LPGA Corning Classic

Stanley

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Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)

Seon Hwa Lee to win 25/1 e.w. @ William Hill
With three 2nd places already this year and in a field that misses Sorenstam, Ochoa, Webb, Kerr, Inkster, Creamer and so on, Lee should not be 25/1 even if she is a Tour rookie and so has on course form. That has not stopped her this season and will not do so again this week around a short course that will certainly suit her game. She may not have finished in the top-10 in her last three starts, but at the Ginn Clubs & Resorts Open and last week's Sybase Classic, she entered the final round in 4th place so she is still getting herself into contention. Against such a weak field, she should be able to convert this week.

Laura Diaz to win 40/1 e.w. @ BetInternet, Stan James and Ladbrokes
The Scotia native is on her way back from a pregnancy break and missed her first three cuts, but it has been a different story in her last four events. She was among the early leaders in the Ginn Clubs & Resorts Open and the Franklin American Mortgage Championship and last week she entered the final round in 4th place alongside Lee. So the competitiveness is certainly returning and that should continue this week. She became the first New Yorker to win this event in 2002 and can count on strong home support if she again gets into contention.

Karine Icher to win 50/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
A year ago, Icher held the lead after the 2nd and 3rd rounds on her debut and it was an impressive performance in the final round as she had never been in this position on the LPGA Tour. She opened with three birdies in the first five holes to stretch her lead, but the pressure of having to play in the final group with Annika Sorenstam finally told and she recorded three double-bogeys on the back nine to finish 6th. She has missed her previous cut, though she had done the same last year and she had shown good form since the start of April, so she should be confident about her return to this course ... and there is no Annika factor this week!
 

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
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Matchup plays (stake per play:1.5pts unless stated)

Seon Hwa Lee to beat Natalie Gulbis +130 @ Pinnacle [3pts]
There's too much hype in this line. Gulbis may attract a lot of headlines, but she has yet to convince that she is a better player that Lee, against whom she has a 4-7-0 h2h record, including just one win in their last five common events. Gulbis does have the advantage in terms of course experience, but as she has yet to record a top-10 finish on this course, it is not much of an advantage.

Stacy Prammanasudh to beat Sophie Gustafson -105 @ Pinnacle
Prammanasudh has been a model of consistency this year, but seven of nine finishes in the top-25 and that is enough to earn her a 7-2-0 h2h record against Gustafson in 2006. That is too much of an edge to be blunted by course experience, of which Prammanasudh has none, but with Gustafson recording two top-20 finishes and two missed cuts in her four previous visits, the more consistent player has to be backed.

Morgan Pressel to beat Karine Icher -110 @ BetFred
Bit of a hedge play. Pressel has yet to play this course, but that is the case most weeks and it hasn't stopped her compiling a 8-2-0 h2h record against Icher over the past year. Pressel should be counted upon for a top-20 finish, so a loss should hopefully mean a return on the outrights.
 

Stanley

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Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 1-2; -0.25pts

Lee 23rd
Diaz 5th
Icher 67th

Looked very promising for a while. Diaz held a share of the lead at the end of the front nine on Sunday, but her putting was terrible thereafter. She finally missed from 5 feet on the last hole to mean that she only had a share of 5th place.

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 2-1; +0.00pts

Lee/Gulbis LOST by 4
Prammanasudh/Gustafson WON by 8
Pressel/Icher WON by 14

Looked like a sweep until Lee dropped three shots on the 7th and 8th holes on Sunday to surrender her lead over Gulbis. Still good value at those odds though.

LPGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 9-22; -8.02pts
Matchups: 19-14; +2.92pts
 
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