loophole

loophole

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yesterday a big yawn at 5-4-1, now 82-64-3. line move and miracle comeback by vandy snatch victory from the jaws of defeat. cavs have no clue against the zone and barely mange to push. ill-chi just flat wore out. only one play today, and for me it will be bigger than average. won't rate the play because of my homer bias, but this one is solid:


nc state +10: i know i'm not exactly neutral here but there is no way to justify this line. ncsu obviously improved, has won and covered 7 of last 8, only loss to md who won by 7 in raleigh laying 4. fact is, the terps are better than duke. now that the curse called damien wilkins has been lifted, wolfpack best team in the acc in to's averaging only 13 a game. duke trey's won't go unchallenged, state also second in acc in defending from the arc, allowing only .284% for the season, .272% @ home.

duke 1-4 ats last five, only cover @ davidson. dookies wanted to chew tech up after loss @ fsu, tried to pour it on jackets for whole game but couldn't maintain intensity and failed to cover in big bounceback game at home. devils are all puffed up in press talking about being disrespected, but the way i see it is if you got respect you don't have to talk about it. ever hear shane battier complain about not enough respect? i think not.

truth is, and i've been saying this all season, duke is good but not as good as years past. and state is very much improved over the lst few years, not just statwise but also by style of play. now wolfpack has players who can make their own shot and not turn the ball over while trying. duke is not the deep multi-faceted team of the nat'l championship years. they basicly only have two serious scoring options in williams and dunleavy. duhon and boozer are ok, but both are inclined to go invisible from time to time. also, for the first time in a long time you can probably say state has more team speed. and, if you feel this game might go down to a free throw shooting contest, note that duke shoots a paltry 67% from the line while state leads the acc @ 74.1%.


in '01, duke won by 6 in raleigh laying 11; in '00, devils won by 5 laying 8-. both years much better duke teams vs much orse state teams. wolfpack has shown me they can get focused for conference home games; devils haven't demonstrated they can do the same in the brutal acc road games.


really believe this game has value that goes beyond my alumnus bias. btw, can someone explain to me why this line is the same as md at tech? can't for the life of me figure how the jackets will compete with the terps, but i'll stay away from the road favs today and hopefully watch the pack win s/u (i wish). hey, if the seminoles can take the devils down the wolfpack can handle them.

gl to all and go wolfpack!
 

loophole

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well crap, i screwed up the thread subject as my computer is on the fritz and i'm struggling through this on my daughter's computer that has a broken mouse. if you do't hear from me much today, that's why.
 

loophole

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line change

line change

arggg!!! my kid's computer is infuriating. just got the line and state is +11 locally, so hold out. i'm eating it up.
 

crib_19

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Loop---first of all...i want you to know I read your write-ups everyday and follow your thoughts closely...I respect your insight greatly...now, about the Duke/NCState game...except for the upcoming Duke/Maryland match-up....I have decided to play both Maryland and Duke whenever I can get them giving 10 or less points...why?....because the way they play forces teams to do sooooo many things that they are not accustomed to..and if the opposing teams can't adapt ....they get drilled....traditionally NC State plays a conservative game and they have received tremendous coaching help with the addition of Larry Hunter on their staff...he has enhanced their post play tremendously..the problem is the pace of this game is just not a comfort zone for the "wolves"....plus they have no one to guard Boozer on the inside...Duke got their wake-up call down in Florida...my guess is that got back to Durham and Coach K kicked their ass.....they came out extremely motivated and Coach K was as animated as I have ever seen him (vs Georgia Tech.)..the Pack will not sneak up on Duke this year.
NC State will have trouble scoring w/ any consistancy vs the Duke pressure...in conclusion, "loop" i'm usually right w/ ya' mon...
but on this game, i'm taking the Dukies 85-70...good luck...crib
p.s. i'm also taking Arkansas,Maryland, Creighton, and Gonzaga
....any thoughts???.....again good luck...crib "deep in the bowels
of NW Ohio"_19 :)
 

MadJack

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I have decided to play both Maryland and Duke whenever I can get them giving 10 or less points

what are you going to do when they play each other next week? :D

what do you think the line will be? gonna be a great game, for sure.
 
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