#965 CHI WHITE SOX @ #966 HOUSTON - 4:10 PM
?White Sox RH Hector Noesi (0-3, 7.25 ERA, WHIP: 1.500) - Noesi has bounced around between three teams in 2014, but he seems to have found a home in Chicago's rotation. In his last outing he recorded his first quality start since June 24, 2012, holding Arizona to three runs over six innings in a 5-1 loss. Noesi will make his first start against the Astros; he has allowed two runs and six hits in 2 2/3 innings over three relief appearances against them.
--KEY STAT: NOESI is 3-10 against the run line (-11.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NOESI 2.5, OPPONENT 4.3.
?Astros RH Jarred Cosart (2-3, 4.30 ERA, WHIP: 1.295) - Cosart's ERA is skewed by one disastrous outing at Oakland in which he gave up seven runs and recorded only one out, but he has turned it around since and posted a 2.10 ERA over four straight quality starts. He ended a six-start winless streak last time out, holding Baltimore to two runs over six innings in a 5-2 road win. Cosart faced the White Sox once last season, limiting them to one run over six innings in a no-decision.
#967 OAKLAND @ #968 CLEVELAND - 7:05 PM
?Athletics LH Scott Kazmir (5-1, 2.28 ERA, WHIP: 0.974) - Kazmir rebounded from his first loss with one of his best efforts in his strong season, blanking Washington on four singles over seven innings on Sunday. It was the seventh time in eight outings that Kazmir has yielded three runs or fewer and the seventh time he has pitched at least six innings. Kazmir beat the Indians with 7 1/3 scoreless innings of three-hit ball in his first start of the season.
--KEY STAT: KAZMIR is 18-4 (+12.4 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KAZMIR 6.0, OPPONENT 2.4.
--KAZMIR is 16-4 against the run line (+13.9 Units) versus an American League team with they batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KAZMIR 6.2, OPPONENT 3.1.
--KAZMIR is 10-2 against the run line (+10.7 Units) as a favorite when the run line price is +115 to +160 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KAZMIR 5.3, OPPONENT 1.8.
?Indians RH Josh Tomlin (2-0, 2.13 ERA, WHIP: 0.868) - Tomlin won for the second time in as many starts since he returned to the rotation following Tommy John surgery in August 2012. The 29-year-old Texan limited Tampa Bay to two runs and six hits over six innings after giving up one run on four hits in 6 2/3 innings to beat Minnesota in his season debut. Tomlin lost his only career start against the Athletics, giving up two runs on three hits over 7 2/3 innings in 2011.
#969 DETROIT @ #970 BOSTON - 7:10 PM
?Tigers RH Rick Porcello (6-1, 3.22 ERA, WHIP: 1.030) - Porcello has won five straight starts and allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of his last three turns. The 25-year-old has issued only six walks in 44 2/3 innings and is fully recovered from the tightness in his left side that forced him to leave a start at Baltimore on Monday after six innings. Porcello was removed from the rotation for the playoffs last October and got in one appearance in the ALCS against the Red Sox, surrendering an unearned run on two hits without recording an out.
--KEY STAT: PORCELLO is 18-4 (+13.1 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PORCELLO 5.6, OPPONENT 3.4.
?Red Sox RH John Lackey (5-2, 3.57 ERA, WHIP: 1.208) - Lackey is just as sharp as Porcello of late and has allowed two or fewer earned runs in four straight starts after holding the Texas Rangers to two runs over seven innings last weekend. The veteran struck out nine in that turn and owns 52 punchouts in 53 innings. Lackey made one start against the Tigers in the ALCS and yielded four hits and struck out eight in 6 2/3 scoreless innings to pick up the Game 3 win.
--KEY STAT: LACKEY is 18-5 UNDER (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 4.1, OPPONENT 3.4.
--LACKEY is 17-6 UNDER (+10.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 4.0, OPPONENT 3.8.
--LACKEY is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) versus teams outscoring opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 2.9, OPPONENT 2.6.
--LACKEY is 23-6 UNDER (+16.0 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 4.1, OPPONENT 3.4.
--LACKEY is 13-3 UNDER (+9.4 Units) at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 4.4, OPPONENT 2.6.
--LACKEY is 28-9 UNDER (+17.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 3.9, OPPONENT 3.4.
#971 BALTIMORE @ #972 KANSAS CITY - 7:10 PM
?Orioles RH Bud Norris (2-3, 3.98 ERA, WHIP: 1.209) - The Orioles had won three straight games with Norris on the mound before he gave up four runs on five hits over 7 2/3 innings in a loss to Detroit on Monday. The Californian has been much better at home (24-20) than on the road (16-32) in his career. Alex Gordon is 3-for-3 against Norris, who did not get a decision after tossing six scoreless innings last season in his only career start versus Kansas City.
?Royals LH Danny Duffy (1-3, 1.96 ERA, WHIP: 1.038) - Duffy has allowed two runs, four hits and seven walks combined in his two starts in place of injured Bruce Chen, but was saddled with losses in both games. The 25-year-old is only 2-9 lifetime at home while winning seven of 11 decisions on the road. J.J. Hardy has a double and a walk in two at-bats versus Duffy, who yielded two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings over two outings (one start) against Baltimore.
