Yesterday's Recap:
2-2 -0.52 Units
Overall Second Half (July 1st & After):
26-19-1 +15.84 Units
Det Tigers +106 NY Yanks Game #1
Risking 2.00 Units to Win 2.12 Units
I played the Tigers and Sparks as soon as they put this line up. The report has it that as soon as Adrian Hernandez makes this start for the Yanks he will be sent right back down to Columbus no matter what, great incentive hey? Anyway, I could put any kind of numbers spin imaginable on why I like the Tigers and Sparks, but this is the main stat I am focused upon. In the Yanks last two games their bullpen had to throw 160 PITCHES. Now, Adrian Hernandez, is on the mound. Not innings eaters like Clemens, Pettitte, or Mussina. Sparks is 2-0 in July with an ERA of 1.06 and he has one start Vs. the Yanks this year and allowed one earned run in the victory. To top all of this off, the Tigers are a small dog at home.
Note: Might play the Tigers in the second game as a dog as well, depending on what happens here in the first. For basiclly the same criteria I put up on game #1.
Pitt Pirates +127 Chc Cubs
Risking 2.00 Units to win 2.54 Units
You really have to pick your spots with going against the Cubs and Kerry Wood, and man do I think I have found one here. First off, let me say this, if the Cubs don't watch how they are using this guy he is going to be under the knife as soon as next season again. Check out these pitch counts from his last five starts (most recent first): 126, 112, 110, 117, 111.... today he is coming off that 126 on four days of rest. Cubs bullpen was used quite heavily to boot in that Royals series. Plus I question the health and effectiveness of Kyle Farnsworth. Todd Rithie is coming off an effective start and has been very good at home. 4-3 Record 3.92 ERA..... In July 2-1 2.42 ERA...... Nice price on the home dog in this one as well.
MtL Expos Vs. Phl Phills OVER 8 1/2 -115
Risking 2.30 Units to win 2.00 Units
Let me hit ya right off with this angle. Out of the last 10 games the Expos have played 9 have gone over the total. Due to nice hitting, mediocre starters, and an overused bullpen. In the Expos last two games 9 relievers have been used to the tune of 124 pitches. Now, on the other side the Phills bullpen has been used even more over the last two days. 10 Relievers have been used while throwing a whopping 169 pitches. Doesn't look like the pens will be to anxious to help out tonite if needed. The Expos have hit left handed starters very well, .276 at home and .312 in their last ten. In Daal's only start Vs. the Expos this year he pitched three innings and gave up 10 hits and four earned runs. Not that Vazquez was any better in his only start Vs. the Phills, six innings pitched and five earned runs given up.
I am looking at a couple more for the night games, but will start off the day with these three........
GLTA,
HC
2-2 -0.52 Units
Overall Second Half (July 1st & After):
26-19-1 +15.84 Units
Det Tigers +106 NY Yanks Game #1
Risking 2.00 Units to Win 2.12 Units
I played the Tigers and Sparks as soon as they put this line up. The report has it that as soon as Adrian Hernandez makes this start for the Yanks he will be sent right back down to Columbus no matter what, great incentive hey? Anyway, I could put any kind of numbers spin imaginable on why I like the Tigers and Sparks, but this is the main stat I am focused upon. In the Yanks last two games their bullpen had to throw 160 PITCHES. Now, Adrian Hernandez, is on the mound. Not innings eaters like Clemens, Pettitte, or Mussina. Sparks is 2-0 in July with an ERA of 1.06 and he has one start Vs. the Yanks this year and allowed one earned run in the victory. To top all of this off, the Tigers are a small dog at home.
Note: Might play the Tigers in the second game as a dog as well, depending on what happens here in the first. For basiclly the same criteria I put up on game #1.
Pitt Pirates +127 Chc Cubs
Risking 2.00 Units to win 2.54 Units
You really have to pick your spots with going against the Cubs and Kerry Wood, and man do I think I have found one here. First off, let me say this, if the Cubs don't watch how they are using this guy he is going to be under the knife as soon as next season again. Check out these pitch counts from his last five starts (most recent first): 126, 112, 110, 117, 111.... today he is coming off that 126 on four days of rest. Cubs bullpen was used quite heavily to boot in that Royals series. Plus I question the health and effectiveness of Kyle Farnsworth. Todd Rithie is coming off an effective start and has been very good at home. 4-3 Record 3.92 ERA..... In July 2-1 2.42 ERA...... Nice price on the home dog in this one as well.
MtL Expos Vs. Phl Phills OVER 8 1/2 -115
Risking 2.30 Units to win 2.00 Units
Let me hit ya right off with this angle. Out of the last 10 games the Expos have played 9 have gone over the total. Due to nice hitting, mediocre starters, and an overused bullpen. In the Expos last two games 9 relievers have been used to the tune of 124 pitches. Now, on the other side the Phills bullpen has been used even more over the last two days. 10 Relievers have been used while throwing a whopping 169 pitches. Doesn't look like the pens will be to anxious to help out tonite if needed. The Expos have hit left handed starters very well, .276 at home and .312 in their last ten. In Daal's only start Vs. the Expos this year he pitched three innings and gave up 10 hits and four earned runs. Not that Vazquez was any better in his only start Vs. the Phills, six innings pitched and five earned runs given up.
I am looking at a couple more for the night games, but will start off the day with these three........
GLTA,
HC
