June 3 Friday

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Been a while.
I've been busier than a "b" in "bubblebath babbling"

Found some time to crunch and will display, along with words on agreement or disagreement.

7 phil 62%(-153)+1
--Hamels is hot and has been solid on the road while I seem to have Karstens rated a little higher than I would like; runline +112, if anything, for moi

7 mil 51%(+111)+3
--neither SP great vs; bats look to favour mil and BP favours Fish; mil crap record on the road while Fish just 3-4 home to L; flip a coin sounds reasonable

7 Nym 54%(+100)+4
--atl 5-4 at L but ops vs L pretty brutal and the batsink lately; Lowe has been very inconsistent while Niese has been pretty solid lately; edge to Metsticks even without Ike and Wright, while atl sports better BP; maybe another coin-toss

7 Cin 53%(-122)-2
--Kuroda great vs in 3, including 2 at last year, but he's been crap last 2 after 2 gems; Arroyo blows chunks lately; Cin better pen and edge to sticks, esp. at home; I can't touch this side but thinking over8.5-115...slight breeze in from right-center and ump is currently unknown

8 Stl 64%(-169)+1
--Dempster maybe finding his way but has been brutal on the road, while hotsy Garcia was crap in his last after a good run; cubs with a killer ops vs L, smililar to recent years; Soriano now out but so is Holliday; passide and the under lean vanished after seeing 7.5

9:4 Ariz 70%(-175)+6
--Hard to call Maya long-term while Collmenter has been very appealing, so far; sticks edge is all AZ with BP's pretty even with whole picture in mind; -1 -126 or -1.5 +122 both look groovy; 1st5 -0.5 when I can get it; breeze in from left at 7--if open which seems likely--doesn't help a runline while ump Dreckman is even; Thurs' result might also not help, though I have me some Zim so whatevas

10 Sd 52%(-124)-4
--I won't touch Moseley, if I can help it, and Happ has been better lately; hou hitting better while BP is all SD; hou 1st5 better than game, if you want it, as Happ's duration is usually limited

10 col 54%(+125)+9
--hard-chucker Nicasio's long-term also a tough call but he had a great debut while Cain has been grim over his past 2; Cain was crap at Coors Apr20th but much better home vs May 6; SF, in general, much better at home but those sticks are currently brutal*; doesn't hurt that col had day off--after a rare (lately) win--and stay put in that area the manifest destiny club swiped from the Mexicans, while SF has to tour back after a late confrontation with Cards; got me some; under 7-120 is a pass with tough Q on SP's and medium wind out to center


A.L. in a jiffy-pop


*make that "sticks [were] currently brutal"...were being no-hit, through 3 or 4 or whatevas, when I started this...still like rox for other factors and Stl's mid-relief not being a squad highlite; Cain recovery and/or Nicasio drop-off bigger concerns, here

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

7 tor 51%(+116)+4
--Britton's been great, though off a crap game @Oakland, and he's been solid at home, but O'sticks always a Q and jays ops vs L is quite monstrous (also 9-6 vs L but only 3-4 road); Villanueva's had some game, so far as SP, and jays pen with big edge; I prefer the und8.5-110 as jays ops way better at home than road; wind in from left 8mph and ump unknown

7 tex 52%(-121)-3
--tex the better hitting team lately but both clubs clearly prefer home-turf; Ogando's been beauty, despite off a poor game vs kc, while Masterson has poor numbers vs in 2 GS and some relief and is coming off a crap game at Tampa, though he still deserves respect for his work this year; medium edge Clev pen, also; call might be low and looks better for 1st5; under was a passing temptation, what with the 8+104 (9 at an ugly -145); wind right to left 4mph, unlike the blowing out Thurs, while ump Kellogg is even to the best of my carnal knowledge

7 Bost 68%(-181)+3
--Outman's early era looks misleading and inflation looks inevitable, likely starting Friday; Buchholz has been getting better and more consistent as the season wears on; sticks all Bost, esp lately, while smallish edge to oak BP; Bost bats hitting L better than R this year, not to mention being 7-3 home vs L while only 9-10 home vs R; Bost -1 -132 or, better yet, -1.5 +115...of the 'Sox 16 wins at home, 11 have come by 2+ runs, and this includes early season struggles, not to mention what looks to be a favourable matchup here

8 Kc 60%(-142)+1
--had me some O'Sullivan fade but tables could turn, here; still too pricey after that Thurshellack


Need to catch some 2nd half action before doing last 3...nothing great-looking there anywho.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

why would KC bring in Soria for 2 innings in that blowout?
put me in, coach, I'm ready to manage

8 Cws 52%(-136)-6
--Cws 2-5 home to L while det 7-2 at L; Buehrle has good numbers at home but was pounded @Det Apr22; Oliver remains still undecided but I'm not optimistic; tough call as Cws hitting better lately but have very poor O numbers vs L; small edge Cws BP but neither is worth writing home about

10 Laa 59%(-159)-3
--Totally prefer the SP esp with Weaver becoming hot again but sticks favour nyy and BP does as well, what with the much better work than early season; gotta like Laa but the price is pathetic; pass under 7.5-105 what with this nyy appearance, Nova nonsense and wind blowing out to right-center at 6mph

10 Seat 52%(-116)-2
--I might try Sonnanstine the next time he faces a women's volleyball team while Vargas has been brutal his past 2 after 2 solid go's; only lean here is the over7.5+104, esp with M's currently tearing a strip off of Shields...ump Wolf is even but wind in from left at 10mph doesn't help the over-lean, assuming roof is open which seems likely due to 0% chance of rain, though it will be fairly cool


GL


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[BleedDodgerBlue]

10 Seat 52%(-116)-2
--I might try Sonnanstine the next time he faces a women's volleyball team while Vargas has been brutal his past 2 after 2 solid go's; only lean here is the over7.5+104, esp with M's currently tearing a strip off of Shields...ump Wolf is even but wind in from left at 10mph doesn't help the over-lean, assuming roof is open which seems likely due to 0% chance of rain, though it will be fairly cool


GL

disagree about wolf. 2-9 for home sticks this year and home favs 1-7 with him. small home fav's of -120 or less are 0-3 as well. not that sonnanstine is a gem, but he should have some help.


gl whatever you play

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

disagree about wolf. 2-9 for home sticks this year and home favs 1-7 with him. small home fav's of -120 or less are 0-3 as well. not that sonnanstine is a gem, but he should have some help.


gl whatever you play

Fair enough, BDB.
I'm actually just looking at umps when I have a lean on a total, so I'll check out K% and o/u record for them over the past 4-6 years or so.
Umps and sides is beyond the scope of my 'capping, save for sometimes checking out how an SP did with relevant ump.

gl back atcha