LPGA Tournament of Champions

Stanley

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Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)

Pat Hurst to win 33/1 e.w. @ BetFred and BetDirect
Hurst did not take part in the LPGA Tour's three events in Asia and that can only help at this stage of the season with two events to go. She has been very consistent this year, ranking in the top-10 in Scoring Average and on the Money List on this Tour, and finished 7th on this course last year. It is enough to suggest that she should contend far stronger than these odds suggest and given that the tee-times show her first out, in the best of the conditions and playing with a marker, she should at least get herself into contention from the first round onwards.

Sophie Gustafson to win 40/1 e.w. @ Stan James, Expekt and BetFred
Gustafson did play in Thailand and South Korea, though she probably wished that she hadn't as she played poorly. She did rest last week rather than play in Japan, though. But ignoring her South-East Asian performances, she was certainly playing very well in both Europe and on this Tour. Add in finished of 3rd and 6th and a return to her previous form is to be expected.

Soo-Yun Kang to win 100/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet, Sporting Odds and Ladbrokes
Justifiably high odds on Kang given her finishes this year, but they have been the result of a flaring up of a neck injury originally sustained in a car accident in 1998. It has been an injury that has never fully recovered so she is prone to sustained spells of poor form and withdrawals, but she declared in August at the Safeway Classic that she appeared to be nearing full fitness and while she withdrew again that week, she held the lead after two rounds the following week. She would finish 15th after a poor 3rd round, but returned to Korea, as usual at this time of the year, and finished in the top-15 in two more events and then 11th in the LPGA's KOLON-Hana Bank Championship. She has not shown such consistency since the end of last year and her neck is clearly not the issue that it was earlier this year. On that basis, and having shot all four rounds under-par on this course last year, she should not be a 100/1 shot in a 39-player field.
 

Stanley

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Matchup plays (2pts)

Sophie Gustafson to beat Carin Koch -120 @ Centrebet
As outlined in the outrights plays, Gustafson's finishes in Thailand and South Korea should have little impact upon her performance in Alabama. And if those two results are ignored, Gustafson has finished ahead of Koch in each of their last ten common events. Koch does have good course form, but this has been a very disappointing season for her and it should be difficult for her to raise her game to previous levels at Magnolia Grove.

Seon-Hwa Lee to beat Carin Koch -130 @ Five Dimes
There is a similar imbalance in the head-to-head record in this matchup. They have played in 20 common events this year and Lee has finished ahead of Koch in 16 of them. The Korean does not have any previous course form, but she had not previously played on any of this year's course in the U.S. and has still dominated Koch. Plus, this is a short, tight course and so she should be ideally suited to it.

Seon-Hwa Lee to beat Grace Park -180 @ The Greek
Lee has a 11-0 head-to-head record against Park and until her opponent can prove that she is over her back problems, she will be continually opposed in matchups.
 

Stanley

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Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -3.00pts

Hurst 36th
Gustafson 23rd
Kang 9th

Kang gave some hope for a decent payout, but once she reached 5th place on Sunday, she immediately had two sixes in the next three holes. Very poor otherwise.

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -8.60pts

Gustafson/Koch LOST by 2
Lee/Koch LOST by 3
Lee/Park LOST by 4

What a horrible last day. All three matches had been ahead at the start of it, but both Gustafson and Lee shot 76 in the final round to turn all three matches around.

LPGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 16-43; +10.08pts
Matchups: 33-34; -24.86pts
 
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