Round 1 plays (2pts unless stated):
Henrik Stenson to Rory McIlroy +100 @ Paddy Power [also available @ SkyBet] [4pts]
Opposing McIlroy who has looked some way below his best since returning to the Tour and was 24 shots behind the leaders after just 36 holes when this course was last used two years ago! Stenson finished well ahead of him on that occasion and, with 2nd place finishes in each of the two Playoff events so far, is in very good form and in good shape to lift his second FedEx Cup title in three years.
Jason Day to beat Rory McIlroy -120 @ 5Dimes
While Stenson is 4th in the FedEx Cup standings, Day is 1st. Considering that he has won three of his last five events, his lead in the FedEx Cup race is fully justified. And given that he finished 4th on this course two years ago, it looks unlikely that he will be overtaken at the top of those standings this week.
Jim Furyk to beat Dustin Johnson +105 @ SkyBet [also available @ 5Dimes, Pinnacle, The Greek and Carib]
Like McIlroy, Johnson struggled on this course two years ago, shooting over-par in every round and finishing 62nd (of 70). By contrast, Furyk shot 59 in rd2 en route to finishing 3rd. Given that the top-4 on the leaderboard that week contained four players who ranked in the top-6 for driving accuracy that week and only one player who ranked inside the top-30 for driving distance that week, this is clearly a course that suits Furyk far more than Johnson.
Keegan Bradley to beat Phil Mickleson -106 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, SkyBet, The Greek and Carib]
With Mickelson ranking 172nd in Driving Accuracy on the PGA Tour this season, he is clearly a player to oppose. Bradley is much better suited to this course - he finished six shots ahead of Mickelson in 2013 - and should finish ahead of him again in their final event of the 2014-15 season (both need top-3 finishes to progress and that looks extemely unlikely for both of them).
Brandt Snedeker to beat Hunter Mahan -111 @ Paddy Power
Snedeker needs only a top-65 place to progress to the Tour Championship, whereas Mahan needs a top-3 finish. That evidences the difference in form between these two. Another is that Snedeker leads Mahan 11-4-1 h2h in 2015 (and 10-4-2 h2h in rd1 alone). Both finished in the top-10 on this course two years ago, but only Snedeker is showing the form this year to repeat that feat.