Round 4 plays (2pts):
Vijay Singh to beat Brendon De Jonge -110 @ Paddy Power
I still think that De Jonge will buckle under the pressure at some stage. The one previous time that he held the lead heading into the final round of a PGA Tour event was this year's AT&T National - he shot 77 and finished 11th.
Tim Herron to beat Jason Bohn -125 @ SkyBet
No great surprise to see Herron in 4th place, he has consistently played well here - finishes of 14th, 6th, 27th and 5th in the last five years. He has finished ahead of Bohn in each of their last four events, so a fifth looks likely this week.
Jason Day to beat Russell Knox -125 @ BetVictor
Knox is currently in 6th place - this will be the first time that he has started the final round of a PGA Tour event in the top-10. He has done so twice in the top-20, but each time he finished the PGA Tour event outside the top-30. To be opposed when faced with such unfamiliar pressure.
Josh Teater to beat Bill Lunde -134 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek, Carib and WSEX]
By contrast, this will be the fourth time that Teater has started the final round of a PGA Tour event inside the top-10 - each time previously he has finished the day still in the top-10. The last time was in the Canadian Open in July - he shot 66 to finish 4th.
Josh Teater to beat Jhonattan Vegas -111 @ Bet365
This is just the third cut that Vegas has made in the last four months and, unlike Teater who is in the top-10, he a lot further back in 29th place. I just don't see the form from the Venezuelan to be able to make a significant move up this leaderboard.