#973 SEATTLE @ #974 MINNESOTA - 7:10 PM
?Mariners LH Roenis Elias (3-2, 3.69 ERA, WHIP: 1.381) - Elias remained unbeaten in his last four turns after settling for a no-decision in Sunday?s 9-7 setback against the Kansas City Royals. The 25-year-old rookie, who is 3-1 with a 3.23 ERA in five all-time road starts, was charged with five runs (three earned) and a season-high nine hits over five frames. Elias has already issued 20 walks ? tied for the ninth-highest total in the American League ? and will square off against the Twins for the first time in his career.
?Twins RH Samuel Deduno (0-2, 3.64 ERA, WHIP: 1.364) - Deduno did not factor into the decision during Sunday?s 4-3 win over the Detroit Tigers, his second start following seven relief appearances. The Twins? swingman allowed three runs and six hits over a season-high six frames in place of the injured Mike Pelfrey, but was in line for the loss until Minnesota scored all of their runs after he departed. Deduno has been stellar in three career starts against the Mariners, compiling a 2-1 record and 0.90 ERA.
--KEY STAT: DEDUNO is 13-1 UNDER (+12.0 Units) versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DEDUNO 2.9, OPPONENT 3.1.
--DEDUNO is 12-1 UNDER (+11.0 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DEDUNO 2.8, OPPONENT 3.1.
--DEDUNO is 13-2 UNDER (+10.8 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DEDUNO 2.9, OPPONENT 3.3.
--DEDUNO is 15-4 UNDER (+10.5 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DEDUNO 3.5, OPPONENT 3.6.
--DEDUNO is 16-3 UNDER (+12.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DEDUNO 3.1, OPPONENT 3.2.
#975 TORONTO @ #976 TEXAS - 8:05 PM
?Blue Jays LH Mark Buehrle (7-1, 2.04 ERA, WHIP: 1.245) - Buehrle turned in another quality start on Monday against the Los Angeles Angels, earning his seventh win after allowing two runs in six-plus innings. ?Mark is amazing at what he does,? third baseman Brett Lawrie told reporters. ?You know he?s going to go out there and compete for us, and every single night he?s going to give us a chance to win.? Choo is 14-for-33 with a homer against Buehrle, who is 13-5 with a 3.14 ERA in 22 career games (19 starts) against the Rangers.
--KEY STAT: BUEHRLE is 12-2 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 5.6, OPPONENT 3.8.
--BUEHRLE is 17-5 UNDER (+11.0 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 4.2, OPPONENT 3.3.
?Rangers LH Robbie Ross (1-4, 5.04 ERA, WHIP: 1.545) - Ross? spot in the rotation was in jeopardy after he allowed 21 runs (17 earned) over his last three starts covering 15 1/3 innings, but season-ending injuries to Martin Perez and Matt Harrison have prevented the Rangers from moving the 24-year-old to the bullpen. Ross threw a career-high 112 pitches against Boston on Sunday, when he settled in after a rough first two innings and exited after 6 2/3 frames. He's enjoyed success as a reliever against Toronto, throwing 7 1/3 scoreless innings in five career appearances.
#977 TAMPA BAY @ #978 LA ANGELS - 9:05 PM
?Rays LH Cesar Ramos (1-2, 3.71 ERA, WHIP: 1.382) - Ramos put up career highs with 6 2/3 innings and 114 pitches in his last start but surrendered 11 hits in a 12-5 loss at Seattle. The Los Angeles native had allowed only four runs in his previous four turns that encompassed 20 1/3 frames while earning just one victory. Ramos has given up three runs over 2 2/3 innings in five career relief appearances against the Angels.
?Angels LH C.J. Wilson (4-3, 3.69 ERA, WHIP: 1.174) - Wilson won four of five decisions before going 0-1 in his last two starts, yielding eight runs in 14 combined innings against Toronto and the New York Yankees. The 33-year-old veteran has recorded 54 strikeouts and 19 walks in 53 2/3 frames while giving up 44 hits. Sean Rodriguez is 6-for-18 with a homer against Wilson, who is 4-2 with a 3.41 ERA in 21 appearances (eight starts) versus Tampa Bay.
--KEY STAT: WILSON is 12-3 UNDER (+8.6 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WILSON 4.1, OPPONENT 2.7.
--WILSON is 18-8 OVER (+9.9 Units) in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WILSON 5.5, OPPONENT 4.7.
#979 PITTSBURGH @ #980 NY YANKEES - 4:05 PM
?Pirates RH Edinson Volquez (1-3, 4.36 ERA, WHIP: 1.201) - Volquez saw his winless streak extended to four games in Saturday?s 4-3 triumph over the St. Louis Cardinals after giving up three runs on four hits and four walks over 4 2/3 innings. The 2008 All-Star, who is 0-3 with an 8.81 ERA since notching his only win of the season on April 17, is averaging 0.58 strikeouts per inning in 2014 ? down significantly from his 0.94 career mark entering the season. Volquez won his only career start against the Yankees in 2008, allowing two runs over seven frames.
--KEY STAT: VOLQUEZ is 41-28 (+17.3 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOLQUEZ 4.4, OPPONENT 4.0.
?Yankees RH David Phelps (0-0, 4.09 ERA, WHIP: 1.455) - With Ivan Nova and CC Sabathia out of the rotation due to injuries, Phelps will draw his third straight start after settling for a no-decision in Sunday?s 6-5 loss against the Brewers. The 27-year-old, who has already made nine relief appearances this season, yielded four runs on eight hits with three walks over five innings. Phelps will face the Pirates for the first time in his career and attempt to halt his struggles in interleague play, where he is 0-2 with a 7.02 ERA in six appearances (three starts).
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