Outright plays (2 units):
Bruce Lietzke to win 16/1 e.w. @
Bet365 or
Five Dimes (1 unit to win & 1 units to finish in top-5)
Was widely expected to be a dominant force on the Senior Tour this season after he won a couple of titles once he joined the Tour last July, but this has not happened. Lietzke is not a grinder and he appears to have had a large number of poor finishes, but he has won twice this season and nearly always finishes strong when in contention. This looks a large price for someone who has won four times from 27 starts on this Tour and has finished in the top-5 on a further seven occasions.
Allen Doyle to win 20/1 e.w. @
Five Dimes
Easy to predict, but Doyle's winless run continued last week. He's 0-for-25 this year, but there has been a noticeable improvement in his form in the second half of the year. His last seven finishes read 7th, 7th, 12th, 12th, 3rd, 5th, 5th, so consistency is certainly part of Doyle's game and there is every reason to expect another strong, if winless, performance this week.
Doug Tewell to win 30/1 e.w. @
Five Dimes
Two mid-table finishes in the last week have resulted in this price and it is simply too large. He has won twice this season already, finished in the top-10 in his previous five starts before his 'mini-slump' and is in the top-3 of the most important stat categories - driving accuracy, greens in regulation, all-around ranking and money leaders - plus he is 4th in scoring average. Don't expect to see him at this price too often.
Rachels represents value to me - with 3 wins and a 16% strike rate on the Seniors tour he should not be 80/1 - sad that William Hill would only let me have ?9.37 and Bet365 ?13 - so ignored them and went to Centrebet (win only)
