I like the Jaguars here, but I had to overcome the bias toward Indy in any big AFC South match up. The Colts are back! The Cots are back! That is what you are led to believe after they disposed of Tennessee last Thursday in what was a pretty impressive offensive performance.
Both teams are horrible defensively, but I think this matters less for the Jags. Peyton can score against any team. Indy gives up tons of rushing yards. The Colts rush D ranks 29th in yards and 31st in yards per attempt, giving up 4.8 yards per carry. I expect Peyton to have a great game early, but when it becomes apparent that they can't stop the Jaguars from piling up multiple 6-7 minute drives, he will become panicked and force balls. Despite obvious differences in talent, these teams have played one another close in the past. The L6 H2H meetings:
14 Sun December 2, 2007 L Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts 25 28
15 Sun September 21, 2008 W Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts 23 21
16 Thu December 18, 2008 L Jacksonville Jaguars Indianapolis Colts 24 31
17 Sun September 13, 2009 L Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts 12 14
18 Thu December 17, 2009 L Jacksonville Jaguars Indianapolis Colts 31 35
19 Sun October 3, 2010 W Jacksonville Jaguars Indianapolis Colts 31 28
JAGUARS +5.5
Both teams are horrible defensively, but I think this matters less for the Jags. Peyton can score against any team. Indy gives up tons of rushing yards. The Colts rush D ranks 29th in yards and 31st in yards per attempt, giving up 4.8 yards per carry. I expect Peyton to have a great game early, but when it becomes apparent that they can't stop the Jaguars from piling up multiple 6-7 minute drives, he will become panicked and force balls. Despite obvious differences in talent, these teams have played one another close in the past. The L6 H2H meetings:
14 Sun December 2, 2007 L Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts 25 28
15 Sun September 21, 2008 W Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts 23 21
16 Thu December 18, 2008 L Jacksonville Jaguars Indianapolis Colts 24 31
17 Sun September 13, 2009 L Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts 12 14
18 Thu December 17, 2009 L Jacksonville Jaguars Indianapolis Colts 31 35
19 Sun October 3, 2010 W Jacksonville Jaguars Indianapolis Colts 31 28
JAGUARS +5.5
