Jan 21 player props and other miscellaneous thoughts

EXTRAPOLATER

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Feb 22, 2001
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Vegas@Bruins looks like Fleury@Halak, in net. About 3 weeks ago I was playing some Bruins on the regulation moneyline, when I could find it better than +100. This is kind of strange as I actually hope that the Bruins lose every game for the next ten years or so. Anyways, I can't touch them, lately, and their 4 reggae wins from the past 10 turns me off them further. Vegas I only like in the right situation and the +131 I see doesn't qualify in Beantown just prior to the extended break we've got after tomorrow's pair of games. Go Golden Knights, regardless!

Isles is Greiss in net at Rangers Georgiev. Isles D is way better, here, and I'd prefer to keep chuckin' on the Rangers rookie goalie Igor Shesterkin when he's starting. Artemi Panarin has been a worthwhile goal or assist option for the Rangers, lately, but I'd be more tempted by a regulation total under 6. If it was Igor I'd be on it.

Jets I can't call, this year. They were way more reliable the previous 2 season, including being an excellent 1st-period team; their 1st period production is way down this year. Hellebuyck is starting for Jets with backup Brossoit slated to go tomorrow in Columbus (who are quite hot (surprisingly) but way too expensive tomorrow, imo). Connor is playing worse than in prior years and the Hurricanes can score a-plenty, making the over a thought. Unconfirmed says Mrazek in net for the 'Canes and, whatever the numbers may argue, I think he is the better goaltender than James Reimer (my preferred 'Canes over goalie).

Liking this next one better. Penguins are hot, anyways, but the crucial threshold influence for me was the apparent confirmation of backup goalie Brian Elliott in net. Elliot blows chunks, imo, and a quantity of goals by the Penguins seems likely. Team total I see at a fairly generous +114 at over 3.5, but if the Penguins are scoring 4 or more (or even less) than I figure that there is a good chance of one or more of the following happening:
Brian Rust goal +171
Evgeni Malkin goal +191
Sidney Crosby goal +187
Gotta be a whack of assists, too, if the Penguins are lighting the lamp but I can find a tempting number. Crosby assist is -118 and Malkin -132. Top defenseman--only D man on the top power play unit--Kris Letang is mildly tempting at +132. I talked myself out of the juicy Jared McCann options of +249 for goal and +302 for assist, another possibility(s).
Penguins is Jarry in net, btw.

About 5 or 6 weeks ago I did some goofy rant about the Blackhawks being a good play-on team, which they were for the next couple, or so, but that quickly switched to them going into a bit of a coma and costing me for a stretch until I swore off them. I didn't jump back in (go figure) until they'd shockingly (to me) won 3 games in a row. Cashed some sweet numbers with them over the past two and its totally worth a shot, here, as the been-staying-home 'Hawks host the back-to-back (won 5-4 in Minny yesterday) Panthers (hot in their own right, actually). I prefer 'Hawks with Lehner starting and he's listed as confirmed (Crawford=overs, better). Panthers are going with Samuel Montemb__(more letters), who has been mediocre at best in limited NHL work and, frankly, doesn't seem like an elite prospect based on the minimal time I figured was worth pursuing the issue. 'Hawks could cash a few and while Patrick Kane is always a top offensive option, I'm seeing some better choices with this group of very hot players:
Jonathan Toews goal +224
Toews assist +118
Brandon Saad goal +249
Dominik Kubalik goal +197
Kubalik point +101
I could have doubled-up on Kubalik for an assist, listed well over +200, but passing is not in this guy's repetoire. He's playing on the top line with Toews and the captain is finally on fire...majorly on fire.
Blackhawks getting grim production from the defenseman. Their defense, in general, is a weakness which often makes it a requirement to net many pucks in order to outscore their opponents. Blackhawks team total, ov3.5 at +123, is slightly more tempting for me than the Penguins, though I'm finding I can wrack up a solid percentage of the player props when my team puts up a big number. Has even saved me several times (player props preferred to side) when my team just nets 1 or 2 (Leafs a perfect example, lately, as I netted 2 of my 3 player props on the single goal they scored vs the Flames and had they player props save me (some) face and money in their last joke of a performance vs the Blackhawks).

Leafs will not win a Cup with Andersen in net.
Sorry, Don Cherry.

Here's hoping that I am wrong about at least one thing stated above.

GL
 
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