Lightpath Long Island Classic

[Ian]

Would like to back the man with the best current/course form - Jim Thorpe - but on Sunday he had a short putt to win knocked it 6 feet past and missed the return that would get him in the playoff.
Have gone instead for those big priced players - Canizares has got great course form and should give a good run for the cash at 80/1 Stan James and the big outsider is Veriato - top 15 here last 2 years and sprung to life in August last year to win - doubt if much of the 200/1 at Centrebet is left (guilty as charged!) but 125 at Bet365 is a fair price.

 

[bettingmad]

Doug Tewell 16/1 Surrey.
Could make cases out for several of these but will try Tewell as he is playing better again now with top 11's in last 5 outings. Swung his way as the 16 was better with Surrey than elsewhere for my e/w double with Gulbis. Greed is good!

 

[lostinamerica]

OUTRIGHTS for 0.25* e.w.:

A little knowledge can be a dangerous thing. While heeding the advice and witnessing the evidence that Outrights in lesser events and away from the PGA Tour generally offer some of the best money-making opportunities, I am still stepping out lightly into those arenas because I can't expect to take on the world in my first season. Give me The Masters any day.

Bobby Wadkins(28/1 @ 5dimes)
The man that couldn't win defends his only Tour title. WTF. I hope New York cheers him on. I hope he wins by six.

Jim Thorpe(25/1 @ 5dimes)
One of the season's leading players would seem much more likely to answer last week with game than with a shabby performance.

GL

 

[Stanley]

Outright plays (2 units):

Bruce Fleisher to win 11/1 e.w. @ Five Dimes (1 unit to win & 1 unit to finish in top-5)
Short price, but hard to discount a player who won this title on his first two attempts and finished a close 7th last year. He hasn't won since lifting the U.S. Senior Open title last year, so will take the safe each-way play. With four top-5 finishes in the last two months, he should at least achieve that target on this course.

Jim Thorpe to win 25/1 e.w. @ Five Dimes
Wouldn't have touched him but for this price. His putted "exploded in his hands" last week when he had a 5-foot putt for victory (as a 33/1 selection) and missed the return to enter the playoff. But Thorpe is a resilient player who keeps playing week after week and is obviously in very good form. As mentioned last week, if he has a good first round, he will surely challenge. If not, he'll coast over the weekend.

Bobby Wadkins to win 28/1 e.w. @ Five Dimes
Opposed him last year on his Senior debut and paid the price as he won the tournament. It was only after the event that I heard him say he has grown up on the Meadow Brook course. With that local knowledge and rested last week after having been in very form all season, I'll take the defending champion at these odds.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

I went to 5dimes to look at Watkins and they have 28/1 win but only 5/1 place???
What kind of shit is that???????????
Sia no place wagers on Beards or Bush.
By end of year there will be no place wagers only anywhere

 

[Ian]

Well it looks like another bad week and I shouldn't chase losses but Tom Jenkins at 66/1 was crying out to be bet - a big price for someone at 3 under.

 

[Stanley]

Final update: 1-2; -2.25 units

Fleisher 5th
Thorpe 34th
Wadkins 15th

Hit the safety play on Fleisher to finish in the top-5, but the other two never really challenged. Fleisher had a poor opening nine holes today so victory and a profitable event was never on the cards.

Senior PGA Tour ytd
Matchups: 7-5; +2.47 units
Outrights: 15-29; +76.88 units