Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)
Jason Bohn to win 33/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
If only PGA Tour events started on Fridays! Bohn has not broken 70 in his opening round since the Ford Championship in the first week of March! Last week, he ranked 120th after the 1st round and finished 16th; in his previous start, he had ranked 139th after the 1st round and finished 9th. So he is clearly playing well enough to win his 2nd PGA Tour title; he just needs a decent start. Last year he missed the cut, but that was the seventh missed cut in nine events and on his course debut, the previous year, he finished 14th which was his best finish on the PGA Tour to date. So with a decent start on a course that holds good memories, he should enter the weekend at much lower odds than these.
Shigeki Maruyama to win 33/1 e.w. @ BetDirect
Last year Maruyama finished 7th, but that was in the middle of a period in which he admitted to putting poorly and that is evident from his finishes. His top-10 finish was only his second cut that he made in a run of seven events from July to September. So even though he fell from being 2nd at the start of the weekend, it was a noteworthy performance given his struggles at the time. And he is not struggling at the moment. True, he missed the cut last week, but in the previous two starts, he had finished 13th and 5th and he had missed the cut at the Western Open last year as well. Against this field, 33/1 is rather generous.
Hunter Mahan to win 80/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes and BetFred
An attractive price for a player who was 1st and then 2nd after the first two rounds last year and eventually finished 7th. He had dropped five shots in eight holes at the start of his third round, but still finished only three shots behind the winner, Sean O'Hair. And considering that he finished 2nd in the Buick Championship only two weeks ago against a stronger field, he should have a good chance of being on the leaderboard again this week.
Jason Bohn to win 33/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
If only PGA Tour events started on Fridays! Bohn has not broken 70 in his opening round since the Ford Championship in the first week of March! Last week, he ranked 120th after the 1st round and finished 16th; in his previous start, he had ranked 139th after the 1st round and finished 9th. So he is clearly playing well enough to win his 2nd PGA Tour title; he just needs a decent start. Last year he missed the cut, but that was the seventh missed cut in nine events and on his course debut, the previous year, he finished 14th which was his best finish on the PGA Tour to date. So with a decent start on a course that holds good memories, he should enter the weekend at much lower odds than these.
Shigeki Maruyama to win 33/1 e.w. @ BetDirect
Last year Maruyama finished 7th, but that was in the middle of a period in which he admitted to putting poorly and that is evident from his finishes. His top-10 finish was only his second cut that he made in a run of seven events from July to September. So even though he fell from being 2nd at the start of the weekend, it was a noteworthy performance given his struggles at the time. And he is not struggling at the moment. True, he missed the cut last week, but in the previous two starts, he had finished 13th and 5th and he had missed the cut at the Western Open last year as well. Against this field, 33/1 is rather generous.
Hunter Mahan to win 80/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes and BetFred
An attractive price for a player who was 1st and then 2nd after the first two rounds last year and eventually finished 7th. He had dropped five shots in eight holes at the start of his third round, but still finished only three shots behind the winner, Sean O'Hair. And considering that he finished 2nd in the Buick Championship only two weeks ago against a stronger field, he should have a good chance of being on the leaderboard again this week.
