Kinkos Classic

[Trampled Underfoot]

Win only wagers.....

Watson 20-1 1u (5Dimes)
Weibring 40-1 1u (5Dimes)

5Dimes has really lowered their opinion of Watson. First that matchup last week now 20-1?

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

---and their place odds are ridiculous
---example> Leitzke 20/1 to win and 3/1 to place---they are really wanting place only action---in fact 1st 12 spots are 3/1 or less

will opt for 72 hole match instead @ Stan James

Lietzke -111 over Mcnulty

will also take @ 5dimes both -115
Weibring over Mcnulty
Purtzer over Kite

 

[Stanley]

40/1 Looks like I was too slow!!

Outright plays (2pts):

Tom Purtzer to win 16/1 e.w. @ SkyBet
Sticking with Purtzer again despite last week's 25th place finish which was his worst result since February. Having finished in the top-six in his previous five tournaments, including one win, a week's breather is no bad thing. On paper he had a poor event last year, but a final round 79 when out of contention can easily be ignored when in this form. Very capable of winning this event, he is the main outright selection.

Larry Nelson to win 25/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Winning has proved to be a problem for Nelson. Despite a very high proportion of top-five finishes, it was not until late last season that he gained his first Tour win in two years. He has continued his good form into this season with five top-six finishes in his last five starts, so having gained course experience last year, he should once again challenge for a place finish at least.

D.A. Weibring to win 35/1 (1pt) @ Five Dimes & to finish in the top-four 6.25/1 (1pt) @ Centrebet
Can't remember splitting a play across two different books until now, but Five Dimes' offer of 3/1 on Weibring to finish in the top-five was as shockingly bad as the 35/1 on him to win was as good. Barring Centrebet's 25/1, he is generally 20/1 to win elsewhere. He was still too young to play on this Tour last year, but he has done very well on 'new' courses in the past eleven months anyway. Not only did he win the SAS Championship last September, but he has finished in the top-seven in five of his last seven starts, including 2nd last week. He should not be 35/1 to win.

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays (2pts):

Morris Hatalsky to beat Bob Gilder -127 @ Five Dimes
Big difference in form between these two. Gilder hasn't posted a top-10 finish all season, while Hatalsky has had four, including a 5th place finish last week. Gilder did finish 3rd last year, but he was at the end of a very rich vein of form and Hatalsky was not, yet he only finishes three shots ahead of Hatalsky. Can't see him doing it again for a while.

Wayne Levi to beat Lonnie Nielsen -127 @ Five Dimes
Nielsen has shown good form recently, but still trails Levi 4-2-0 h2h this season and without any course experience, he should struggle to beat Levi this week.

Jim Thorpe to beat Sam Torrance -120 @ Five Dimes
Lack of course experience works against Torrance this week. Thorpe finished 4th last year and is slowly getting back into form after an injury layoff. He had started the season in great form with top-10 finishes in three of his four starts before the layoff, while in contrast Torrance has only managed one in seven starts this season.

 

[Whalers Rule]

Pate 150-1
Crenshaw 150-1
I unit e.w at will hill

 

[lostinamerica]

OUTRIGHTS:

Bruce Lietzke(20/1) for 0.50* e.w. @ Bet365
. . . just the one play here.

GL

 

[Stanley]

Outrights - Final update: 1-2; +27.25pts

Purtzer 40th
Nelson 1st
Weibring 9th

Another great week on the Champions Tour! I thought the chance had gone when Weibring made consecutive bogeys around the turn when he was in the lead in the final round, but Nelson came good in the end. This Tour is really making up for some very average capping on the PGA and European Tours!

Matchups - Final update: 1-1-1; -0.40pts

Hatalsky/Gilder TIED (push)
Levi/Nielsen WON by 7
Thorpe/Torrance LOST by 8

Gilder shot a final round 65 to erase a 7-shot gap and deny the overall profit on the matchups, but no reason to complain. This has been a very profitable event.

Champions Tour ytd
Outrights: 10-23; +121.75pts
Matchups: 34-33; -3.86pts