- Feb 26, 2001
- 13,593
- 164
- 63
Kellogg-Keebler Classic
- Thread starter Trampled Underfoot
- Start date
In agreement...a very big price imo.
Fair play to bet365 as they laid me extra over the phone too.
Hills go 25/1 and I would say that's about right. If Annika wins here you could argue that would be a greater achievement than last week!
Fair play to bet365 as they laid me extra over the phone too.
Hills go 25/1 and I would say that's about right. If Annika wins here you could argue that would be a greater achievement than last week!
Thanks for the update Clive 
Got on the 66/1 earlier following TU's alert, but will look at the market more closely now before they adjust in the morning
Got on the 66/1 earlier following TU's alert, but will look at the market more closely now before they adjust in the morning
Outright plays (1.5 units):
Lorena Ochoa to win 18/1 @ SkyBet
With no Pak and Sorenstam surely drained after last week's efforts, this represents an excellent opportunity for Ochoa to finally break her Tour duck. McKay and Sorenstam were 1-2 in both places and greens in regulation last year and such a emphasis on this part of her game should suit Ochoa. She has been getting closer to that Tour win with top-3 finishes in her last two events and these are hard odds to ignore with five places as well.
Cristie Kerr to win 50/1 e.w. @ SkyBet
She was available at 66/1 earlier in the day with Bet365, but is now 50/1 tops so will officially make the play at SkyBet for the better place terms. She is the only one of this week's selections to have played on this course last year, but she missed the cut and hence the price. But her form had been faltering after her maiden Tour win and she had been in contention after the 1st round only to lose her game completely with a 2nd round 79. She hasn't won this year, but she still looks to be in particularly good form with two runners-up spots and two further top-15 finishes in her last five starts and is a potential title winner this week.
Catriona Matthew to win 66/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Matthew displayed again on Sunday why she is more a title contender than a winner, but the odds from Stan James are so out of line with other books that the place-only odds should be a poor relation to these. Like the other two selections, she currently sits in the top-10 in greens in regulation on Tour and has shown promising form all year. She should contend again and maybe, just maybe, she will finish off the job this week!
Lorena Ochoa to win 18/1 @ SkyBet
With no Pak and Sorenstam surely drained after last week's efforts, this represents an excellent opportunity for Ochoa to finally break her Tour duck. McKay and Sorenstam were 1-2 in both places and greens in regulation last year and such a emphasis on this part of her game should suit Ochoa. She has been getting closer to that Tour win with top-3 finishes in her last two events and these are hard odds to ignore with five places as well.
Cristie Kerr to win 50/1 e.w. @ SkyBet
She was available at 66/1 earlier in the day with Bet365, but is now 50/1 tops so will officially make the play at SkyBet for the better place terms. She is the only one of this week's selections to have played on this course last year, but she missed the cut and hence the price. But her form had been faltering after her maiden Tour win and she had been in contention after the 1st round only to lose her game completely with a 2nd round 79. She hasn't won this year, but she still looks to be in particularly good form with two runners-up spots and two further top-15 finishes in her last five starts and is a potential title winner this week.
Catriona Matthew to win 66/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Matthew displayed again on Sunday why she is more a title contender than a winner, but the odds from Stan James are so out of line with other books that the place-only odds should be a poor relation to these. Like the other two selections, she currently sits in the top-10 in greens in regulation on Tour and has shown promising form all year. She should contend again and maybe, just maybe, she will finish off the job this week!
Watched the coverage last night. With regard to Matthew, she didn't do too much wrong on Sunday, but Inkster just ran away with it....if anything, Mathew lost it on Saturday when she missed quite a few birdie opportunities + a tiddler for par.
I see it does not start till friday.
Should have entitled this article
"I want to take my pocketbook to new level
Confirms my remarks about being naive.
http://sports.yahoo.golfserv.com/gdc/news/article.asp?Source=YAHOO&id=13492
Plus I think the "unopinionated" # crunkers who put their money behind their #s will tell the story 7/4 to win lpga 1/4 to miss cut pga
Should have entitled this article
"I want to take my pocketbook to new level
Confirms my remarks about being naive.
http://sports.yahoo.golfserv.com/gdc/news/article.asp?Source=YAHOO&id=13492
Plus I think the "unopinionated" # crunkers who put their money behind their #s will tell the story 7/4 to win lpga 1/4 to miss cut pga
Matchup plays (1.5 units unless stated):
Danielle Ammaccapane to beat Dottie Pepper -111 @ BetandWin [3 units]
Ammaccapane finished 2nd last year (Pepper was injured at the time) and currently leads 6-0-1 h2h over the past three months. Very close to a max play!
