Kraft Nabisco Championship

[DOGS THAT BARK]

wagers @ Cbet
outrights to place top 5
Jones 9.25
Koch 16.00

72 holes
Webb -120 over G Park
Wie -105 over Miyazato
Diaz -112 over Hetherton

Park injury apparently more severe than I thought with WD sitting in 8th however would opt for Webb here if Park was healthy.Webb has lowest scor ave here of all players in last 5 year--yes including Sorenstam.

Not convinced Wie is better golfer of the 2 but 1st trip here in strange souroundings and course hard to overcome and this is Wie's 3rd tourney here with good results 1st 2.

Diaz has string of 11 straight head to heads vs Hetherton--I'm not bucking that scenerio.

 

[Stanley]

Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)

Karrie Webb to win 16/1 e.w. @ BlueSq and GolfingGods
It is commonly assumed that players who are the midst of contention the week before a major, do not do as well as typically expected during that major week. And with a record of two major wins from seven previous occasions when she won the preceding week, maybe this is a week to avoid the the 'w/o Sorenstam' market and concentrate on players who were out of contention last week. That applies to all three selections, including Webb, whose 26th place finish is not a concern as she carried on her good late season form of 2004 into this year with a win in Australia and a 2nd place in Mexico. So with four top-3 finishes in the last six years on this course, she looks a strong candidate to win.

Cristie Kerr to win 20/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
Retained as a selection from last week when she finished 18th, but with top-3 finishes in her previous two starts this year and a top-8 finish in her previous six starts, she is clearly a player in form. And with a course form that reads two top-5 finishes in three years (and only 11th on the other occasion), she should also be supported at these odds.

Michelle Wie to win 25/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes
Maybe this will be like 2003, when I backed Ochoa almost every time as her odds were very attractive for an upcoming player, but she just couldn't secure that maiden Tour win. Well, I'm backing Wie again on the basis that these odds are too high. In the past two years, she has finished 4th and 9th here and has shown enough form this year to suggest that she could still dominate this Tour in years to come.

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays (1.5pts unless stated):

Hee-Won Han to beat Ai Miyazato -106 @ Expekt [4.5pts]
Michelle Wie to beat Ai Miyazato -105 @ Centrebet and SuperOdds [4.5pts]
(also available at Skybet)
Michelle Wie to beat Karrie Webb +120 @ NordicBet
(also available at William Hill)

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

adding an outright W/O Sorenstam
Webb 11.00 (10/1) e/w

as stated earlier on Webb scor ave here--in addition would have cashed a win on this ticket once this year--and has been in top 7 7 of 9 times lifetime here--and good chance top 6 will cash at least place cheese for small profit if ties avoided.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

72 holes @ 5dimes
Miyazato -105 over Grace Park
Neuman -115 over Fudoh

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

1st rd @ 5dimes
Daniel -115 over Jang

 

[lostinamerica]

OUTRIGHTS:

Angela Stanford(200/1) e.w. @ GolfingGods
- It's a major.

GL

 

[sports student]

2nd round at 5 dimes:

Webb -105 over Ochoa
Redman -105 over Fudoh

 

[sports student]

3rd round at 5 dimes:

Kung -110 over Creamer

Kung has a statistical edge in each category in Stan's stats plus Creamer won the "match" by one yesterday. Turnaround

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Amazing what a little rough does. + 9 makes cut 1/3 of field finishes + 10 or better--477 par 5 over water -no one goes for it all week. World cup rough was 1st clue-this confirms it. If they play again with rough should have have some takes.


Headed to Bama tomorrow on golf trip--hope Kinkos is open 24 hours yet so I can see what you gents are up to.

 

[Stanley]

Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 1-2; +0.00pts

Webb 44th
Kerr 3rd
Wie 14th

Okay, so Annika won yet again and in style, but betting to the 'w/o Sorenstam' market would have produced a loss as it was Rosie Jones who finished 2nd in another surprisingly impressive performance. Kerr made the payout rather uncertain with a late double-bogey, but just did enough to guarantee a full place payout, while Wie finished four shots out of the places - the same number of shots she dropped in the final four holes on Saturday.

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 3-0-0; +10.80pts

Han/Miyazato WON by 8
Wie/Miyazato WON by 9
Wie/Webb WON by 9

Thank goodness for hype! In an otherwise poor week, opposing Miyazato ensured a break-even week across all Tours. It really would have been an impressive performance if she had finished in the top-10 on her debut in the United States and she would have needed to do so to beat both Wie and Han.

LPGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 6-8; +11.37pts
Matchups: 11-4; +24.91pts