Jets vs. Golden Knights playoff preview

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Jets vs. Golden Knights playoff preview

Winnipeg counting on Scheifele, Wheeler; Vegas relying on Fleury, top line

by Shawn P. Roarke @sroarke_nhl / NHL.com Director of Editorial

Winnipeg Jets vs. Vegas Golden Knights


Jets: 8-4 (defeated Minnesota Wild 4-1 in first round, Nashville Predators 4-3 in second round)


Golden Knights: 8-2 (defeated Los Angeles Kings 4-0 in first round, San Jose Sharks 4-2 in second round)


Season series: VGK 2-1-0; WPG 1-1-1


The skinny
New blood has found its way to the Western Conference Final.


The two newest teams in the Western Conference, the Winnipeg Jets and the Vegas Golden Knights will meet in the best-of-7 series, which begins at MTS Place on Saturday (7 p.m. ET; NBC, CBC, TVAS).


The Jets are making their first conference final since entering the League as the Atlanta Thrashers in 1999. They relocated to Winnipeg in 2011 and moved into the Western Conference for the 2013-14 season.


The Golden Knights are in their inaugural season, and have set and continue to set numerous records. Their 8-2 record in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is the best by any team in its first 10 postseason games.


"If you watch a lot of hockey, they've played the game that they're playing now right from the get-go," Jets coach Paul Maurice said. "It wasn't a team that got hot in the last month to make the playoffs.


"They've been good right from the start straight through, and if you're new to the NHL but a longtime hockey fan and you turned on the TV and didn't know that was an expansion team, you wouldn't have thought it was."


However, this is the first time the Golden Knights will not have home-ice advantage.


"We have no issue with it," Vegas coach Gerard Gallant said. "We played 41 road games during the season and had a real good record (22-14-5) and we have had a great road record in the playoffs (4-1) so far. They have home ice, so we'll go in there and, hopefully, play two real good games and leave there up in the series. That's the goal."


The Golden Knights are the third team to win multiple NHL playoff series in their inaugural season, joining the Toronto Arenas (1918) and St. Louis Blues (1968).


This is the first time two teams are making their conference final debut in the same series since 2003, when the Anaheim Ducks swept the Minnesota Wild in the Western Conference Final.

Game breaker
Golden Knights: Forward William Karlsson had a breakout regular season and hasn't slowed in the postseason. He has 10 points (four goals, six assists) in 10 games which ranks second on the team behind Jonathan Marchessault and Reilly Smith who each has 11 points. Karlsson, who is averaging 22:28 of ice time per game in the postseason, is plus-6. The Golden Knights have 56.67 percent of the shot attempts when he is on the ice, seventh among forwards who have played at least 10 postseason games. Three of Karlsson's 43 regular-season goals came against the Jets.

Jets: Center Mark Scheifele leads all scorers in the playoffs with 11 goals in 12 games, one more than Jake Guentzel of the Pittsburgh Penguins. Scheifele had seven goals in the four games in Nashville at Bridgestone Arena, including two in a 5-1 win in Game 7 on Thursday. He also leads the Jets with 16 points in the postseason after he had 60 points (23 goals, 37 assists) in 60 regular-season games. Scheifele is averaging 21:14 of ice time per game, most among Winnipeg forwards in the postseason, and has four points (three goals, one assist) on the power play.


X-factor
Golden Knights: Rookie forward Alex Tuch has used his size (6-foot-4, 224 pounds) and speed to bedevil opponents. He has four goals, tied for the Vegas lead with Smith and Karlsson, and seven points, which is tied for fourth on the Golden Knights. Tuch especially has been effective on the power play, with four points (three goals, one assist).


Jets: Forward Kyle Connor scored 31 goals during the regular season, but has been held to two goals in the playoffs. Each came in Game 5 against Nashville. He has not been needed to score much so far, with his linemates Scheifele and Blake Wheeler carrying the play on the top line. Connor's 7.1 shooting percentage is less than half of his regular-season average of 16.1 percent.


