June 4 Sat

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Got some early crunch.
Still need to see Friday's action and swingage on numbers seems likely, though putting too much stock in one day's result can sometimes be hazardous to the bankroll.
enough jive

Sf 52%(+101)+2
Stl 66(-185)+1
Cin 55(-113)+1
Pit 54(+100)+4
mil 60(-130)+3
atl 59(-122)+4
Ariz 61(-140)+2
Sd 52(-150)-8
tb 57(-135)-1
Clev 56(-121)+1
tor 61(-117)+7
det 57(-125)+1
Kc 56(-138)-2
Bost 61(-174)-3
nyy 51(-111)-2

With or without these numbers, I did earlies on mil & det small, atl medium and jays big. I try to be careful with the jays bias but me hoppy here.

Need to check out stuff before trying totals.

Likely add something more worthwhile as the sun goes down and the pitches start flying.


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[EXTRAPOLATER]

4 col(Chacin)@Sf(Bumgarner-L)
I have SP's even; Chacin with good work vs in 3 starts while Bumgarner has been getting better as season wears on, though he has poor numbers at, save for a good start vs same rox May 7th.
Small edge SF BP.
Medium edge rox sticks.
col 4-5@L, SF 8-7 home to R
Calling SF 52% w/late Fri pending.
Tough call.
No opinion on 7 total, regardless of ump or wind.

4 chc(R.Wells)@Stl(Lohse)
I see a large edge to Stl SP as Lohse is very hot and is totally having his best year as pitching coach Dave Duncan continues to weave his magic. Lohse with poor numbers vs cubs but no meetings this year so throw those out. Wells has potential but 1st off of DL wasn't too sharp vs pit, though his K totals high so far.
Small edge chc BP, esp. mid-relief.
Medium+ edge Stl bats.
chc 8-9@R, Stl 9-7 home to R
Stl 66% and oddsmakers seem to agree.
Another total--8--I have to pass on.


Pitches should be flying.
About time.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Looks like the A's came to play today.
Somebody in the Boston do a rain dance, aye.

4 lad(Kershaw-L)@Cin(Cueto)
Have a medium edge to lad SP. Kershaw with good numbers vs, as well. Cueto 0-3 vs in 3 with other numbers unimpressive vs.
Medium edge Cin BP.
Rather huge edge Cin bats as they possess a ginormous .889 OPS vs L while lad sports a .671 vs R.
lad 7-12 @R, Cin 3-1 home to L.
Cin 55%
Was thinking under but 7.5 is gross at Great American as Reds could score that in the final 2 off of the lad pen.


This will be slow as I'm distracted by diamonds.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Geez...how about a run or 9 in Cinci.
5 runners stranded through 2.

7 phil(Kendrick)@Pit(Morton)
Medium edge Pit SP. Kendrick actually vg work vs in 4, including a 4-0 mark, and he's got good numbers on road in 11.1 innings relief. Morton poor numbers vs in 3 but no '11 where he seems to be much better and he's got vg numbers at home in 4.
Small edge phil BP.
Small edge phil bats, which seems strange (strange that it's small.)
phil 10-9 @R, Pit 5-10 home to R.
Pit at 54% is hard for me to believe, too.
Total of 8 looks low, if anything. Mild wind out to left.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Hold off on that rain dance.

7 mil(Gallardo)@Flor(Volstad)
Large edge mil SP. Gallardo is very hot with good numbers vs. Volstad with good numbers vs, in 2, but overall he looks like a first-round pick bust and is coming off a crap game @Ariz.
Small edge Flor BP.
Small edge mil bats.
mil 8-13 @R, Flor 11-8 home to R.
mil 60%
This swings to high 60's if in Milwaukee.
Got me some small at -130. Road record is scary.
Strong wind in from center but I can't under an 8 with Volstad going.
Just checked--ump is C.B. Bucknor and playing Bucknor unders is like betting that Sarah Palin will one day be President.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Why didn't I play the jays straight? Just have 'em on some crazy 4-teamer for +2167 (lad,det,hou).
What can you do?

7 atl(Jurrjens)@Mets(Gee)
Very large atl SP. Jurrjens has been hot all season and very hot lately and also owns good numbers vs. Gee has been good at home but whatevas.
Large edge atl BP.
Mets edge at plate, including lately, but I can't see them enjoying this matchup.
atl 9-9@R, Nym 7-12 home to R.
atl 59%
That's as low as I can go on this mother.
Hoppy.
-122
Total of 7 plays under if Gee surprises. I won't bet on that.
7mph wind out to left and ump Alan Porter is beyond me.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Wow...lad actually cashed one...means they've only stranded 665 runners so far.