Cristie Kerr to beat Pat Hurst -111 @ Centrebet
Hurst struggled on this course last year and continued to do the same this season. She does have two top-5 finishes in 2003, but no other top-10s and missed the cut last week. Will certainly side with an outright selection who has been so consistent in 2003 and leads 7-2-0 h2h over the past three months.
Michele Redman to beat Pat Hurst -118 @ Expekt
Redman hasn't quite been as consistent this term but with three top-10 finishes in her last seven starts, she is still very competitive. Having finished 2nd last year as well, there is every reason to expect another good week and a win here in the process.
No 1st round plays.
Danielle Ammaccapane to beat Dottie Pepper -111 @ BetandWin [3 units]
Ammaccapane finished 2nd last year (Pepper was injured at the time) and currently leads 6-0-1 h2h over the past three months. Very close to a max play!
Cristie Kerr to beat Pat Hurst -111 @ Centrebet
Hurst struggled on this course last year and continued to do the same this season. She does have two top-5 finishes in 2003, but no other top-10s and missed the cut last week. Will certainly side with an outright selection who has been so consistent in 2003 and leads 7-2-0 h2h over the past three months.
Michele Redman to beat Pat Hurst -118 @ Expekt
Redman hasn't quite been as consistent this term but with three top-10 finishes in her last seven starts, she is still very competitive. Having finished 2nd last year as well, there is every reason to expect another good week and a win here in the process.
No 1st round plays.
what the **** kind of new math has ****** come up with on bush place wagers All picks below are at 40/1 or better win and I am clueless what multiple they are using for place odds.
Appears all good things must end. Will give them a shot this week and take wait a see next week.
all one unit to place @ 5 Dimes
Top 5 - Catriona Matthew 7/1 $20.00 $140.00
Top 5 - Mi-Hyun Kim 13/2 $20.00 $130.00
Top 5-Patricia Meunier-Lebouc 6/1 $20.00 $120.00
Top 5 - Danielle Ammaccapane 11/1 $20.00 $220.00
all under their previous lines would have qualified under the 8/1 place odds rule of thumb but not this week. Got 3 of the same of designated Harem but have one new one ,Lebouc, so will comment some on her. Been watching her as Stan and Clive have been strong on her since end of last season,she just has never fit the place odds scenario but would have this week at their prior lines.
While course form here is not good,hence the odds, one must consider that up to her last 8 events last year her form sucked period.--but she turned it around in last 8 events placing in top 5 3 of them and continued where she left off this year with 2 top 5's in 6 events giving her a break even place rate of return for last 14 events of less than 3/1, half of this weeks line.
All picks below are at 40/1 or better win and I am clueless what multiple they are using for place odds.Appears all good things must end. Will give them a shot this week and take wait a see next week.
all one unit to place @ 5 Dimes
Top 5 - Catriona Matthew 7/1 $20.00 $140.00
Top 5 - Mi-Hyun Kim 13/2 $20.00 $130.00
Top 5-Patricia Meunier-Lebouc 6/1 $20.00 $120.00
Top 5 - Danielle Ammaccapane 11/1 $20.00 $220.00
all under their previous lines would have qualified under the 8/1 place odds rule of thumb but not this week. Got 3 of the same of designated Harem but have one new one ,Lebouc, so will comment some on her. Been watching her as Stan and Clive have been strong on her since end of last season,she just has never fit the place odds scenario but would have this week at their prior lines.
While course form here is not good,hence the odds, one must consider that up to her last 8 events last year her form sucked period.--but she turned it around in last 8 events placing in top 5 3 of them and continued where she left off this year with 2 top 5's in 6 events giving her a break even place rate of return for last 14 events of less than 3/1, half of this weeks line.
OUTRIGHTS:
Cristie Kerr(50/1) for 0.60* e.w. @ Bet365
Settling for just a repeat of last week's choice, and regardless of the outcome, I trust the course will not bore me to tears like Corning Country Club.
GL
Cristie Kerr(50/1) for 0.60* e.w. @ Bet365
Settling for just a repeat of last week's choice, and regardless of the outcome, I trust the course will not bore me to tears like Corning Country Club.
