giants will likely lose the game.

The real key question is can the Giants run on this defense? In the last three games, the Giants have rushed for 75, 91, and 64 yards against Washington. Earlier this season, Ahmad Bradshaw and Andre Brown managed only 60 yards on 17 carries. That?s not going to get it done either. Should the Giants come out throwing or try to remain balanced from the start? If they try to remain balanced, they obviously need to run and block better. The loss of Brown due to injury will probably negatively impact the Giants in short-yardage situations. How much will that hurt in this game? On the other hand, David Wilson brings an added dimension with his explosiveness. He should get the most touches he has had all season. Obviously, the Giants need him to perform well in pass protection and hold onto the football. But his ability may surprise Washington.
 

IE

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took a flyer on this:

WAS defense + special teams TD's over 1? +1600
 

IX_Bender

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Some GL MOJO
wow IE..... +1600!!!!!!!!!!!!!


here we go fellas.

Kate-Upton-Guess-2.jpg
 

IE

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and one more late:

A.Morris receiving yards over 5? +110
 

IE

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hoping we can get one or two dump-offs.
 

IX_Bender

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Made money on the night, but still puzzled as to why its not more.


Nicks..... 10 targets , leads team and falls short of yardage and pushes the 5 catches.

PG, the first FG and the Skins all cashed, but im bitter.

game went very much as I thought, tons of 20+ yard catches and they ALL go to Bennett or Cruz.



wide fucking awake and none to pleased with the winnings.
 
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