thanks Double Two.
I know its not for everyone but I love the end of halves or games and actually assuming predetermined outcomes are in progress then finding a spot to capitalize.
Last night was an UNDER all the way. 108-102 (210) with 5:30 left, pregame total was 239.5. Knowing they weren't going to score 30 points in the last 5:30, once Minn got to 114 at 3:52 and led 114-104, I could rule out Minn scoring much more than 120, so it was could Sac score 8-10 points in 4 minutes? Keeping mind the missed Minn FTs to come (remember Under all the way) 8 was a lot of green from my POV.
My methodology, inputs, variables I use to find spots seem very random, no doubt. But I promise you there's a lot happening when I go in that big, and what seems a certainty to me probably seems like a coin flip to someone who's not "in my head" processing all the data and scenarios I'm betting around and on. Not saying I dont get lucky, but excessive action on the over and the total actually was lowered by books yesterday. My favorite spot to bet an under.
Now I'll admit betting the under is probably the safer play, as opposed to how I executed. But I wasn't around and able to bet when the game started so I had to improvise
My live plays are 3x better than my pregame plays. I'm happy to admit that. My average pregame play is 3-4x, my average live play is closer to 10x.
Three of the biggest wins of my career have come in the last 4 weeks.
Still playing UAB, SDSU and Uconn though