KLM Open

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
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Outright plays (1pt):

Soren Hansen to win 33/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet, Sporting Odds and Ladbrokes
An inconsistent player at best or at least since his purple patch of form in June 2002. He played here for the first time in four years last year and despite being in very poor form at the time - no top-20 finishes in the previous five months - he finished a shot behind home winner, Maarten Lafeber, having led the event with one round to play. He quickly reverted back to his previous form thereafter, but it suggests a return to Hilversum may lead to an improvement in his current game, though he is playing nowhere near as poorly as last year: he has finished 20th and 26th in the last two weeks.

Gary Evans to win 33/1 e.w. @ Tote
Evans looks to be one of the form players in this field. He has five top-25 finishes in his last six starts and only Poulter can match that form. If the favourite does pull out as expected, Evans's odds really should fall. Not only is he playing very well, but he has finished in the top-10 in each of the last two years here. This price will certainly not last.

David Lynn to win 40/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and Ladbrokes
With three top-10 finishes in his last six starts, Lynn may also have reason to claim to be one of the form horses this week. He has played this course three times and improved on each occasion to finish 18th last year. He does look very capable of another top-10 finish this week.
 

Stanley

Registered
Forum Member
Jul 26, 1999
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26
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Manchester, England
www.tour-tips.com
Matchup plays (1pt unless stated):

David Lynn to beat Steve Webster -118 @ BetInternet
Easy to oppose Webster on this tight course. His wayward driving has meant that he has missed four of six cuts here. Lynn also has a commanding 13-5-0 h2h record against Webster in 2004, so this should be straightforward.

David Lynn to beat Gary Evans +120 @ William Hill and Easybets
Taking these odds with two in-form players who are both outright selections. Lynn is simply more consistent and that is why he has a 10-4-2 h2h lead over Evans in 2004.
(also available at Aces and Stan James)

Paul McGinley to beat Gary Evans +100 @ Bet365
Similar story here. In twelve common events this year, McGinley has finished ahead of Evans on ten occasions. He is playing well and it is unusual that he is the underdog in this matchup.
(also available at BetInternet)

Paul McGinley to beat Graeme McDowell -105 @ Five Dimes [2pts]
McGinley also has a winning h2h record against McDowell in 2004. The Northern Ireland player is very capable of winning on Tour, but does not have the consistently of his opponent from across the border. He missed the cut last year and has missed two if his last three cuts. McGinley has prevailed in their last three common events and should do so again this week.
(available generally)

David Howell to beat Graeme McDowell -141 @ Expekt
A change of caddy after nine years and Howell bounced back with a top-10 finish last week, his seventh top-10 finish since the Tour reached the Northern Hemisphere in March. With a solid record on this course, he could cement his place in the Ryder Cup team with another top-10 finish this week, while even a win for McDowell would still leave him well short of Howell in the Ryder Cup European Points List.
(also available at Nordicbet)
 

Stanley

Registered
Forum Member
Jul 26, 1999
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Manchester, England
www.tour-tips.com
Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 1-1; +24.00pts

Hansen mc
Evans dns
Lynn 1st

Another week, another winner on the European Tour. Definitely not the norm on this unpredictable Tour, but long may it last!

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 2-1-0; +1.59pts

Lynn/Webster WON by 11
Lynn/Evans VOID (Evans dns)
McGinley/Evans VOID (Evans dns)
McGinley/McDowell WON by 7
Howell/McDowell LOST by 4

Pity that Evans did not start as the loss on the outright play would have been more than covered with the matchups - Lynn and McGinley finishes 1st and 2nd. Very satisfying event!

European Tour ytd
Outrights: 16-40; +41.72pts
Matchups: 48-36; +12.81pts
 
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