LPGA - Aerus Electrolux

[Ian]

Agreed with Clive and DTB on Kelli Kuehne - I was the sod that nicked the 150/1 that Centrebet went , also got the early 80/1 on Han and for the 3rd choice have gone for Jackie Gallagher-Smith - played well here last 2 years and was 4th a few weeks back - 150/1 again at Centrebet

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

transferred
Bush outrights to place @ SIA 1 unit each
Robbins 7/1
Redman 11/1
Doolan 12.5/1
Kuehne 12.5/1

Was happy to see Clive is also liking Kuehne on his site page

Ian I need to get set up with some of you gents outs.Most will not take money from U'S' anymore. I get green with envy when ya all posts odds like that

 

[Stanley]

Outright plays (1.5 units):

Juli Inkster to win 14/1 e.w. @ TattsBet
Short price and would normally not look to a defending champion, but Inkster is in great form at the moment. Since she started her season at the Takefuji Classic, she has finished 6th, 2nd, 19th, 8th and 1st. Plus she finished 2nd in this event in 2000 before winning last year. She beat both Sorenstam and Pak last week, so can't see any reason why she can't again this week.

Grace Park to win 25/1 e.w. @ Centrebet or TattsBet
As outlined last week, I'm discounting her course form at this stage of the season as she was in a slump twelve and twenty-four months ago. She almost fell out of the top-4 last week, but a birdie at the last ensured she was a profitable selection and maintained her extremely impressive run of form on courses on which she had previously struggled.

Mi Hyun Kim to win 25/1 e.w. @ Surrey
First-time visit to the Legends for Kim, but is another in great form at the moment. Followed a disappointing opening round with 66 to secure another top-10 finish in the rain-shortened Chick-Fil-A Championship and looks set to continue the same form this week.

 

[boris]

Quick off the mark there Ian, would have loved some of that 80/1 on Han, my eyes lit up when my golf researcher gave me the price comparison. This gal can play.

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays (1.5 units):

Juli Inkster to beat Laura Diaz -125 @ TattsBet
With finishes of 49th and 57th on this course and without the excuse of poor current form, Diaz could struggle to maintain her recent good form on this course. See above for reasons to expect another impressive performance from Inkster. Five Dimes have Inkster -170 for this matchup which seems more realistic, though it does mean there is a decent scalp as well.

Cristie Kerr to beat Rachel Teske -110 @ Surrey
The event following her maiden win was always going to be difficult for Kerr, but this should be another matter. She won the Longs Drugs Challenge after missing the cut in the Office Depot and a rebound is expected this week, particularly as she already has a top-10 finish on this course. That was the same year that Teske missed the cut and with her top-10 finish last week being the first in five events, Kerr looks the more likely to perform this week.

 

[bettingmad]

Will try a little on Heather Bowie 80/1 Stan James. Two decent 3rds in the Takefuji & Longs Drugs and a top 10 here last year.
Discard was Inkster at 14 also Stan James.

 

[Clive]

Lots of value around early in the week, and lots of trimmed prices too!

Have backed Kuehne, but only at 125/1 as some git nicked the 150! They then trimmed to 80 and then 60

Also took 80/1 He Won Han who has looked impressive in recent weeks..anybody who can win Rookie of the Year with no playing rights and gaining starts with 8 Monday qualifying wins must have nerves of steel!!

Third sel is Mhairi McKay at 80/1, but again that price was trimmed (do you think Centrebet might be on to us!?)

Finally, of the prices currently available, Michelle Redman appeals at 66 with Hills (5 places)


Couldn't fault any of Stan's picks, although concerned that Kim's still tampering with her swing a little. SIAS have Inkster at 5/1!

 

[bettingmad]

Which is the best site for live LPGA scores? I have been using the golf channel... but the scores have stopped updating... I assume it's a weather delay as my Bowie has just bogied consecutive holes so as usual my player gets the worst of the weather!

now started updating again...

 

[Clive]

http://www.lpga.com/statistics/leaderboard.cfm

the one I use..usually stops working with 3 holes to go on Sunday!

 

[bettingmad]

Thanks Clive... never seen that site before.. part of my learning curve!

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

I looked to see if I would pick up coverage for live updates but nada. Its on golf channel which I don't get.Should be exciting as the crew has several long ones in the hunt.
I like your chances on Bowie,Steve as I have backed her last 2 weeks and got off this week.
While I have Clives link booked marked, I find it much faster to go to Stan's site and pick up all tour scores from there as they are all at one stop,bypass ads loading,and its bang bang and they are there.

 

[bettingmad]

DTB,
Must confess part of the reasoning behind Bowie was the devil in me... noticed she had been mentioned in despatches lately but ignored this week... hoping to profit from a Mediate/Choi factor... but she has a bit to do yet... the 2 bogies before play was stopped yesterday didn't help.

 

[Clive]

Bowie's certainly one to keep an eye in during the summer...she's an improving player and I think she'll win this year...working out when is the problem!

 

[Stanley]

Mid-point update:

Inkster/Diaz Trails by 7
Kerr/Diaz WON by 3

Inkster 57th
Park 10th
Kim 20th

Won one matchup with Diaz missing the cut for the second successive year, though Inkster has some improvement to make over the weekend. Still hope for Kim and Park as well.

 

[Ian]

Stan - methinks thou art confused - Diaz/Kerr?:shrug:

 

[Stanley]

Me? Confused? Easily done!

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Should have NEVER mentioned anything about the crews picks up top after 1st rd as they all dropped 2nd rd:nono:Maybe I'll put reverse whammy on em today.
Appears you got puter back runnin Stan

 

[Stanley]

Final update:

Matchups: 1-1; -0.38 units

Inkster/Diaz LOST by 3

Outrights: 1-2; +0.94 units

Inkster 27th
Park 3rd
Kim 16th

Park came through to make it a break-even event. Got within a shot of the lead at one stage, but no win. Unlikely to be 25/1 again.

LPGA Tour ytd
Matchups: 9-7; +7.67 units
Outrights: 5-18; +29.19 units

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

finals
outrights
Kuehne 16th
Robbins 27th
Redman 35th
Doolan 42nd

week - 4 units ytd +25.5 units