Looking to do backtesting. Need data.

[Skins]

Im interested in researching a system that considers the following

Taking favorites on the run line that were -140 or less straight up (i.e. no run ine). Then pairing the bet with the dog in the same game straight up.

The key would be for there not to be a 1 run game.

Anyone know where I can find historical line data and results?

Thx.

 

[cisco]

This might help.

edit link to rival forum:admin

GL-

 

[cisco]

you're right. sorry. :nono:


Skins-maybe you could ask the mods for my e-mail.

 

[Heyward]

Im interested in researching a system that considers the following

Taking favorites on the run line that were -140 or less straight up (i.e. no run ine). Then pairing the bet with the dog in the same game straight up.

The key would be for there not to be a 1 run game.

Anyone know where I can find historical line data and results?

Thx.

Many years ago, someone used to post a system like this. Was it Nolan Dalla? Anybody else remember? I think part of the system was that the Total had be at least 9 or 9.5 in order to play on a particular game (the theory being that a 1-run game was less likely in a higher scoring game).

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

.....I think part of the system was that the Total had be at least 9 or 9.5 in order to play on a particular game (the theory being that a 1-run game was less likely in a higher scoring game).

Makes a lot of sense.
I'm wondering if teams with crappy pens might be another thing to consider (I remember in '07 the D'Rays lead a number of games late only to lose by multiple runs due to a crappy BP).

Rockies games--any games at Coors--are safer runline plays than most.

Also, if this helps, usually 24-28% of games are decided by only 1-run. I'd like to know what last year's results were, actually, even on a team-by-team basis (got a useful link somewhere in my favorites but need to find it). Maybe I'll try to find it tonight--good numbers to consider.