Goaltending
Golden Knights: Marc-Andre Fleury has been the best goalie in the postseason. His .951 save percentage is tops among all starting goalies, as are his four shutouts. He has an even-strength save percentage of .958, the best in the postseason since the stat began being tracked in 1997-98. Fleury played against the Jets once in the regular season; he made 26 saves in a 3-2 overtime win Feb. 1.


Jets: Connor Hellebuyck wasn't at his best for the entire second round but played big when he needed to. He made 36 saves on 37 shots in Game 7 against Nashville on the road and won three of four starts in Nashville during the seven-game series; his only loss came in overtime of Game 2.
Hellebuyck struggled against the Golden Knights in the regular season, with a 4.40 goals-against average and .857 save percentage (12 goals-allowed on 84 shots).


Numbers to know
Golden Knights: Vegas has killed 34 of 40 penalties, a success rate of 85.0 percent, second in the postseason to Los Angeles (91.7). The Jets are 11th at 74.2 percent and have allowed eight goals in 31 times shorthanded.


Jets: Winnipeg is plus-76 in 5-on-5 shot attempts, first in NHL during the playoffs. Vegas is fourth at plus-44 but has played 10 games, two fewer than Winnipeg.


They said it
"It's a physical series. We've got some skaters. Kyle Connor got better as the series went on, stronger. I really liked (Nikolaj) Ehlers' game, on the puck. But that's a difficult thing to do, to get out on the road ... to play well in here as consistently as we did, it's impressive." -- Jets coach Paul Maurice on beating the Predators to face the Golden Knights


"It felt like guys were like, 'Yeah, that was fun, but this is not over, that was a just a part of it.' The last two days, the tempo and the intensity have ramped up quite a bit and guys are ready to go onto the next series. I don't think the guys are satisfied yet."-- Golden Knights forward Pierre-Edouard Bellemare


Will win if ?

Golden Knights: They get production from their second line, which has Erik Haula centering David Perron and James Neal. The three have combined for 20 points (six goals, 14 assists) through 10 games, but face a new challenge against the Jets, who made the Predators' second line all but disappear last round. Perron has seven points, but has yet to score a goal. Neal and Haula each has one goal in the past five games.


Jets: They neutralize the speed of the Golden Knights with their physical play. The Jets were able to slow the Predators by playing the body heavily at every opportunity. The charge has been led by defensemen Dustin Byfuglien, whose 46 hits are third-most in the postseason, and Ben Chiarot, who has 39. The Golden Knights are faster than the Predators and will present more of a challenge in the attacking zone.


How they look
Golden Knights projected lineup


William Karlsson -- Reilly Smith -- Jonathan Marchessault


James Neal -- Erik Haula -- David Perron


Oscar Lindberg -- Cody Eakin -- Alex Tuch


Ryan Carpenter -- Pierre-Edouard Bellemare -- Tomas Nosek


Brayden McNabb -- Nate Schmidt


Shea Theodore -- Deryk Engelland


Luca Sbisa -- Colin Miller


Marc-Andre Fleury


Malcolm Subban


Scratched: Jon Merrill, Tomas Tatar, Ryan Reaves, Brad Hunt


Injured: William Carrier (undisclosed)



Jets projected lineup


Kyle Connor -- Mark Scheifele -- Blake Wheeler


Nikolaj Ehlers -- Paul Stastny -- Patrik Laine


Brandon Tanev -- Adam Lowry -- Andrew Copp


Mathieu Perreault -- Bryan Little -- Joel Armia


Josh Morrissey -- Jacob Trouba


Toby Enstrom -- Dustin Byfuglien


Ben Chiarot -- Tyler Myers


Connor Hellebuyck


Steve Mason


Scratched: Tucker Poolman, Joe Morrow, Shawn Matthias, Marko Dano, Jack Roslovic, Matt Hendricks


Injured: Dmitry Kulikov (lower body)


Status report
Carrier, who has been a difference-maker on the forecheck, is unlikely to play in Game 1. He missed Game 6 against the Sharks and did not skate during practice Wednesday or Thursday. ... Sbisa said he is close to 100 percent after averaging 15:52 of ice time the past two games. He missed the first eight games of the playoffs because of injury.

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