Jones vs Tito over/under

[nj]

Why is over 10.5 the dog?

Jones' power punching and combinations are gone, he's just going to pot-shot and move to a W like vs Hansahw. Expect lead right hands followed by nothing...

unless he's shot from age and making 170lbs, and Tito catches him on the ropes. That would mean a decision or KO 8-12...

Im tempted to take the early over 10.5, that to me should be the favourite. I expect it to fluctuate for a nice scalp.

thoughts?

 

[nj]

I also think Tito is being underrated, if I catch him at +400 it's definitely worth a play. Jones is unpredictable at this point, Tito has his power (and illegal wraps) even if everything else is gone.
Ive seen as high at +366.

 

[conanthecribber]

Chance for money here.

The over is not the dog at bwin.

Starts round 10 = 1.75

Doesn't start round 10 = 1.95

What odds you looking at. Maybe the spread will work.

conan

p.s. I agree with you. This has got dullsville written all over it. Tito too much weight and not dynamic enough and Jones too scared to get in a war.

 

[nj]

These are the best two lines Ive found with over as dog:

pinn over 10.5: EU 2.21 UK 6/5 US +121
5d over 11.5: EU 2.55 UK 14/9 US +155

at bwin:

under 10: EU 1.95 UK* 16/17 US -105
over 10: EU 1.75 UK* 3/4 US -133

If its stopped between 10 and 10.5 you lose both. The over alone is good for me, I expect it to fluctuate.

I like bwin?s Jones on pts, 2.38 or +138. Jones hasn?t Koed anybody in years, he dropped Hanshaw in 11th and didn?t go for the finish, Hanshaw?s not nearly as dangerous a puncher as Tito. Jones will be drained at 170, I don't think he'd risk gassing out for a KO unless the fight was almost over, as in late 11 or 12.

Jones dec, Tito straight and over 10.5 are my early picks.

 

[The Sponge]

C

p.s. I agree with you. This has got dullsville written all over it. Tito too much weight and not dynamic enough and Jones too scared to get in a war.

I agree with this completely. Only one who will come to fight is Tito. These type of fight you should give every round to Tito if Roy runs around all night. So happy i got to live long enough to see his big mouth shut but i do miss him on HBO with his commentary. He really offset Lampley's ridiculous play by play. I think it is why they got rid of him.