Judah over Margo

nj

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Played him small at +330. Don't think he'll win, but +330 is too high.

From what Ive seen of Zab, he's motivated entirely by the money. When he's ranked high and respected, he fights lazy and stupid, and puts out stinkers against journeyman.

When his rpeutation (meanings profitability) is in question, he pulls out terrific performances, at least in the early rounds. Mayweather, Cotto, Spinks, whenever he absolutely needs a good showing, he shows up.

He has a big speed advantage over Margo, and 1-punch KO power, but is reluctant to pull the trigger. Mentally unpredictable and quick to give up..

I expect him to lose by late TKO, but +330 is worth it.


On that note, I also played over 8.5 at +110. I think Judah is just desperate enough to hang in there, if for no other reason than to maintain some credibility and get more big fights and paydays. I see him giving up mentally after 6th or 7th, but hanging around until 10 or 11, similar to the Cotto fight.

Tough to call ov/und, I'd recommend just playing the dog.
 

Romi

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I have to disagree. Zab is a small welter and I don't think he has the 1 punch ko pop some claim him to have. I don't think he can take a good whack either. Margo is a huge welter, very strong, can take a good clip and he's relentless. I think the style is all wrong for Zab and I believe margo will stop him around 7-9, perhaps earlier. I can see Zab winning a few in the early going but I don't think he's nearly durable enough to hold off Margo over the course. Once zab gets hurt, this one is over with. I think the line is right on. I have quite a bit on Margo @-300.
 

nj

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-300 is a good line, I got to it late, lowest was about -320. If you're interseted in the scalp, Greek has Judah at +330.

I do have Margo winning, but it's a tough fight. A bad loss puts Judah at journeyman status, at which point he resorts to robbing old ladies for money. Knowing him, he probably lost all savings playing dice by now. He's just the kind of slimeball to show toughness when its absolutely necessary.

Margo should win, but if you have enough on Margo at -300 to make a scalp worthwile, Id consider it.
 

weepaul

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Zab does really well for the first 4 rounds and then gets demolished any time after that.
 
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