Damn forum KOD :nooo:
Outright plays (1.5 units):
Sergio Garcia to win 13/2 @
Sporting Odds,
Sportingbet or
UKBetting
Would have backed Monty had he taken last week off, but surely he and Bjorn will be too tired to compete this week. Garcia did rest last week and he needed it, both physically and emotionally, after the Belfry win. He should be in great shape for this event, displayed good form at the Belfry and has an awesome, if limited record in Europe over the past twelve months. He has only played three times over the past year and his record reads 1st (2001 Trophee Lancome), 1st (2002 Canarias Open de Espana) and 8th (British Open) when he finished only two shots out of the playoff. Top-ranked by some distance and should win.
Adam Scott to win 20/1 e.w. @
Bet365,
UKBetting or
BetDirect
Has seen a return to his earlier season form in the last two months, winning the Scottish PGA Championship, top-25 in the PGA Championship and top-10 last week in the process. He has become a very good front-runner - in both his wins this year he has led from day 2 to the finish - and should be able to capitalise on the tiredness of some of the leading players. Should improve on his debut finish of 11th last year.
Paul Casey to win 33/1 e.w. @
Sporting Odds or
Sportingbet
Last week's missed cut was a surprise. Discounting the British Open, his previous eight finishes in Europe read: 13th, 13th, 9th, 11th, 11th, 7th, 10th, 3rd. Extremely consistent and rather like Charles Howell, he is starting to show their talent after both were widely tipped to take their respective Tours by storm at the start of the year, but disappeared under the weight of expectation. Maybe he can draw some inspiration from Howell's victory last week, but even if not, he is certainly a good enough player to be in contention on Sunday evening.