Lancome Trophy

steved

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1 ew Immelman 33/1(BSquare) looked around for more, but saw plenty of lower prices, and been tipped up in other places, so took what on offer, before it was not there anymore...
two more speculative selections
0.5 ew Garrido 80/1 (SportingOdds)...playing better than has done for a good while...hope he blew off cobwebs last week...
0.5 ew Levet 100/1 (365) big odds for return to home country after Open excitement...poor course form...but different player this year when you catch him right...not sure if 40/1 is right price, but some books think it is...
 
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Stanley

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Damn forum KOD :nooo:

Outright plays (1.5 units):

Sergio Garcia to win 13/2 @ Sporting Odds, Sportingbet or UKBetting
Would have backed Monty had he taken last week off, but surely he and Bjorn will be too tired to compete this week. Garcia did rest last week and he needed it, both physically and emotionally, after the Belfry win. He should be in great shape for this event, displayed good form at the Belfry and has an awesome, if limited record in Europe over the past twelve months. He has only played three times over the past year and his record reads 1st (2001 Trophee Lancome), 1st (2002 Canarias Open de Espana) and 8th (British Open) when he finished only two shots out of the playoff. Top-ranked by some distance and should win.

Adam Scott to win 20/1 e.w. @ Bet365, UKBetting or BetDirect
Has seen a return to his earlier season form in the last two months, winning the Scottish PGA Championship, top-25 in the PGA Championship and top-10 last week in the process. He has become a very good front-runner - in both his wins this year he has led from day 2 to the finish - and should be able to capitalise on the tiredness of some of the leading players. Should improve on his debut finish of 11th last year.

Paul Casey to win 33/1 e.w. @ Sporting Odds or Sportingbet
Last week's missed cut was a surprise. Discounting the British Open, his previous eight finishes in Europe read: 13th, 13th, 9th, 11th, 11th, 7th, 10th, 3rd. Extremely consistent and rather like Charles Howell, he is starting to show their talent after both were widely tipped to take their respective Tours by storm at the start of the year, but disappeared under the weight of expectation. Maybe he can draw some inspiration from Howell's victory last week, but even if not, he is certainly a good enough player to be in contention on Sunday evening.
 

Monarch

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Lol. I think this forum is due a collective victory. We need more people playing Scott this week.
 

steved

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had to add 0.5 ew Faldo 50/1 (BSquare)...playing ok, but wondering effect seeing old sparring partner Lyle high on leaderboard will have...hope it provides the extra spur...also it is a tricky track this week which is what he seems to prefer nowadays...has very solid record here.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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:lol: Ha the real KOD ole tight ass Dogs jumped out and got him him a little Garcia (unofficially)at short odds when they dropped lines monday.

Bet Id: 5630704 - Click here for a full breakdown of your bet.

Placing Time: Mon Oct 7 16:35:18 2002

Type: Single

Basic Stake: 20.00 $

This bet consists of: Selection Backing Bet Type Odds

Lancome Trophy Garcia To Win 13/2
 

Stanley

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Matchup plays (1.5 units):

Colin Montgomerie to beat Thomas Bjorn -135 @ Carib
Monty will probably be too tired to win on Sunday, but looks good against another Ryder Cup player who is not just playing for the second consecutive week after the Ryder Cup [fancied McGinley in a few matchups, but though the Ryder Cup letdown would come this week], but is playing competitive golf for the eighth straight week! A remarkable feat given that it includes two events in the U.S. and a Ryder Cup. Surely Bjorn is running on empty. Even if not, former Lancome Trophy winner Monty has a 12-3-1 lead over the Dane in the last twelve months and that is enough reason for optimism.

Angel Cabrera to beat Trevor Immelman -125 Centrebet
Immelman has some good credentials for this week with a top-10 finish and some very impressive form over the summer, but Cabrera has been playing the bigger events and when they have met, it has been the Argentinean who has prevailed: 9-2-0 over the last twelve months and 3-0-0 in the last month.

Angel Cabrera to beat Justin Rose -115 @ Intertops
Basically opposing Rose for the sad reason that he has been affected by the death of his father, who was also his mentor and coach. He vowed to play on after his father died of cancer, but he has since broken 70 only twice in eight rounds in two very low-scoring events. Can't see a winning performance from Justin at the moment. Will side again with Cabrera who should finish top-20 with ease.

Eduardo Romero to beat Justin Rose -102 @ Five Dimes
Will take Romero at these odds. Gifted victory to Harrington last week, but currently ranks 4th in the Volvo Order of Merit which is an extremely impressive performance from a player who has never finished in the top-10 and is less than two years from being eligible to join the Senior Tour. Has had a couple of top-5 finishes in recent years at St.-Nom-la-Breteche and is capable of winning any event in his current form.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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This match looks pretty good with Gonzalez 3 up with 4 holes to play. :D Several like that under props. Did I bet em? No! Couldn't find way to parlay props:lol:

R.GONZALEZ (1ST RND) +127 10/10/02 7:30 AM EST 766 EVANS/FARRY
 

Stanley

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Mid-point update:

Montgomerie/Bjorn Leads by 2
Cabrera/Immelman Leads by 3
Cabrera/Rose Leads by 6
Romero/Rose Leads by 3

Garcia 10th
Scott mc
Casey 27th

Decent position at the cut with all four matchups leading, though none were settled as the cut line rose late in the day to save Rose. Left to rue omitting the McGinley plays as I "thought the Ryder Cup letdown would come this week" ... he would have beaten both Jacquelin and Pettersson at the cut. Still hopeful of a return on the outrights. Garcia is only 2 shots behind 3rd place and Casey 2 shots further back. Of the runaway leaders, Lafeber has never won on Tour and Cejka's last victory on the main Tour was in 1995. They will come back to the field.
 

bettingmad

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If at first you don't succeed....

Thomas Levet 33/1 1/5 lst 4 at bet247.

Seems a decent value each way bet in 5th place and 2 rounds to go. Most books are now paying just 3 places and he is generally 20/1 but as low as 14/1 in places.

On home soil.... if only he could reproduce the form of his Open 2nd....hope the psychologist is on hand.
 

Clive

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BMad

Get that champagne back on ice for my 50pew yankee;
Macaroon 40/1
Cejka 50/1
Klein 100/1
Rachels 40/1

never had a 8.5 million/1 winner!

And no, of course I didn't back it! Still, it's 9.00pm Friday and I'm optimistic...optimism which is usually gone by 9.00am Thursday!
 

bettingmad

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Clive,
You should have had the bet.... (but make it 10 x 5p ew yankees at different bookies in case one or two don't cough up).... but you didn't because you value your money too much.... "To the true gambler money is just a tool"

When I noticed you had tipped Cejka I cejked him over and he did look very backable at the price... of course this was after it had started.... plenty of scope for betfair laying for you now.
Good Luck.
 
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