Have been away for awhile, see a lot of new names. Just thought I'd add something to the mix for Sat.
Iowa St @ Iowa 3:00pm PST
Going to look to the total in this one. Both teams strengths seem to play into the others weakness. Iowa St has looked very good vs. very bad teams so far, and Iowa's defense looks vulnerable vs. a capable offense. Iowa St is allowing 3.3ypc, that might give Iowa some running room, Iowa is only allowing 1.5ypc which is going to force Iowa St to throw. Iowa St shouldn't mind as they are completing 65% passing @ 10 yds per completion, on the other side Iowa is allowing 69% completions on defense
@ 7.2 yds per completion. Iowa should be able to run, Iowa St should be able to throw, and if either team can get a margin on the other it will. Looks like a shootout. Iowa St-Iowa OVER 55 (4 Units)
Missouri @ Bowling Green 3:00pm PST
Round 2 for two second-year coaches, Urban Meyer(BG) won round 1 @ Mizzou last year, think Gary Pinkel is going to retun the favor this year at his old stomping grounds. BG has played only 1 game vs. anobody Tenn Tech, Missouri has had 2 games and has looked good vs. better competition. Missouri will be +3 in TOR for this matchup, they've got revenge, and they have a bye next week so this shouldn't be any distractions for this game.
Missouri -4 (2 Units)
UNLV @ Oregon St 4:00pm PST
This one could get ugly in a hurry. UNLV has no continuity to their offense, and a lack of team speed will really give OSU an advantage. UNLV will want to run, but OSU is allowing just
2.7ypc, if Thomas is forced to throw, he's only completing 48% passing, and that will be into an OSU secondary allowing just 42% completions with 7 INTs in 2 games. UNLV is 4-10 ATS
on turf the last 5 years, think Erikson is looking to be 4-0 going the USC game on the 28th, should get an easy one here. Oregon St -16.5 (3 Units)
SMU @ TCU 4:00pm PST
TCU could have a real attitude here. They're still stinging about letting the Cincy game get away from them, and could take it out on SMU here. SMU has looked worse than bad as they are
allowing 5.1ypc and 7.9 yds per pass completion. SMU is 7-15-7 ATS as an away dog their last 23 tries, and 7-13 ATS the last 6 yrs in non-WAC games. TCU will have a +13 TOR advantage in this matchup and has beaten SMU by an average 50-9 the last 2 years. TCU is 7-2 ATS when hosting other Texas teams. Look for a blowout in the TCU home opener. TCU -17 (4 Units)
UTAH @ Arizona 7:00pm PST
Utah brings a great defense to the desert, but they might suffer a lack of offense in this one after losing RB Johnson for the next few weeks. Both teams are playing tough "D", Utah allowing
2.0ypc and just 45% pass completions with 4 INTs. Arizona is allowing 44% completions in the secondary and 4.1 ypc on the ground, but the rushing defense should be helped by the loss
of Utah's RB. Utah is 3-6 ATS vs. the PAC-10 last 7 yrs. Arizona is 19-6 after a bye, and don't think they like being made a home dog to a "Lesser" conference opponent. Arizona +2.5 (3 Units) Utah-Arizona UNDER 49 (4 Units)
Good hunting:firing:
MOV
Iowa St @ Iowa 3:00pm PST
Going to look to the total in this one. Both teams strengths seem to play into the others weakness. Iowa St has looked very good vs. very bad teams so far, and Iowa's defense looks vulnerable vs. a capable offense. Iowa St is allowing 3.3ypc, that might give Iowa some running room, Iowa is only allowing 1.5ypc which is going to force Iowa St to throw. Iowa St shouldn't mind as they are completing 65% passing @ 10 yds per completion, on the other side Iowa is allowing 69% completions on defense
@ 7.2 yds per completion. Iowa should be able to run, Iowa St should be able to throw, and if either team can get a margin on the other it will. Looks like a shootout. Iowa St-Iowa OVER 55 (4 Units)
Missouri @ Bowling Green 3:00pm PST
Round 2 for two second-year coaches, Urban Meyer(BG) won round 1 @ Mizzou last year, think Gary Pinkel is going to retun the favor this year at his old stomping grounds. BG has played only 1 game vs. anobody Tenn Tech, Missouri has had 2 games and has looked good vs. better competition. Missouri will be +3 in TOR for this matchup, they've got revenge, and they have a bye next week so this shouldn't be any distractions for this game.
Missouri -4 (2 Units)
UNLV @ Oregon St 4:00pm PST
This one could get ugly in a hurry. UNLV has no continuity to their offense, and a lack of team speed will really give OSU an advantage. UNLV will want to run, but OSU is allowing just
2.7ypc, if Thomas is forced to throw, he's only completing 48% passing, and that will be into an OSU secondary allowing just 42% completions with 7 INTs in 2 games. UNLV is 4-10 ATS
on turf the last 5 years, think Erikson is looking to be 4-0 going the USC game on the 28th, should get an easy one here. Oregon St -16.5 (3 Units)
SMU @ TCU 4:00pm PST
TCU could have a real attitude here. They're still stinging about letting the Cincy game get away from them, and could take it out on SMU here. SMU has looked worse than bad as they are
allowing 5.1ypc and 7.9 yds per pass completion. SMU is 7-15-7 ATS as an away dog their last 23 tries, and 7-13 ATS the last 6 yrs in non-WAC games. TCU will have a +13 TOR advantage in this matchup and has beaten SMU by an average 50-9 the last 2 years. TCU is 7-2 ATS when hosting other Texas teams. Look for a blowout in the TCU home opener. TCU -17 (4 Units)
UTAH @ Arizona 7:00pm PST
Utah brings a great defense to the desert, but they might suffer a lack of offense in this one after losing RB Johnson for the next few weeks. Both teams are playing tough "D", Utah allowing
2.0ypc and just 45% pass completions with 4 INTs. Arizona is allowing 44% completions in the secondary and 4.1 ypc on the ground, but the rushing defense should be helped by the loss
of Utah's RB. Utah is 3-6 ATS vs. the PAC-10 last 7 yrs. Arizona is 19-6 after a bye, and don't think they like being made a home dog to a "Lesser" conference opponent. Arizona +2.5 (3 Units) Utah-Arizona UNDER 49 (4 Units)
Good hunting:firing:
MOV
