LMU/USD

thewinder

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Aug 9, 2002
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i know i don't post much, but i thought i would offer this analysis of tonight's game. as a graduate of the school, this is a must win for the toreros. team is on a crappy three game slide, even though it was against the three top teams in the conference, two of them on the road. now, back at home, i think they get it done in solid fashion tonight. at home, they have been averaging close to 75 points per game, while only giving up an average of 62. while they are pretty even in the rebounding and free throwing departments, they do hold an advantage in the FG%, 47 to 42, and 39 to 33 in the 3-point category. gay and vounang put up 48 points in their last game versus santa clara, and i look for them to come close to that tonight. another factor is revenge: they lost to lmu last year in san diego, 76-68. holland is 14-8 versus the lions in his career.

i make them the winner 81-70.

the opening line of 7 is right where i thought it would be. as fatass said in another thread, the line i have now is 5.5 and it may drop even more due to the 3 game slide and lmu's recent convincing win over pepperdine. i would also lean to the over 144.

gl in whatever you play.
 

thewinder

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77-70, off a little on my prediction, lol. still amazes me how many times vegas sets a line and it lands right on.

1-0 posted record for 2005!! lol

best of luck to all.
 

njdboy

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Jan 19, 2005
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nice job winder, I ended up taking USF but I regretted it after seeing this final.

congrats on the undefeated year! :)
 

LuckyIrish

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Oct 1, 2004
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Winder...I always think the same thing.

Dont know how many times i bet an OVER and it lands right on the number???
 

thewinder

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thanks guys. not to mention, the over/under was 144 and it lands just 3 points away.

not sure how many follow usd hoops, but coach holland is unbelievable sometimes. he calls timeouts at the most ridiculous points of a ballgame. several times last night, he called a TO when the toreros were on a roll. i can understand calling one to stop the opposing momentum, but geeesh, come on. he never ends a game with TO's in the bag. there have been many games in the past years where at the end, he needs one, and there are none left.

some other info on usd and holland. unlike MANY other home teams in the country, he does not get calls from the refs. in fact, i would guess that the wcac is the one of the most evenly reffed conferences. there were several calls last night that were not made in favor of the home team.

just something to think about.
 
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