GL
2nd round plays (1.5 units unless stated):
Lorena Ochoa to beat Juli Inkster -127 @ Five Dimes
Wendy Doolan to beat Wendy Ward -115 @ Five Dimes
Candie Kung to beat Dottie Pepper -125 @ Five Dimes [3 units]
Lorena Ochoa to beat Juli Inkster -127 @ Five Dimes
Wendy Doolan to beat Wendy Ward -115 @ Five Dimes
Candie Kung to beat Dottie Pepper -125 @ Five Dimes [3 units]
2nd round update: 1-2-0; -4.16 units
Ochoa/Inkster LOST by 4
Doolan/Ward WON by 1
Kung/Pepper LOST by 1
3rd round play (1.5 units):
Christina Kim to beat Natalie Gulbis -115 @ Five Dimes
Ochoa/Inkster LOST by 4
Doolan/Ward WON by 1
Kung/Pepper LOST by 1
3rd round play (1.5 units):
Christina Kim to beat Natalie Gulbis -115 @ Five Dimes
3rd round update: 0-0-1; +0.00 units
Kim/Gulbis TIED (Push)
Final update:
Matchups: 1-2-0; -0.44 units
Ammaccapane/Pepper WON by 4
Kerr/Hurst LOST by 6
Redman/Hurst LOST by 1
18-holes: 1-2-0; -4.16 units
Outrights: 0-3; -4.50 units
Ochoa 19th
Kerr 61st
Matthew 5th
Disappointing return on the event that was so close to being different. The matchups would have finished in profit had Redman not bogeyed the easy par-5 final hole and so finished one shot behind Hurst. The outrights would have finished in a very healthy profit had Matthew shot one shot less and so finished 3rd. Little consolation when finishing 9 units down on the event.
LPGA Tour ytd
Matchups: 14-12; +4.28 units
18-holes: 17-17; -2.42 units
Outrights: 4-23; -3.90 units
Kim/Gulbis TIED (Push)
Final update:
Matchups: 1-2-0; -0.44 units
Ammaccapane/Pepper WON by 4
Kerr/Hurst LOST by 6
Redman/Hurst LOST by 1
18-holes: 1-2-0; -4.16 units
Outrights: 0-3; -4.50 units
Ochoa 19th
Kerr 61st
Matthew 5th
Disappointing return on the event that was so close to being different. The matchups would have finished in profit had Redman not bogeyed the easy par-5 final hole and so finished one shot behind Hurst. The outrights would have finished in a very healthy profit had Matthew shot one shot less and so finished 3rd. Little consolation when finishing 9 units down on the event.
LPGA Tour ytd
Matchups: 14-12; +4.28 units
18-holes: 17-17; -2.42 units
Outrights: 4-23; -3.90 units
Finals
outrights
Top 5 - Catriona Matthew 7/1 5th (tie)
Top 5 - Mi-Hyun Kim 13/2 3rd
Top 5-Patricia Meunier-Lebouc Cut
Top 5 - Danielle Ammaccapane 11/1 18th
Week +7.5 ytd +43 (corrected)
Hope I figured 2 place tie for 5th correctly. Took odds(7/1) times 5/6th
If not correct. Please ley me know Thanks
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
must have done my math wrong on Mathew as 5 dimes only returned net $70 which would be 1/2 odds of 7/1,but they F--ked me on this last time,so need some help on which is correct.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
by the way Clive,what odds did Morgan go off at this week? Did the Clive have a little cheese in the trap?
outrights
Top 5 - Catriona Matthew 7/1 5th (tie)
Top 5 - Mi-Hyun Kim 13/2 3rd
Top 5-Patricia Meunier-Lebouc Cut
Top 5 - Danielle Ammaccapane 11/1 18th
Week +7.5 ytd +43 (corrected)
Hope I figured 2 place tie for 5th correctly. Took odds(7/1) times 5/6th
If not correct. Please ley me know Thanks
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
must have done my math wrong on Mathew as 5 dimes only returned net $70 which would be 1/2 odds of 7/1,but they F--ked me on this last time,so need some help on which is correct.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
by the way Clive,what odds did Morgan go off at this week?
Did the Clive have a little cheese in the trap?
Last edited:
DTB, I get you +7.50 units for this event.
With the Matthew play, you are graded @ 1/2 wager because she is in two-way share for 5th place. If you had $20 on Matthew @ 7/1 you should get $80 return - $10 * 7 + the half-stake ($10).
With the Matthew play, you are graded @ 1/2 wager because she is in two-way share for 5th place. If you had $20 on Matthew @ 7/1 you should get $80 return - $10 * 7 + the half-stake ($10).
Morgan was bp 200/1..and there was a little cheese! Sadly, when there was a big cheese on her a couple of weeks ago, she was nowhere to be seen!
