LPGA Takefuji Classic
- Thread starter ridle
- Start date
Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)
Natalie Gulbis to win 20/1 e.w. @ BetInternet, Victor Chandler and William Hill
Gulbis was back to her consistent best two weeks ago in the Nabisco Championship, finishing 3rd and only a birdie at the par-five last hole away from joining Karrie Webb and Lorena Ochoa in the playoff. They both eagled the hole. It was still her best-ever finish in a major championship and with four top-5 finishes in five starts this year, she really should be looking to continue this form into this event. Her record is not particularly impressive on this course - 15th and 23rd in the last two years - but twelve months ago she had recorded just two top-5 finishes on the LPGA Tour and both of those had come in 2002. But in the last twelve months she has made enormous progress on the Tour and off it with her own reality TV show on The Golf Channel and her swimsuit calendar. Last year, she was just a local from Henderson, Nevada; this year, she will draw upon a great deal more local support and she should response with her best performance on this course to date.
Hee-Won Han to win 22/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and SkyBet
A four-time winner in the last three seasons, Han has been quietly competitive since the Tour left Hawaii. In the three events that she has played on the mainland, she has finished 11th, 12th and 6th and with finishes of 5th in 2003 and 10th last year on this course, there are plenty of reasons to expect Han to feature on the leaderboard again.
Stacy Prammanasudh to win 50/1 e.w. @ BetInternet, Bet365 and BetDirect
In similar fashion to Han, Prammanasudh has been quietly playing very well this year, while others such as Gulbis have been stealing the headlines. Since the Tour left Hawaii, she has achieved finishes of 11th, 9th and 11th and she was very much in contention for the Nabisco Championship until a third round 76. Combine that with finishes of 6th in 2004 (when leading after the 1st round and 2nd with one round to play) and 10th last year in her two previous visits and there is a great deal of similarity between Han and Prammanasudh's results, which makes 50/1 particularly good value. She may not have won as many times as Han on Tour, but she did achieve her breakthrough win last May in the Franklin American Mortgage Championship and could certainly win again in this company.
Natalie Gulbis to win 20/1 e.w. @ BetInternet, Victor Chandler and William Hill
Gulbis was back to her consistent best two weeks ago in the Nabisco Championship, finishing 3rd and only a birdie at the par-five last hole away from joining Karrie Webb and Lorena Ochoa in the playoff. They both eagled the hole. It was still her best-ever finish in a major championship and with four top-5 finishes in five starts this year, she really should be looking to continue this form into this event. Her record is not particularly impressive on this course - 15th and 23rd in the last two years - but twelve months ago she had recorded just two top-5 finishes on the LPGA Tour and both of those had come in 2002. But in the last twelve months she has made enormous progress on the Tour and off it with her own reality TV show on The Golf Channel and her swimsuit calendar. Last year, she was just a local from Henderson, Nevada; this year, she will draw upon a great deal more local support and she should response with her best performance on this course to date.
Hee-Won Han to win 22/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and SkyBet
A four-time winner in the last three seasons, Han has been quietly competitive since the Tour left Hawaii. In the three events that she has played on the mainland, she has finished 11th, 12th and 6th and with finishes of 5th in 2003 and 10th last year on this course, there are plenty of reasons to expect Han to feature on the leaderboard again.
Stacy Prammanasudh to win 50/1 e.w. @ BetInternet, Bet365 and BetDirect
In similar fashion to Han, Prammanasudh has been quietly playing very well this year, while others such as Gulbis have been stealing the headlines. Since the Tour left Hawaii, she has achieved finishes of 11th, 9th and 11th and she was very much in contention for the Nabisco Championship until a third round 76. Combine that with finishes of 6th in 2004 (when leading after the 1st round and 2nd with one round to play) and 10th last year in her two previous visits and there is a great deal of similarity between Han and Prammanasudh's results, which makes 50/1 particularly good value. She may not have won as many times as Han on Tour, but she did achieve her breakthrough win last May in the Franklin American Mortgage Championship and could certainly win again in this company.
54 hole matchup:
Prammanasudh -110 over I-B Park at Betfred
Doubt young In-Bee will be able to cope with the pressure - way too short her price.
J Jang - 120 over Grace Park at The Greek
Top 5 Finish:
Aree Song @17
I-B Park @17
Heather Young @26 all Centrebet
Prammanasudh -110 over I-B Park at Betfred
Doubt young In-Bee will be able to cope with the pressure - way too short her price.
