The Replacements
Matt Mauck, who stepped in for the injured Davey in the SEC Championship game and led LSU to victory, is an excellent athlete and a good runner, with very little experience as a QB. He went 18-of-41 (44%) for 224 yards, 0 TD's and 2 INT's last year, and that included a 5-of-15, 67-yard performance in the SEC Championship (Davey played in the Sugar Bowl, not Mauck).
Mauck followed that up with 241 yards passing on 20-of-41 in the LSU spring game, but he also registered a whopping five interceptions that day. Bottom line is, no one knows what's going to happen when Mauck starts putting the ball in the air against the Hokies.
One thing is sure: Mauck probably won't lose his cool. At 22 years of age, Mauck is not your usual redshirt sophomore. He knocked around in baseball's minor leagues for three years before deciding to go to LSU, so he's got years of experience playing as a professional athlete and competing at high levels of competition. The minors, he told the Baton Rouge Advocate, "help you deal with failure," so the thought of failing against the Hokies will not make Mauck quake with fear.
Mauck is backed up by Marcus Randall, a name that will send Hokie fans' heads into vertigo, because he combines the first and last names of two of VT's backup QB's, Marcus Vick and Bryan Randall. Marcus Randall (2-of-2 for 9 yards last year) was pushing Mauck for the starting job in spring football when he tore the ACL in his knee. He remains somewhat less than a hundred percent after rehabbing quickly.
At wide receiver, it wasn't like Reed was the only thing LSU had going. They return two outstanding receivers from last year, Michael Clayton (47 catches, 754 yards, 6 TD's) and Jerel Myers (39 catches, 461 yards, 1 TD). By comparison, VT's leading receiver last year was Andre Davis with 39 catches for 623 yards and 7 TD's. So don't cry for the Tigers at receiver. Clayton in particular could give Tech problems.
On defense, Faulk's 119 tackles were just six ahead of Bradie James, who is now the big dog at linebacker for LSU. James has moved inside from his old outside linebacker position, and as a preseason All-American, All-SEC first-teamer, and a Nagurski and Lombardi Award candidate, James should be more than ready to replace Faulk.
The Rest of the Guys
LSU has a solid offensive line, particularly on the left side, with four returning starters, including sophomore center Ben Wilkinson, who was named second-team Freshman All-American by the Sporting News last year. The LSU OL runs 320, 325, 300, 315, and 280 pounds from left to right.
The LSU defensive line is anchored by junior tackle Chad Lavalais, whose quotes about Lee Suggs and Grant Noel earned some attention and bulletin board space earlier this week ("Maybe we can injure them again, and knock them out of the game," Lavalais was quoted as saying by The Advocate).
Lavalais (53 tackles, 2 sacks in 2001) is 6-3, 289, and he is flanked by three big horses with good size, good speed, and limited experience: senior tackle Byron Dawson (6-2, 296, 21 tackles, 1 sack), sophomore end Marcus Spears (6-4, 295, 8 tackles, 1 sack), and sophomore end Marquise Hill (6-7, 294, 10 tackles, 1 sack).
Run the numbers, and you'll find that the LSU front four on defense averages 6-4, 294. They're not small. The size factor continues into the linebacking corps, where the three starting linebackers are 242, 248, and 255 pounds.
LSU got smoked for 279.4 passing yards per game and 25 passing TD's last year (the Hokies, by contrast, gave up 166.3 yards and just 8 TD's). They did pretty well in the interception department, picking off 18 passes, but then again, their opponents threw 457 times against them. Comparable numbers for VT are 19 interceptions off of 354 attempts.
The Tigers return three of four starters in the defensive backfield, all three of whom are seniors, so they should be stronger in the pass defense department.
In the kicking game, LSU has two good ones. Senior John Corbello was a modest 14-23 on field goals last year, but he proved clutch, hitting FG's of 45, 47, and 45 yards in the SEC Championship. Junior punter Donnie Jones will be a third-year starter, and last year, he was 19th in the country at 43.9 yards per punt. The Tigers had one FG and one punt blocked last year, and did not block a single kick themselves.
