Kellogg-Keebler Classic

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Have a few which may seem strange with all guns in this week except M Y Kim--however Grace Park -Pak and Ochoa have failed to bust top 10 here. Got 4 that I am having hard time culling
Prammanasudah-Morgan-He Wan Han and Ahn

Will go with 2 officially to place @ 5 Dimes
Morgan 8/1
Pramm----- 7/1

I might note I like the other 2 equally well

72 holes @ 5dimes
Pramm -115 over L Davies
Morgan -115 over Ward
@ Stan James
Hee Won Han -111 over C Mathews

 

[Stanley]

Outright plays (1.5pts):

Lorena Ochoa to win 20/1 e.w. @ William Hill and Ladbrokes
Sorenstam may be trying for a three-peat, but the value lies in players like Ochoa who have finished in the top-10 in six of the last seven starts, winning once in that stretch. She gained course experience with a top-20 finish last year and will surely finish much higher this time around.

Becky Morgan to win 40/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Morgan's form has been almost as impressive, particularly for someone at twice Ochoa's odds. She has finished in the top-20 in six of eight starts this year and in the top-3 twice last month. She played well when in contention for the Chick-fil-A Charity Championship to finish 2nd, but fell back to 3rd in the Sybase Big Apple Classic after leading the event after the 2nd and 3rd rounds. However this was the first time that she had been leading with one round to play. A 3rd place finish last year is also supportive at these odds.

Shi Hyun Ahn to finish in the top-five 8/1 @ Five Dimes
Struggled with her putting last week despite the top-five finish, so if she can improve in this department she should certainly be back in contention this week. Has played each week with no course experience, but has still recorded three top-5 finishes in eight starts and that makes these odds look rather generous.

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays (1.5pts unless stated):

Rosie Jones to beat Cristie Kerr -110 @ SkyBet [4.5pts]
This is a course on which course form has proven to be very important and not simply because the top-two positions have been filled by the same two players in each year. By this measure, Kerr should struggle this week. A best finish of 61st in two attempts does not compare well with Jones' 5th place finish last year and nor is she as consistent as Jones who has finished outside the top-30 just once in the past year.

Rosie Jones to beat Catriona Matthew -154 @ Nordicbet
Matthew did match Jones in the top-5 last year, but is nowhere near as consistent, having finished 52nd and then missed the cut in her two events before last week's top-10 finish. This has still been a good season for Matthew, but I'll still with the more consistent player at this level.

Catriona Matthew to beat Rachel Teske -128 @ Five Dimes
Arguably Teske has been more consistent than Matthew this season, but not at the highest level. She has made all eight cuts on the LPGA Tour, but achieved only one top-10 finish against three for Matthew. Plus she has a best finish of 31st in two visits to this course, but looks set to finish outside the top-10 again.

Becky Morgan to beat Wendy Ward -150 @ Five Dimes
Two players in good form with top-5 finishes in the past month, but a big difference in course form. Morgan was a top-3 finisher last year, while Ward has a best finish of 25th from two attempts.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Totally missed the Mathew/Teske @ -128 and believe I'll climb on board with ya Stan,(hope I don't hex it) as got there before any line move which will be evident--serves dual purpose as hedge on prior match also.

 

[Stanley]

Outrights - Final update: 1-2; -2.62pts

Ochoa 5th
Morgan 17th
Ahn mc

Ochoa shared 5th place with Angela Stanford to ensure a small return on the play, but a loss on the outrights overall. The end came a round too soon for Morgan whose last 36-hole form was as expected, but an opening 74 left her too far off the pace.

Matchups - Final update: 2-0-0; +3.00pts

Jones/Kerr VOID (Jones dns)
Jones/Matthew VOID (Jones dns)
Matthew/Teske WON by 3
Morgan/Ward WON by 4

Nice sweep to continue the good run on LPGA matchups, even if it was only from two matches. Jones should have beaten Matthew who finished 29th, but it was a good result overall as in the triple-play, she might have struggled to beat Kerr who finished 7th.

LPGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 8-25; -1.15pts
Matchups: 31-14; +34.45pts