J Jang - 120 over Grace Park at The Greek
Top 5 Finish:
Aree Song @17
I-B Park @17
Heather Young @26 all Centrebet
on similiar wave length Ridle--but a little late getting there
top 5 @ cbet
IB Park 16/1
YA Yang 30/1
54 holes
J Jang -125 over G Park
SH Lee -110 over MY KIM
Redman -105 over Koch
top 5 @ cbet
IB Park 16/1
YA Yang 30/1
54 holes
J Jang -125 over G Park
SH Lee -110 over MY KIM
Redman -105 over Koch
Am really eager to see In-Bee's performance this week - had to take the Top 5 bet but she is still so young and her last week's missed cut on Futures Tour is hardly convincing so handle with care.
Matchup plays (2pts each):
Jeong Jang to beat Shi Hyun Ahn -128 @ Five Dimes
No disputing Ahn's fine form on this course (11th and 3rd) and while Jang 7th place finish last year is worthy of mention, it is the head-to-head record that decides this play. Ahn did finish five shots ahead of Jang in the Nabisco Championship, but Jang had finished the higher of the two in each of their previous 17 common events, dating back to June last year. That statistic shows clearly who is the better player.
Juli Inkster to beat Cristie Kerr +121 @ Pinnacle
BetFred price these two equally and that is how I also mark this matchup, which means there is value in these odds. Kerr did play well here in 2003 and 2004, but was poor last year and was poor in the Nabisco Championship. Inkster defeated her by eleven shots last time out and in their previous common event, Inkster had also prevailed when she won the Safeway International. With decent course form as well, Inkster should at least be as competitive as Kerr this week and that is not reflected in these odds.
(also available at BetFred)
Birdie Kim to beat Kristal Parker-Manzo -133 @ Five Dimes
This is a strange matchup. On the one hand we have the U.S. Women's Open Champion and on the other we have a player who returned last August after almost a full year off the Tour with an elbow injury, played four events last year, missing three cuts and a best of 65th and has yet to start this year with her non-exempt status. Even in her last full season (2004), she played in 16 events and failed to make the cut 12 times. I'd normally look to oppose Birdie Kim, but not with Parker-Manzo.
Jeong Jang to beat Shi Hyun Ahn -128 @ Five Dimes
No disputing Ahn's fine form on this course (11th and 3rd) and while Jang 7th place finish last year is worthy of mention, it is the head-to-head record that decides this play. Ahn did finish five shots ahead of Jang in the Nabisco Championship, but Jang had finished the higher of the two in each of their previous 17 common events, dating back to June last year. That statistic shows clearly who is the better player.
Juli Inkster to beat Cristie Kerr +121 @ Pinnacle
BetFred price these two equally and that is how I also mark this matchup, which means there is value in these odds. Kerr did play well here in 2003 and 2004, but was poor last year and was poor in the Nabisco Championship. Inkster defeated her by eleven shots last time out and in their previous common event, Inkster had also prevailed when she won the Safeway International. With decent course form as well, Inkster should at least be as competitive as Kerr this week and that is not reflected in these odds.
(also available at BetFred)
Birdie Kim to beat Kristal Parker-Manzo -133 @ Five Dimes
This is a strange matchup. On the one hand we have the U.S. Women's Open Champion and on the other we have a player who returned last August after almost a full year off the Tour with an elbow injury, played four events last year, missing three cuts and a best of 65th and has yet to start this year with her non-exempt status. Even in her last full season (2004), she played in 16 events and failed to make the cut 12 times. I'd normally look to oppose Birdie Kim, but not with Parker-Manzo.
Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 0-2; -2.00pts
Gulbis 17th
Han 30th
Prammanasudh dns
Not even a sniff of a return this week. Pity, as four of the top-5 had come under very close consideration before the final list was narrowed down to three players.
Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 3-0; +6.42pts
Jang/Ahn WON by 4
Inkster/Kerr WON by 5
Kim/Parker-Manzo WON by 4
Wow! What a final round! Inkster and Jang were a combined 15-under-par and Kerr and Ahn were a combined 1-over-par. This looked all week like being a struggle to get two winners out of three and it ends up being a sweep. Finally brings the LPGA Tour matchups into profit this season!
LPGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 5-14; -6.02pts
Matchups: 13-9; +3.48pts
Gulbis 17th
Han 30th
Prammanasudh dns
Not even a sniff of a return this week. Pity, as four of the top-5 had come under very close consideration before the final list was narrowed down to three players.
Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 3-0; +6.42pts
Jang/Ahn WON by 4
Inkster/Kerr WON by 5
Kim/Parker-Manzo WON by 4
Wow! What a final round! Inkster and Jang were a combined 15-under-par and Kerr and Ahn were a combined 1-over-par. This looked all week like being a struggle to get two winners out of three and it ends up being a sweep. Finally brings the LPGA Tour matchups into profit this season!
LPGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 5-14; -6.02pts
Matchups: 13-9; +3.48pts
