Does anyone have a stat on getaway days for teams on 9 or 10 game road trips?
This is pivotal for me. I'll explain later. Thanks.
:0008
This is pivotal for me. I'll explain later. Thanks.
:0008
Long road trip question.
- Thread starter Lee
- Start date
- Mar 2, 2006
- 4,794
- 120
- 0
All numbers are for the last five seasons:
9th game away, road teams are 317-345 for ROI: +1.8%
as a dog, ROI +3.3%
as a fav, ROI: -4.0%
getaway games, ROI -2.6%
10th game away, road teams are 124-134 for ROI: +4.1%
as a dog, ROI +3.5%
as a fav, ROI +1.8%
getaway games, ROI -2.2%
If the 9th game away is a getaway game and is the last game of the trip, ROI -2.6%
If the 10th game is a getaway game and is the last game of the trip, ROI -2.7%
The only one I play based exclusively on travel is favorites that are playing their 7th road game. For some reason, that seems to be a pivotal amount of time for them to be road-weary. It has a positive ROI over the last eight seasons of +13.8%, and this season has gone 27-12, ROI +50.7%. Runline is also solid this season at ROI +45% and the over is 25-14 ROI +23.9%. Only one losing season in the last eight. Also, fading all AL teams in same conference games, whether favorite or dog in this situation are 43-16 this season, ROI +31.3%.
Road dogs also have a solid record this season in getaway games, when their next game is at home, going 86-94, for ROI +10.8%. I don?t play this, as it seems to be somewhat of a fluke so far this season based on past results.
I realize these are simple parameters, but with baseball I just play trends while they are hot, and then back off when they start to cool.
Hopefully that was the info you were looking for...
Good luck
9th game away, road teams are 317-345 for ROI: +1.8%
as a dog, ROI +3.3%
as a fav, ROI: -4.0%
getaway games, ROI -2.6%
10th game away, road teams are 124-134 for ROI: +4.1%
as a dog, ROI +3.5%
as a fav, ROI +1.8%
getaway games, ROI -2.2%
If the 9th game away is a getaway game and is the last game of the trip, ROI -2.6%
If the 10th game is a getaway game and is the last game of the trip, ROI -2.7%
The only one I play based exclusively on travel is favorites that are playing their 7th road game. For some reason, that seems to be a pivotal amount of time for them to be road-weary. It has a positive ROI over the last eight seasons of +13.8%, and this season has gone 27-12, ROI +50.7%. Runline is also solid this season at ROI +45% and the over is 25-14 ROI +23.9%. Only one losing season in the last eight. Also, fading all AL teams in same conference games, whether favorite or dog in this situation are 43-16 this season, ROI +31.3%.
Road dogs also have a solid record this season in getaway games, when their next game is at home, going 86-94, for ROI +10.8%. I don?t play this, as it seems to be somewhat of a fluke so far this season based on past results.
I realize these are simple parameters, but with baseball I just play trends while they are hot, and then back off when they start to cool.
Hopefully that was the info you were looking for...
Good luck
Great stuff HH, home dogs are 67% when their next game is on the road for a long road trip, road dogs over 150 or more are 57% or +11.9 units this year when they are returning home after 8 or more games in a row on the road and have an off day the next day. This info is from this year! 2013 season!
Hope this helps as well!
Later!
:0003