Tailback Domanick Davis, a versatile player, led the SEC on punt returns last year with a 13.8-yard average, but LSU was mediocre in kickoff returns, averaging just 19.9 yards per return (10th in the SEC).
What to Watch, and a Prediction
This game is a regular Forrest Gump box of chocolates. It's hard to know what you're going to get when they kick off and start playing.
Trouble spots for VT:
LSU's big, talented offensive line is strong up the middle, where the Hokies are inexperienced on defense. With Mauck's inexperience, LSU is expected to rely on the run, and we'll find out in a hurry if Tech's new defensive tackles and linebacking crew of Vegas Robinson, Mikal Baaqee, and Brandon Manning are up to the task.
Tech may also have trouble covering more than one LSU receiver adequately. DeAngelo Hall should be able to handle whoever he's covering, but the thought of Vince Fuller and Garnell Wilds having to line up across from Clayton or Myers should make Hokie fans nervous. Wilds doesn't have the raw speed (4.54 forty) to be a great cover corner, and Fuller (4.33 forty) is a converted safety who is raw. Looking further down the depth chart, D.J. Walton is a liability as well, with his 4.71 forty.
With LSU's size in the front defensive seven, the Hokies won't be able to bludgeon them with the running game. Tech should feel good about their offensive line going against LSU's inexperienced defensive line, and if they're able to spring Lee Suggs and Kevin Jones through a hole, the two VT tailbacks will have to earn their keep with some nifty running in LSU's secondary.
Bright spots for VT:
Matt Mauck's lack of significant playing time is one of LSU's few weaknesses, and the Hokies should try to turn that to their advantage. Expect to see a lot more blitzing and pressure from the Hokies than what was shown against Arkansas State, in an attempt to unhinge Mauck. If Mauck keeps his cool and uses his scrambling ability to avoid the Hokie blitzers, look out.
If LSU's defensive backfield hasn't gotten significantly better than they were last year, Tech could have success in the passing game, something that is sorely needed. It should be noted that the Tigers only had 20 sacks last year, so it's not as if the DB's got much help from their defensive line. Everybody knows that good QB pressure makes the DB's look better than they really are, and LSU didn't get pressure last year. Only 11 of those 20 sacks are returning this year.
The Hokie home crowd -- a crowd of 65,000, of which at least ten percent will be LSU fans, is not going to scare the Tigers. But it will fire up the Hokie football players. Lane Stadium is going to be off-the-hook loud, and the South end zone expansion was created for just this type of game. Ironically, its upper deck will probably be mostly full of LSU fans, as Tech has sold 6,500 tickets to LSU, and the SEZ upper deck is single-game seating.
The Lowdown
Some LSU fans are in for a shock. Based on some of the message board banter this week, many LSU fans don?t think that the Hokies can stand up to the Tigers' speed and size. They are wrong. Virginia Tech has reached the point where, athletically, they can hang with almost any team in the country.
The LSU defense will not shut down the Hokie offense. If they had an experienced defensive line, maybe, but VT will have some success running and passing against the Tigers. How much is hard to say, particularly depending upon what new passing schemes Tech will install. If their passing offense was identical to last year's, the Hokies might struggle, but all indications are that some new wrinkles have been put into place. We'll see how successful they are.
Defensively, it's possible but not likely that VT will shut down LSU's running game. The Tigers are too big and experienced on the offensive line, and they should be able to run the ball at least moderately well. The young Hokie defense is quick, but they may find themselves out of position from time to time and giving up plays.
It's impossible to tell how LSU will do passing the ball. They have great receivers but an unproven QB.
I see this game as a draw on paper, so Tech will have to get help from its special teams to gain a significant advantage. Since this is a Hokie web site, we're going to assume that VT's strengths will take advantage of LSU's weaknesses, the Hokies will get the breaks, and Tech can hang a quality out of conference win in its trophy case.
Lets do it!
