normally prop bets serve as action plays and nothing to get crazy with. this time, however, im making a full-sized play. if you can get this number at olympic or something similar somewhere else, its definitely worth a play.
chris bullock (-18 rushing yards)
over ontario sneed
this "line" is very formulaic. its based on season numbers.
it doesnt factor in changing offensive philosophy at all.
bullock started the season behind dan macon on the running back depth chart and only had 6 carries in the first 3 games. but since being moved into the starting lineup, he's been at 100 yards or more every game but one -- and that was a 21/72 effort against ohio state, and he had some nice runs against the buckeyes as well. this kid is the future at running back for bg. he is a strong, physical runner who is probably going to get the ball 20 times tonight.
meanwhile, sneed is now splitting carries with freshman marcel archer in the cmich backfield. coming into the season, sneed was supposed to be the feature back. but his production has been spotty and archer is taking a lot of carries away from him. its basically a two-back system now.
wouldnt be a surprise if bullock won this bet 105-55 or something like that. he's going to get the carries to do it. sneed is going to have the break some long runs because he's probably only gonna get the ball 12-14 times at most. the carries that are now going to archer aren't factored into this number. its a legitimately bad number. that said, its still a prop and anything can happen. score/time can affect a lot and ruin a good prop. but bullock should win this going away.
chris bullock (-18 rushing yards)
over ontario sneed
this "line" is very formulaic. its based on season numbers.
it doesnt factor in changing offensive philosophy at all.
bullock started the season behind dan macon on the running back depth chart and only had 6 carries in the first 3 games. but since being moved into the starting lineup, he's been at 100 yards or more every game but one -- and that was a 21/72 effort against ohio state, and he had some nice runs against the buckeyes as well. this kid is the future at running back for bg. he is a strong, physical runner who is probably going to get the ball 20 times tonight.
meanwhile, sneed is now splitting carries with freshman marcel archer in the cmich backfield. coming into the season, sneed was supposed to be the feature back. but his production has been spotty and archer is taking a lot of carries away from him. its basically a two-back system now.
wouldnt be a surprise if bullock won this bet 105-55 or something like that. he's going to get the carries to do it. sneed is going to have the break some long runs because he's probably only gonna get the ball 12-14 times at most. the carries that are now going to archer aren't factored into this number. its a legitimately bad number. that said, its still a prop and anything can happen. score/time can affect a lot and ruin a good prop. but bullock should win this going away.
