Liberty Mutual Legends of Golf

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
11,801
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Outright plays (total stake per play: 2pts)

Mark McNulty to win 16/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Jay Haas' entry has pushed up everyone else's odds and that they do appear to be more motivated to win on this Tour than the Ryder Cup player. One such player is McNulty who has yet to win this year after winning the last two events of the 2004 schedule, but he has been 2nd, 2nd and 8th in his last three starts, the latter two on courses on which he struggled last year. He also struggled to 26th last year, but he was in a poor run of form at the time and so that can be discounted, which makes 16/1 good value.

Wayne Levi to win 20/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and William Hill
No discounting Levi's performance last year as he finished in the top-10 and that is something that he has done regularly this season. In six starts in 2005, he has finished inside the top-7 five times and 14th on the other occasion. And having been a wire-to-wire winner only last October, there is good reason to think that he is capable of the same this week.

Don Pooley to win 33/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
Similar story here just without the recent wire-to-wire win, though he did win the U.S. Senior Open in 2002 and looked like he could add the Senior British Open to his collection of majors last year. After an opening 17th place finish in Hawaii, Pooley has finished in the top-10 in four of five starts and finished 12th on the other occasion. Add in the fact that he finished 4th last year and that he failed to finish in the top-10 in five events either before or after last year's tournament, he clearly has the game for this course and is playing well enough to finish very highly again.
 

Stanley

Registered
Forum Member
Jul 26, 1999
11,801
26
0
Manchester, England
www.tour-tips.com
Matchup plays (2pts unless stated):

Jay Haas to beat Craig Stadler -130 @ Expekt [4pts]
Question marks were raised in the outright tips about Haas' motivation when on this Tour, but the fact remains that he has finished in the top-3 in each of his three starts on this Tour and two of those were majors. Maybe questions can now be raised about motivation for Stadler and Kite. Both have been playing much more on the PGA Tour and both have seen a marked deterioration in their finishing positions on this Tour. Stadler has just one top-5 finish since September. He may have course experience, but the Walrus looks far more likely to be outside the top-5 than Haas.
(also available at Centrebet, Superodds and Five Dimes)

Don Pooley to beat Larry Nelson -110 @ Centrebet and SuperOdds
Nelson was successfully opposed a month ago on the basis that the Tour's change in cart policy adversely affected injury-prone players such as Larry Nelson and Tom Poulter. And that has certainly be borne out in this matchup. In their four common events this year, Pooley has finished ahead of Nelson every time (just as he did on this course last year). Nelson has been so poor as to finish 45th and 60th in his last two starts. Should be a straightforward win for the outright selection.
 

Stanley

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Forum Member
Jul 26, 1999
11,801
26
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Manchester, England
www.tour-tips.com
Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 1-2; +0.00pts

McNulty 6th
Levi 3rd
Pooley 23rd

What a disappointing return! Levi was three clear towards the end of the 2nd round and even though he closed with two bogeys, he was again three clear after four holes of the final round. The gap may then have closed, but during the final nine holes, the leaderboard read Levi 1st and McNulty 2nd ... surely this was to be the breakthrough week on the 2004 Champions Tour! No, Levi was 2-over-par and McNulty 3-over-par for the final four holes and the result was not even a profit on these outright plays. A disappointing return, indeed!

Matchups: FINAL RESULT: 1-0-1; +2.00pts

Haas/Stadler TIED (push)
Pooley/Nelson WON by 7

Small profit on the event secured by the matchups. Did need Stadler to bogey the last hole for that, though!

Champions Tour ytd
Outrights: 4-17; -21.80pts
Matchups: 11-4; +15.60pts
 
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