Gloveski,
I have had a really close look into this contest (probably more than any of the actual matches) and I am very confident about Fremantle.
I took Fremantle -22.5 @ $1.90 earlier in the week and I see they are now -24.5 @ $1.80 with Centrebet.
I believe this will be a fairly high scoring affair and I think Fremantle will score at least 65 points (season average is 80 points). This would mean Matthew Lloyd would need to kick 7 goals or more, which he has struggled to do this year generally opposing a strong defender.
I have also read that Sheedy is not very happy about the whole situation and it will be interesting to see if he produces any surprises.