Ladies Hoops 2/3/20

[Old School]

Oregon at Connecticut - Women - Monday, February 3, 2020 7:00 PM
2003 Oregon - Women
2004 Connecticut - Women

Massey Lines
Oregon -3.5
144.5


Huge game ...possible 1 Seed at stake




Can Oregon finally beat UConn in women's basketball?
https://www.espn.com/womens-college...601151/can-oregon-beat-uconn-women-basketball

 

[hawkeye]

My 1st reaction is Conn getting pts at home--that does not happen very often?

 

[Old School]

gotta do some homework hawkeye...Ore. mighty good.


Oregon at Connecticut - Women - Monday, February 3, 2020 7:00 PM2003

Oregon - -3? -120 Over 144? -120
Connecticut +3? -120 Under 144? -120

 

[hawkeye]

Yeah they are. Conn at home plus will this not be Ducks 3rd game in 5 days?
Might be some good qtr, half and team total lines also?

 

[hawkeye]

now 2'

 

[Old School]

Oregon at Connecticut - Women - Monday, February 3, 2020 7:00 PM
2003 Oregon - Women -2? -120 Over 144? -120
2004 Connecticut - Women +2? -120 Under 144? -120

 

[Musca]

I do not feel an overwhelming urge to bet the side. However, if this line jumps again then I will have to get involved. For me... I do not expect UCONN to attempt to run with the ducks. They are going to defend defend defend... I expect an inside out presence. Ducks have great balance but team will ride with Sabrina... We did bet the under 144.5
Geno knows he needs to keep Oregon to 65 or less in order to win. Duck loss to ASU was turnover based. Duck loss to U of L was because they did not hit their 3's.. shot 6-35 or something. I would expect UCONN to stay in Sabrinas face at all times but sag off the rest and dare them to shoot. By sagging they are able to collapse and double team the bigs (Ruthy/Sabally). I expect a defensive game.
UCONN will need to make sure the offense does not get stagnant. They will need 16+ assists. Make the game 5 on 5 and avoid the one on one bullshit. Ododa has to stay out of foul trouble and be a force on the boards.

I have this game very tight. Even with Oregon the favorite they feel like the underdog. I look for a game like 69-66. Ducks to win need to limit turnovers and shoot less than 20 3's unless they are making them... then another story. Huskies need to have 15+ assists and have balanced scoring. Must limit turnovers. Perimeter defense is paramount.

I have under 144.5
I am waiting to see if I can get UCONN +6.5 and then I will hit the dogs. I will also be looking to play the moneyline LIVE at the start. Under the main play. Side is just an opinion.

Other plays already in; Purdue +7.5- Purdue playing better ball. IU coming off ugly OT win and has peek a boo to Maryland. Look for the Purdue ladies to keep this one low scoring and ugly. 61-60 Purdue wins

Western Michigan -1 and over 140.5 Both small plays. This miami team is bad. Their wins have been against CRAPPY teams. WMU had the big girl back (sat out LY to have a baby) and she has been playing well. WMU will have a big advantage inside. I expect a game with 75 -80 posessions thus we should see 152 or so. If averages hold.

 

[Old School]

Oregon at Connecticut - Women - Monday, February 3, 2020 7:00 PM
2003 Oregon - Women -5? -120 Over 140? -120
2004 Connecticut - Women +5? -120 Under 140? -120



Oregon (w)
04:00 pm PST
-5?
-110

Connecticut (w)
+5?
-110
--
O 140?
-110
U 140?
-110

 

[Old School]

I will :0002

 

[CoverEverything]

Total is a no bet for me. I have it at 138.8 (Oregon/UConn).

 

[Old School]

Oregon at Connecticut - Women - Monday, February 3, 2020 7:00 PM
2003 Oregon - Women -5? -120 Over 140? -120
2004 Connecticut - Women +5? -120 Under 140? -120



Oregon (w)
04:00 pm PST
-5?
-110

Connecticut (w)
+5?
-110
--
O 140?
-110
U 140?
-110

4 point move

Oregon at Connecticut - Women - Monday, February 3, 2020 7:00 PM
2003 Oregon - Women -1? -120 Over 142? -120
2004 Connecticut - Women +1? -120 Under 142? -120

 

[Musca]

We got involved

 

[Musca]

UCONN 1st half moneyline +337
Uconn +6.5 1st half

Lets get some 2nd quarter Husky

 

[CoverEverything]

One thing I'm sick of is betting overs. I bet very few but I am on quite a cold streak on them. About 55% winners now this year with overs but that really sucks for ladies hoops.

 

[Musca]

One thing I'm sick of is betting overs. I bet very few but I am on quite a cold streak on them. About 55% winners now this year with overs but that really sucks for ladies hoops.

Just a comment and please do not allow to come across flippant...

Stop having preconceived notions on totals... You have said multiple times you are an under bettor... By claiming that it really puts you on a side before you even start...

I do find my self betting more unders than over but really have to let the game dictate...

Not a great night tonight but hit the under in the game. I made in game bets but was limited in success. c'est la vie. We are in the home stretch. Time to start analyzing everything for the conference tournies.

Remember that 5dimes puts up quarter totals and Heritage does not. So, if you are going to bet the quarters make sure you are now getting your numbers in line.


Not a great night. Just build on it. FWIW I hate the ASUN. Its a shit conference with a low level of ball. With that said it would have been nice to see how Kenessaw State did if they did not lose their star guard to a triple murder charge (THIS IS A TRUE STORY)

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