8 wash(Livan)@Ariz(Saunders-L)
Small edge wash SP but that shouldn't really count on road where he's been pretty grim, not to mention poor vs. Saunders better lately but HR's have been a big problem for him.
BP's relatively even.
Large edge Ariz bats, esp. lately.
wash 1-6 @L, Ariz 12-9 home to R
Ariz 61% seems reasonable save for Saunders, but if 'Zona can score 10+ Fri night I might be tempted by runline if weather, ump and intoxicants permit.
9.5 is a high total, as it should be.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

3-day winning streak looks like it's going to end, barring some late something.

8:3 hou(A.Rodriguez)@Sd(Harang)
Medium edge SD SP.
Large edge SD BP.
Large edge hou bats, esp. lately, though who doesn't have a large edge vs SD bats. Hou totally hit or miss offensively and I'm not sold.
hou 8-13 @R, SD 5-18 home to R...gross
SD 52% means pass or fade, for me, with the -150.
over7 +100, despite wind in from left 6mph, is my only temptation.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Maybe there is a Saltalawhatchamacallit.

4 tb(Hell hath no fury)@Seat(Fister)
Medium edge tb SP. Hellickson's been vg; 1st vs.
Small edge tb BP.
Medium edge tb bats.
tb 10-8 @R, Seat 14-8 home to R.
tb 57% seems more reasonable than quantitative easing.
Down to -130 but I'm still not impressed.
Can't touch 6.5. Wind in from left 10mph if open (likely) but two up and down O's might or might not.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

7 tex(Holland-L)@Clev(Carmona)
Medium edge Clev SP. I will visit Holland someday but maybe not this season. Carmona cold and poor #'s vs in 9, no '11.
Medium edge Clev BP.
Small+ edge tex bats.
tex 9-8@R, Clev 6-3 home to L but OPS vs L has plummeted since early goings.
Clev call 56%, at -121, shows no value and may be out to lunch based on recent becomings.
over 9-108 might be safer than sleepin' outdoors in Harlem, especially with wind out to right 9mph. Ump Eric Cooper escapes me--not a major factor on totals if memory (unlikely) serves.
40% chance of storms.

7 tor(Romero-L)@Balt(Arrieta)
Large edge tor SP & BP, small+ edge bats.
Romero is very hot while Arrieta is a little cold.
tor 10-10@R, Balt 4-6 home to L
Anything to -120 and I say hoppy.
Bias was and still is but me hopped like a bunny.
Total of 8.5 plays under if Arrieta recovers from slump, maybe, as Balt's BP frequently blows. Mild wind out to left. Ump Eddings has a huge strike zone.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

D'Backs 1st5 finally pushes my red to black.
Sometimes a deal with Satan does come through.
I mean the hockey player, silly.

7 det(Verlander)@Cws(Jackson)
Large edge det SP. Hard to fade this guy and he's got great numbers on the road in 5. Jackson sometimes impresses, though I've never been a fan, and he's quite cold and was also munched by the tigers @Comerica Apr23.
Small edge Cws BP but both bottom tier.
Small+ edge Cws bats.
det 5-13@R, Cws 8-8 home to R
Line hasn't moved from -125 and I'm in small; likely hop on some 1st5 as well. Call of 57% seems mild save for Chisox recent rejuvenation, including Thurs.
Wind out to right 6mph. Still don't care for the 8 total. Ump DiMuro.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

So much for that.
I prefer midgets.

Time to finish this.

7 min(Blackburn)@Kc(Hochevar)
Medium edge min SP. Blackburn not good #'s vs, though, in 9. Hochevar's been crap last 2 and is farther from HOF bound that I am.
Medium edge KC BP.
Medium+ edge KC bats, esp with further injuries to min sticks, just don't tell that to their suddenly surging offense.
min 9-19 @R, KC 15-12 home to R.
KC 56% at -138 means pass though I think I'd pass at even money, here.
Wind out to left-center 7mph and ump is Guccione. Over tempting but 9.5 with heavy juice makes me a spectator.

1 oak(Cahill)@Bost(Beckett)
SP's close to even though Beckett is hotter and Cahill hasn't been great in 3 vs.
Small edge oak BP.
Large edge Bosox sticks.
oak 7-13 @R, Bost 9-10 home to R.
All of the same are pre-Thursday's.
Bost 61% almost seems high, vs Cahill, but Beckett seems to have reinvented himself into some more gold and the bats do this number righteous.
Price a little too exotic, vs Cahill esp.
Wind in from center 9mph. Ump is Tony Randazzo, who shouldn't be a big factor.
Under tempting at 7.5+106.
1st5 under, if a 4 isn't too pricey, seems better.


GL


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[EXTRAPOLATER]

I think I'm missing Sabathia-Haren.
Seems to off-the-board...my only excuse.
Looks like a tough call and opening lines did nothing for me

 

[IE]

Angels pitcher Dan Haren scratched from start against Yankees

http://tinyurl.com/3sf8moa



Because the Angels were off Thursday, Manager Mike Scioscia easily juggled his rotation to accommodate Haren's setback, moving Ervin Santana to Saturday, Joel Pineiro to Sunday and Tyler Chatwood to Monday.