Liking these today

grey beard

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Jets +3 1/2 and ML +$155.....I'll take Fitzgerald over Manuel in this one as the main reason for picking the Jets...neither team has anything to play for...Bills already fired their coach...Jets stopped playing for theirs..so that's kind of a push...but Fitzgerald is capable of putting up some points (also capable of giving up points)..but think he goes out on top today as his final game with the Jets (I'm assuming he won't be back next year)...Jets 27, Buffalo 10

Cleveland + 5 /12 and ML +$190..as I mentioned last week, RG3 will play good enough to confuse Brown's mgt with what to do next year...RG3 played just good enough to screw up the Skins for 3 years...until they figured out he was the 3rd best QB on the team....same thing is going to happen in Cleveland I think...he is playing for a $9M option and two wins in a row will go a long way in him getting it...I could see the Browns drafting a QB as well..but it doesn't have to be the number 1, number 1....there's no lock QB out there for the number 1 pick like an Elway, or Luck....so think the Browns play this game all out...Steelers resting 3 best offensive players...Landry Jones will just try to run the clock out in this one...RG3 and Browns 24, Steelers 13.

Saints + 7 1/2....Saints are playing hard still...Breeze has been totally on his game with his receivers the last few....total shootout possible...but I always like Breeze and the Saints to get a late TD to close the gap...I could see a backdoor cover...37-34 type game...the extra 1/2 point doesn't hurt...Saints also playing for 500 record and both Breeze and Peyton I think want that bad...an upset is possible but I'll jut take the points.

Eagles -4 1/2 over Cowboys...Cowboys will be resting their starters...Eagles and Wentz playing really good ball lately...Cowboys with Sanchez might be good for 17-20 points...Eagles good for 27+,,,,Eagles 28, Boys 17

Denver - 1 1/2...Denver will show some pride in this last game I think with Kubiak maybe retiring...this combined with Oakland having to adjust to a new QB...Del Rio has done a great job with the Raiders getting them up and winning away games they should have lost...but think this one they come up short...have no idea how this new QB for the Raiders will perform but coming to the hostile and cold environment in Denver is not a good place to start his career...Denver's front 7 will confuse the heck out of him I think...Denver goes out on a positive note Denver 24, Oakland 10.

KC -4 1/2...think KC gets the bye with Oakland going down...Rivers has looked horrible for about a month now...his passes lack zip and they are coming up short...no good receivers either...San Diego's D line was their strength but they are hurt and double they'll dominate today..this is a game KC will not let up in I don't think...San Diego will be "No Mas"...KC 31, San Diego 17.


And teasing these games with the Skins +7 point teaser is worth some bucks.....Josh Johnson expected to close this game out for the Giants....he's been around a bit and he'll be throwing to backups in 2nd half...unless the Skins really dump in the 1st half, I like their 2nd half changes to at least win this game...DC will be in shock and mourning for months if they lose this one...Skins 33, Giants 23.

Tease ( 7 point) Skins also with NE -1 and Seattle -2...don't see either of these two losing today...NE wants home field and Dolphins I think will play real conservative...Seattle probably will blow our SF...losing two in a row going into the playoffs I doubt would happen...and SF is just a mess...dysfunctional org with little talent and a lousy coach...they probably are the team who most just want's their season to end.
 

lowell

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What is your opinion of Pack Lions game?
Will check on Rogers record playing indoors. Everything points to GB winning but Stafford is such a competitor and I think he will have a great game.
Good luck.
 

grey beard

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Lion/Packer game

Lion/Packer game

What is your opinion of Pack Lions game?
Will check on Rogers record playing indoors. Everything points to GB winning but Stafford is such a competitor and I think he will have a great game.
Good luck.

The Lion/Packer game is a tough pick to me...two QBs who can put points up in the clutch...Packers receivers slightly better then Lions but Lions D a bit better than Pack...two pretty equal teams if you ask me...so it comes down to who's the better QB...man, that's a tough pick...I'd say if you can get the Lions 3 1/2 vs 3 I'd go with them...I could see this game being real close throughout...last week, Stafford came out firing 1/2 half and fizzled the 2nd...he's better then other way around...Lions could play it close to the vest 1st half to keep the score down...so something like a 13-7 or 10-10 score at half is what I think the Lions want...so maybe GB 27, Lions 24...or turn it the other way...so take the extra 1/2 point is what I would do. This should be a great game with two great QBs...also, I've never quite like Rodgers on turf...he doesn't seem to speed up like everyone else does..and that's critical for him...to get on the edge where he's a killer...that's just my observation...he's a killer on frozen turf where he can cut and fake..not quite as effective on turf.
 

grey beard

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Add a couple of Totals

Add a couple of Totals

Indy/Jax over 48...nothing to play for..indoors,...two QBs who like to throw....could see both teams in 30s.

Under 47 NE/Miami ..line has moved up 3 points today..so could be off in my thinking...NE needs the game and should get out to a quick lead...Miami I think will be totally vanilla on Offense...they just want the game to be over I think..their coach is very conservative as it is...Miami D is pretty good too...think NE gets out to a 20 point lead and just runs the clock thereafter...maybe NE 31, Miami 10....or maybe NE 28, Miami 6 or something like that...think this game goes quickly with long drives or punts...lots of running by Miami...seems like I'm going against the grain on trends and point spread move..so not going too large
 

grey beard

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Record and 1 add

Record and 1 add

Good luck today, by the way, what's your record ytd grey beard?

I used to keep my record but it was too time consuming and with teasers and parlays, I just found it not worth the trouble...I've posted 6 weeks now I think...had one real bad week..split two weeks and won the other 3...so in terms of weeks..think 3 winning weeks, 1 losing and 2 split.

Add Bears + 6 1/2 and ML +$210.....two teams with really bad seasons...Bears were playing really good ball up to the game last week...their D was exposed by Skins excellent wideouts....Minny really doesn't have a good passing game...nor reallly a good running game either...last week the team wouldn't follow their coaches direction on D...will that change this week...maybe...but given there's some dysfunction in Minny, Bradford is a very overrated QB who folds under pressure...and the Bears haven't seemed to quit with a Coach who does seem to get the most out of his team in Fox...I'll go with a Bears upset...28-27....
 

grey beard

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Add over 21 TT for Carolina

Add over 21 TT for Carolina

Have to admit, borrowing this from another capper...but do like it...Cam playing better lately...Tampa D backs average...think Carolina gets into high 20s or more
 

grey beard

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Over 23 1/2 Indy/Jaguars 2nd half

Over 23 1/2 Indy/Jaguars 2nd half

Think Luck doesn't go softly in this one and puts up 21 by himself...the rest, nothing jumps out...
 

PLI

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What a way to start the New Year....Monster Day! Thanks for all the plays!!
 
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