Magnus A. Carlsson 100
Graeme Storm 210
Florian Fritsch 140
The clearest stat about this course is that greens in regulation is key and driving distance isn't, so being ranked 28th in greens in regulation on the European Tour - that is a very high ranking for this field - is a good sign for Carlsson who finished 30th last week and has finished 8th-30th-19th in his three previous visits to Diamond CC
Storm doesn't have Carlsson's form, but a top-10 finish on this course (2013) and three other top-10 finishes in this event at Fontana GC indicate that he does have the pedigree as well as the event history to warrant shorter odds than this
Fritsch is another with a decent history on this course - he finished 17th two years ago and was inside the top-15 with one round to play last week - and warrants attention given the form that he has shown on the Challenge Tour recently and the fact that he held the lead after day one of the Nordea Masters last week