Kenya:
In-running:
David Drysdale(20/1)(1/4 for 1-2-3-4) e.w.
?Hold me back!?
This one needs to be discussed.
I was definitely a week early with my play on Drysdale, because no matter what happens from here, 20/1 is not 250/1.
Probably unlike most, I considered my first task in capping the back to back events in Kenya was striving to come up with my top plays on players that were hanging about after missing the cut. After completing the task, I concluded I couldn?t come up any better choices than my "almost play" on Janewattananond from the prior week (with odds climbing from 55/1 to 75/1), and my prior week play on Drysdale (with odds bumped from 225/1 to 250/1). In that regard, some of Drysdale?s best efforts have come early in the calendar year in South Africa, and a case could be made for similarities on this two event trip to Kenya.
In 20+ years of weekly golf capping, I can come up with a list of my Top 10 this, that and the other thing, and forever ensconsed way up on the list of my Top 10 favorite comments I?ve read by other golf cappers was many, many years ago when short odds were being offered on David Drysdale to win early in an event, and rhodesy chimed in with, ?Hold me back!? It?s been my go to line so many times since then when talking to myself, always with a grin or a grimace appropriate to the moment. Hold me back!
At the end of the day, I passed on Drysdale after deciding I couldn?t see him getting to a -20 figure that it would likely take to win or go close. However, if I had hit a winner two weeks ago with Lee Westwood, I would have been all over the idea of continuing with a very robust roster of plays that favored inclusion over exclusion, and my roster would have included Drysdale(250/1). Simply put, one factor was directly responsible for my decision not to pull the trigger on Drysdale(250/1) e.w. this week, and it was the failure to have an 80/1 winner on Westwood as a fresh part of my bankroll. Period. God Damn x 2, maybe . . .
Anyway, Drysdale has always been one of the ?players I want to be on when they win?, more so now than 10 years ago. From here, I fully expect the Drysdale narrative will not feature his walking around brain dead with the opportunity in front of him, and my best guess is that he will play well and battle hard but not hole the crucial putts over 36 holes required to sustain a winning effort, and he will slide down the leaderboard into a tie for 4th place or thereabouts. Hold me back!
GL
