Long Drugs Classic

[DOGS THAT BARK]

an early outright 1/2 unit E/W @ Skybet
Ochoa 50/1

Little filly does not have a win so stretching things a tad, but 1st time for everything and Annika not in field. Has however had two 2nds and two 3rds and a 6th in 19 events which gives her a place break even rate of return still under the 6.25 here given the divvy on the E/W. I'll ride.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
adding Kane 12.5 to place (top 4) @ Centrebet
4 top 3's and a couple 6 place finishes in 21 events force me to place a short top 4 place @ these odds--however Centrebet top 4's have not been kind to me to date 0 for 9 with three 5th's
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
adding a place wager @ 5 dimes (top 5)
Rosales 10/1
Only 1 top 5 in 19 events but in top 15 nine times so been knocking on door.--and while playing infrequently past couple of months has not been out of top 15 last 4 outs.Maybe a little rust but gonna take a look.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Hot Dog They just added golf channel to our cable today.Got to watch replay of Bush final rd last week but never did show Grace Park

 

[Stanley]

I hope she gets plenty of TV coverage for you this week

Outright plays (1.5 units):

Grace Park to win 16/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Has only won once this season, but has been incredibly consistent with just one event since the Chick-fil-A Charity Classic in April in which she has not been in contention. This week's weaker field and the move to the very much wider fairways of Lincoln Hills should also suit.

Beth Daniel to win 33/1 e.w. @ Stan James
No problems with Daniel's form either. She has also won once this year and Annika needed back-to-back eagles in her final round to finally get ahead of her last week. Daniel missed out on a playoff by a single shot, but she still recorded her fifth top-5 finish in twelve starts and should not be at this price.

Lorie Kane to win 50/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Nor should Kane as evidenced by SkyBet's 25/1. Unlike the other selections, she has not won this year, but she has been runner-up on three occasions. Her form remains intact with her fifth top-10 finish in ten starts last week and she could certainly snatch a place win even if titles have become a little elusive in the last couple of years.

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays (1.5 units):

Beth Daniel to beat Sophie Gustafson -115 @ Five Dimes
Had this matchup last week as a win and will back it again at the same odds. It took her three-month h2h against Gustafson to 3-0-0 on this Tour and while Gustafson finished strong on Sunday to claim a top-10 finish it was much less impressive than Daniel's effort to beat the best female player in the world.

Jennifer Rosales to beat Laura Davies -105 @ Five Dimes
Davies' post-Solheim Cup performance was much more muted: she finished 47th. Not quite the form that almost brought her victory in the State Farm Classic in August, but she will need that form if she is to beat Rosales who has been very impressive with finishes of 13th, 12th, 8th and 9th in her last four starts, albeit the last one was before the Solheim Cup.

Grace Park to beat Juli Inkster -108 @ Five Dimes
Also backing the underdog in this matchup, though should be favourite by my calculations. Inkster's form has been good this year, or at least since May, but she has been more prone to bad weeks than Pak and indeed missed the cut in her last outing. Should be a good match unless Inkster has a Solheim Cup hangover.
(also available at Expekt)

 

[Clive]

Like the Grace play, she was no.2 on my list this week, but I really wanted 20/1...may be forced into a small saver!

Cristie Kerr 33 is too obvious to miss....would kick myself if she won this week without my money.

Also keen on Lorie Kane, the 50 is too big a price for her.

and will add Sophie G 33/1 as I think she could be close to getting back to her best...I note she is as short as 16/1 in places.

Of the bigger prices, I have v small interests in Koch 66, Andrews 150 and Lindley 100....I believe the term DTB uses is unofficial cheese???

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Wonder what time 5 dimes drops lines on these gals. Somehow its always when I am asleep (which doesn't leave wide margin) and I don't get there till the sharks have fed

 

[Stanley]

Final update:

Matchups: 1-2-0; -1.80 units

Daniel/Gustafson LOST by 6
Rosales/Davies LOST (Rosales wd)
Park/Inkster WON by 5

Outrights: 1-2; -1.98 units

Park 2nd
Daniel 31st
Kane 19th

All three outright selections started very strong, but only Park remained in the hunt and did hold the lead on the back nine on Sunday. A bogey on the 16th hole proved decisive as she finished just a shot behind Helen Alfredsson. It caps a frustrating week of "if only"s.

LPGA Tour ytd
Matchups: 44-33; +16.18 units
18-holes: 40-33; +4.42 units
Outrights: 11-55; -35.58 units

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Finals
outrights
Rosales WD
Kane 19th
Ochoa 7th

week -3 units ytd +70.5

 

[Clive]

Alfie wins again on the LPGA...how did that happen...have to say that is the shock of the season for me.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Don't know either. Was feeling your pain when Sophie let it slip and Park also for Stan. Wish Park would wear more outfits like Pak--only shorter.
Sheez is Hurst and ugly brut and what a terrible golf swing. Believe she and Sergio have same putting instructor:lol: